Realized P&L (30d)
-$3.09K
Unrealized P&L
-$46.1K
Hit rate
80.9%
Resolved (30d)
29
Trades (30d)
462
4,055 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$193.2K
$2.23M lifetime
Avg / trade
$549
Open exposure
$55.6K
16 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 11-02 18:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 106 days
Categories
Politics
56% 65% -$12,729
Other
34% 76% -$16,935
Crypto
9% 64% +$4,700
Tech
1% 33% +$721
Sports
1% 50% -$5,068
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? Yes +10,371 $9,645 94¢ $9.7K +$52 11-02 15:09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +10,350 $9,108 84¢ $8.7K -$362 11-02 10:40
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +9,541 $2,004 74¢ $7.0K +$5,009 10-02 04:21
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +6,813 $6,459 100¢ $6.8K +$341 10-18 04:48
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +42,082 $8,837 10¢ $4.0K -$4,839 10-16 17:06
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +3,388 $3,049 96¢ $3.3K +$203 10-27 18:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +2,427 $2,397 100¢ $2.4K +$27 10-18 10:57
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +2,406 $2,204 98¢ $2.4K +$155 10-31 08:06
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? Yes +2,224 $2,188 97¢ $2.2K -$26 11-01 16:48
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +2,133 $2,077 99¢ $2.1K +$42 11-02 00:15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +220,570 $42,982 1¢ $1.9K -$41,107 10-26 13:31
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +7,454 $1,565 22¢ $1.6K +$37 11-02 18:09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? No +1,394 $1,345 98¢ $1.4K +$26 11-01 10:01
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +30,824 $6,075 3¢ $801 -$5,273 09-15 13:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +4,636 $927 16¢ $765 -$162 07-28 20:14
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,010 $842 16¢ $622 -$221 10-27 04:42