Realized P&L (7d)
-$4.45K
Unrealized P&L
-$30.3K
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (7d)
1
Trades (7d)
71
4,022 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$34.4K
$2.20M lifetime
Avg / trade
$547
Open exposure
$83.4K
23 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 10-29 14:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 104 days
Categories
Politics
56% 64% -$12,149
Other
34% 76% -$13,712
Crypto
9% 61% +$7,040
Tech
1% 33% +$721
Sports
1% 50% -$5,068
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +220,570 $42,982 11¢ $23.2K -$19,822 10-26 13:31
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +6,813 $6,459 100¢ $6.8K +$320 10-18 04:48
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +9,541 $2,004 70¢ $6.6K +$4,628 10-02 04:21
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +6,116 $5,713 97¢ $6.0K +$242 10-18 13:40
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +42,082 $8,837 12¢ $5.3K -$3,577 10-16 17:06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +5,025 $4,523 97¢ $4.9K +$352 10-25 02:00
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? No +4,241 $4,119 98¢ $4.2K +$52 10-29 14:36
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +4,227 $3,804 96¢ $4.1K +$254 10-26 06:03
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? No +3,613 $3,534 100¢ $3.6K +$71 10-27 13:36
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +3,388 $3,049 84¢ $2.8K -$220 10-27 18:00
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October? No +2,493 $2,399 100¢ $2.5K +$91 10-18 23:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +2,427 $2,397 100¢ $2.4K +$27 10-18 10:57
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +2,047 $2,002 98¢ $2.0K +$9 10-26 04:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +1,993 $1,934 99¢ $2.0K +$43 10-20 14:27
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +1,868 $3,836 99¢ $1.9K -$1,986 10-27 15:05
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in October? No +1,320 $1,304 99¢ $1.3K +$3 10-29 12:29
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +30,824 $6,075 3¢ $1.0K -$5,073 09-15 13:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +4,636 $927 18¢ $811 -$116 07-28 20:14
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,010 $842 18¢ $742 -$100 10-27 04:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? No +634 $621 99¢ $629 +$7 10-19 04:02
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +420 $406 98¢ $414 +$8 10-25 12:46
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +15,629 $3,282 2¢ $313 -$2,970 10-07 05:37
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? Yes +12,688 $2,664 1¢ $140 -$2,525 10-22 13:51