Realized P&L
-$36.1K
Unrealized P&L
-$46.7K
Hit rate
52.0%
Resolved
246
Trades
4,118
lifetime
Volume
$2.25M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$547
Open exposure
$66.9K
15 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 11-05 08:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 107 days
Categories
Politics
55% 64% -$19,534
Other
34% 76% -$16,886
Crypto
9% 64% +$4,700
Tech
1% 33% +$721
Sports
1% 50% -$5,068
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +36,800 $32,978 88¢ $32.6K -$410 11-05 09:47
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +6,813 $6,459 100¢ $6.8K +$344 10-18 04:48
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +42,082 $8,837 15¢ $6.1K -$2,735 10-16 17:06
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +9,541 $2,004 62¢ $5.9K +$3,864 10-02 04:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +2,427 $2,397 100¢ $2.4K +$25 10-18 10:57
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +2,406 $2,204 100¢ $2.4K +$200 10-31 08:06
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? Yes +2,224 $2,188 100¢ $2.2K +$32 11-01 16:48
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +2,133 $2,077 100¢ $2.1K +$52 11-02 00:15
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? Yes +1,847 $1,791 99¢ $1.8K +$38 11-04 22:00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? Yes +1,745 $1,561 94¢ $1.6K +$88 11-05 07:54
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +30,824 $6,075 3¢ $1.0K -$5,073 09-15 13:45
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,010 $842 22¢ $862 +$20 10-27 04:42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +4,636 $927 12¢ $533 -$394 07-28 20:14
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? Yes +244 $236 98¢ $239 +$4 11-05 08:00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +220,570 $42,982 0¢ $221 -$42,761 10-26 13:31