Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29.3K

Unrealized P&L

-$45.4K

Hit rate

52.2%

Resolved

242

Trades

4,035

lifetime

Volume

$2.21M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$548

Open exposure

$40.8K

14 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 11-02 06:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 106 days

Categories

Politics

56% 65% -$12,729

Other

33% 76% -$16,935

Crypto

9% 64% +$4,700

Tech

1% 33% +$721

Sports

1% 50% -$5,068

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions (14) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	+6,813	$6,459	100¢	$6.8K	+$334	10-18 04:48
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+9,541	$2,004	68¢	$6.4K	+$4,437	10-02 04:21
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	+5,158	$4,848	94¢	$4.8K	-$26	11-02 06:00
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+42,082	$8,837	11¢	$4.4K	-$4,419	10-16 17:06
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	+3,388	$3,049	96¢	$3.2K	+$186	10-27 18:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	+2,427	$2,397	100¢	$2.4K	+$27	10-18 10:57
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	+2,406	$2,204	98¢	$2.4K	+$149	10-31 08:06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+220,570	$42,982	1¢	$2.2K	-$40,776	10-26 13:31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes	+2,224	$2,188	97¢	$2.2K	-$24	11-01 16:48
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	+2,133	$2,077	99¢	$2.1K	+$34	11-02 00:15
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	+1,394	$1,345	98¢	$1.4K	+$14	11-01 10:01
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+30,824	$6,075	3¢	$971	-$5,104	09-15 13:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+4,636	$927	18¢	$811	-$116	07-28 20:14
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+4,010	$842	18¢	$702	-$140	10-27 04:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	149	$161.2K	90,371	81,560	+8,811	No	+$286	04-21 20:01
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	142	$119.0K	64,740	64,740	+0	No	-$247	04-14 12:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	18	$100.1K	56,870	52,476	+4,395	No	-$429	04-25 16:00
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	205	$95.1K	53,247	53,247	+0	No	-$1,079	04-15 08:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	24	$70.1K	41,108	34,326	+6,782	No	+$121	04-27 09:04
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	18	$61.9K	35,069	35,069	+0	Yes	-$2,258	04-07 22:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	45	$48.9K	27,503	27,503	+0	No	-$2,248	05-07 16:00
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	10	$47.8K	26,425	26,425	+0	Yes	-$435	04-06 16:28
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	276	$43.0K	220,570	0	+220,570	open	—	10-26 13:31
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	88	$31.7K	17,587	17,587	+0	No	-$262	04-20 14:04
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	50	$30.9K	25,999	25,999	+0	Yes	-$599	04-09 16:02
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	67	$28.2K	14,715	14,715	+0	No	-$143	05-01 02:47
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	14	$28.1K	31,691	0	+31,691	No	+$3,624	05-07 17:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	47	$24.8K	13,616	13,517	+99	No	-$187	04-26 07:57
will bryson dechambeau win the 2026 masters tournament	70	$24.1K	17,112	8,556	+8,556	No	+$513	04-09 16:06
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	11	$24.0K	25,853	0	+25,853	No	+$1,899	08-17 10:32
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	174	$24.0K	17,783	8,743	+9,040	No	+$997	04-17 07:17
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	20	$23.9K	27,119	0	+27,119	Yes	+$3,254	10-05 19:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	39	$23.8K	18,079	9,039	+9,040	No	+$1,175	04-22 04:14
will viktor hovland win the 2026 masters tournament	246	$23.8K	12,035	12,035	+0	No	-$6	04-09 15:45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	32	$22.0K	15,118	8,602	+6,517	No	+$157	05-01 16:35
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	14	$21.0K	17,589	8,574	+9,014	No	-$2,028	07-14 13:30
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	71	$20.8K	55,359	47,245	+8,115	No	-$5,492	09-21 17:11
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	25	$19.0K	10,139	9,499	+640	No	-$84	04-26 09:41
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	46	$18.0K	11,030	8,743	+2,287	No	+$151	04-07 20:47
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	202	$16.2K	8,866	8,866	+0	Yes	-$56	04-12 20:01
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	2	$16.0K	17,583	0	+17,583	No	+$1,583	10-03 14:40
israel closes its airspace by august 15	3	$16.0K	17,583	0	+17,583	No	+$1,583	08-02 10:23
will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	6	$16.0K	16,643	0	+16,643	No	+$653	07-18 11:48
will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	13	$16.0K	8,457	8,457	+0	No	-$17	04-09 19:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 06:00:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	5,158	94¢	$4,848	0x9b8146…
11-02 00:15:28	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	2,133	97¢	$2,077	0x4f37be…
11-01 16:48:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes	BUY	1,930	98¢	$1,899	0x907d5b…
11-01 16:40:21	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes	BUY	294	98¢	$289	0x3b9e97…
11-01 10:01:04	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1,394	96¢	$1,345	0x12fa07…
10-31 08:06:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	2,249	92¢	$2,060	0xd0eaaa…
10-31 04:34:19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x95e29f…
10-31 04:33:10	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8d90ad…
10-31 04:25:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8f2415…
10-31 04:11:07	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xbec958…
10-31 04:02:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x440569…
10-31 03:50:52	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa5f4f7…
10-31 03:41:46	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	126	92¢	$116	0x208438…
10-29 14:36:11	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	BUY	1,434	96¢	$1,374	0x009ecf…
10-29 14:32:52	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	BUY	434	98¢	$423	0xd8810b…
10-29 14:25:38	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	BUY	336	98¢	$328	0x7ab7ee…
10-29 14:08:34	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	BUY	108	98¢	$105	0x555817…
10-29 13:56:53	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0xd9201b…
10-29 12:37:26	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xe11ec8…
10-29 12:29:07	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in October?	No	BUY	1,320	99¢	$1,304	0x6a79c7…
10-29 11:27:31	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0x20f4c7…
10-29 10:00:10	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	BUY	1,249	98¢	$1,226	0xbaa21d…
10-27 18:00:06	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	3,144	90¢	$2,830	0xf3d0e8…
10-27 17:57:36	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x0ee028…
10-27 17:20:47	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x1604e9…
10-27 16:06:06	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	219	90¢	$197	0x3d917b…
10-27 16:01:33	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xf7e126…
10-27 15:05:14	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	557	98¢	$547	0x62b9b2…
10-27 14:11:59	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0xac62a9…
10-27 13:56:50	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x0035c9…
10-27 13:36:00	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	1,833	98¢	$1,789	0x5d77ba…
10-27 10:08:33	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	239	98¢	$235	0xf84ed9…
10-27 08:54:57	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$12	0x9d68be…
10-27 08:28:08	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	1,584	98¢	$1,552	0x8e6693…
10-27 08:17:51	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x99fb72…
10-27 08:06:29	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x41d025…
10-27 08:00:26	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x9f7ec1…
10-27 08:00:11	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x81efe5…
10-27 07:44:11	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	960	98¢	$942	0xf44018…
10-27 04:42:56	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,917	21¢	$403	0x3e950b…
10-27 04:25:03	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x84ecde…
10-26 13:31:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	9,601	14¢	$1,344	0x63a9b5…
10-26 13:19:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	222	14¢	$31	0xcdf2a7…
10-26 12:33:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x193b3b…
10-26 12:15:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0x217ade…
10-26 11:59:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	959	14¢	$134	0xd866c8…
10-26 11:53:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xb04fbe…
10-26 11:52:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xbe07a2…
10-26 11:36:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	93	14¢	$13	0x5afe14…
10-26 11:31:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	85	14¢	$12	0x37992e…
10-26 11:15:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0xbd9158…
10-26 11:00:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	115	14¢	$16	0x020faa…
10-26 10:32:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	1,500	14¢	$210	0x289825…
10-26 10:26:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	349	14¢	$49	0xbb5e62…
10-26 10:26:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	457	14¢	$64	0xf4fa55…
10-26 10:25:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x468551…
10-26 09:33:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0x5e924e…
10-26 09:31:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x18c03f…
10-26 09:31:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x21410d…
10-26 09:26:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x422403…
10-26 09:23:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	400	14¢	$56	0xb676ad…
10-26 09:22:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	2,442	14¢	$342	0xa648c3…
10-26 09:16:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	73	14¢	$10	0x746726…
10-26 08:49:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x7a83e1…
10-26 08:46:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0x8d6bff…
10-26 08:37:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xd80eac…
10-26 08:29:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x874cd6…
10-26 06:03:53	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	2,815	90¢	$2,533	0x4edac8…
10-26 06:03:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	300	90¢	$270	0xe6bb31…
10-26 06:00:11	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,112	90¢	$1,001	0xf8440e…
10-26 04:41:17	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	570	98¢	$558	0xf9c49d…
10-26 04:37:57	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	492	98¢	$481	0xa94004…
10-26 04:17:27	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	492	98¢	$481	0xf76ab3…
10-26 04:07:18	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	492	98¢	$481	0x075e75…
10-25 12:46:48	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$19	0x737c56…
10-25 12:38:02	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x50a4f2…
10-25 12:02:42	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	97¢	$386	0x9ecc1d…
10-25 02:00:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	5,025	90¢	$4,523	0xc3c695…
10-25 00:05:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	933	18¢	$168	0x1dd6cf…
10-25 00:05:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0xee3abb…
10-25 00:05:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	11,307	18¢	$2,035	0x7f9b1e…
10-23 18:00:11	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7,213	62¢	$4,489	0x3cef59…
10-22 13:51:00	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,444	21¢	$303	0xa58b3d…
10-22 13:50:59	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	4,694	21¢	$986	0xae25b6…
10-22 13:43:24	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	300	21¢	$63	0x60511c…
10-22 08:47:03	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	3,244	21¢	$681	0x11eb20…
10-20 14:27:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,993	97¢	$1,934	0xd78b58…
10-19 23:15:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	45	91¢	$41	0x37407b…
10-19 22:38:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	701	91¢	$640	0xad4c16…
10-19 22:36:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	479	91¢	$437	0xae3873…
10-19 22:36:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	651	91¢	$594	0x806671…
10-19 22:34:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	46	91¢	$42	0x32224c…
10-19 22:34:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0xd34fb3…
10-19 22:34:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x12871e…
10-19 22:34:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	1,579	91¢	$1,440	0x0afe6e…
10-19 22:34:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	219	91¢	$200	0x391f6a…
10-19 22:33:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	390	91¢	$355	0x42440c…
10-19 20:00:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x7855a7…
10-19 16:00:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	7,635	31¢	$2,363	0x3dbd68…
10-19 14:36:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	5,130	94¢	$4,822	0x717d03…