Productive-Talent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$531

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

98.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,400

lifetime

Volume

$1.23M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$879

Open exposure

$15

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-08 03:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

54% — —

Politics

42% 75% +$261

Crypto

4% 100% +$270

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes		+15	$15	97¢	$15	$-0	06-06 00:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	136	$230.4K	167,967	94,581	+73,386	open	—	05-20 00:19
Trump out as President by April 30?	127	$98.5K	76,869	22,576	+54,292	open	—	04-30 07:36
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?	50	$92.3K	62,040	30,867	+31,173	open	—	01-10 05:16
netanyahu out by march 31 854	22	$73.7K	73,591	2,000	+71,591	open	—	04-04 01:34
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	196	$71.3K	68,942	5,360	+63,582	open	—	03-01 11:10
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	2	$67.1K	67,233	0	+67,233	open	—	06-06 02:17
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	3	$63.1K	63,234	0	+63,234	open	—	06-08 03:12
will paradex launch a token on march 5	28	$46.5K	23,455	23,455	+0	open	—	03-07 02:05
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	72	$46.2K	23,728	23,728	+0	open	—	03-19 06:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	1	$39.9K	39,898	0	+39,898	No	+$40	05-09 03:26
trump out as president by march 31	93	$35.2K	17,809	17,809	+0	open	—	03-21 23:58
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	6	$32.5K	32,553	0	+32,553	open	—	03-07 03:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	44	$26.9K	24,000	3,000	+21,000	No	+$66	05-12 08:47
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	24	$23.0K	12,000	12,000	+0	open	—	03-16 12:44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	3	$23.0K	23,337	0	+23,337	No	+$330	05-03 11:03
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	29	$20.6K	18,102	2,817	+15,285	open	—	02-09 00:25
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	6	$18.6K	19,787	0	+19,787	open	—	04-30 10:09
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	9	$16.4K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	06-01 12:30
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	13	$14.6K	15,000	0	+15,000	open	—	01-11 10:07
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	8	$13.8K	14,532	0	+14,532	open	—	01-15 02:02
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	30	$12.5K	13,223	100	+13,123	open	—	03-16 03:52
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	9	$11.9K	11,296	2,828	+8,468	open	—	01-10 02:19
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	19	$10.6K	12,383	0	+12,383	open	—	05-14 03:09
us forces enter iran by march 7	2	$8.9K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	03-07 02:54
ice shooter fired by march 31	27	$8.6K	9,654	0	+9,654	open	—	03-11 09:34
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?	13	$6.1K	6,626	0	+6,626	open	—	01-06 02:57
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 600k 366	10	$5.0K	5,211	0	+5,211	open	—	01-14 11:40
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	3	$5.0K	6,577	0	+6,577	open	—	04-18 08:48
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	1	$4.9K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	02-01 11:28
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 5 million	23	$3.9K	4,108	0	+4,108	open	—	01-11 08:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 03:12:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	51,164	100¢	$51,113	0x70e80b…
06-07 01:48:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	10,000	99¢	$9,930	0x81180c…
06-06 02:19:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	2,070	99¢	$2,045	0xcd6f6c…
06-06 02:17:04	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	No	BUY	50,000	100¢	$49,950	0x690339…
06-06 00:44:36	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x7334d1…
06-06 00:36:16	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	No	BUY	17,233	100¢	$17,198	0x65ece7…
06-06 00:24:24	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt6t	No	BUY	2,626	97¢	$2,560	0x103616…
06-01 12:30:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10,000	82¢	$8,200	0x0f5d40…
06-01 12:20:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xbfd578…
06-01 12:20:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x6705e5…
06-01 12:20:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	82¢	$22	0x5bd425…
06-01 12:20:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,513	82¢	$2,068	0x46a5f4…
06-01 12:20:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,400	82¢	$1,975	0x366e26…
06-01 12:20:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x30b70f…
06-01 12:20:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xc7caff…
06-01 12:20:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,991	81¢	$4,042	0x4c98c7…
05-20 00:19:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	86	99¢	$85	0x2125c0…
05-19 14:25:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	17,443	99¢	$17,286	0xf68bb9…
05-19 14:25:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	600	99¢	$595	0x5471ca…
05-19 14:18:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6cf2d4…
05-19 14:15:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xefccd3…
05-19 14:14:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x261dd7…
05-19 14:07:11	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xc85415…
05-19 14:05:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb58f4f…
05-19 13:54:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	230	99¢	$228	0x4c0ba7…
05-19 13:53:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x18e64b…
05-19 13:50:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	3,116	99¢	$3,088	0x6537b2…
05-19 13:45:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3af23f…
05-19 13:41:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5b47c8…
05-19 13:32:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x25110b…
05-19 13:32:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	222	99¢	$220	0xf18e2c…
05-19 13:27:07	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	474	99¢	$470	0x33ffc2…
05-19 13:26:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	464	99¢	$460	0x6c51aa…
05-19 13:22:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x74b27d…
05-19 13:01:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	207	99¢	$205	0x221ab1…
05-19 12:56:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xdbdc78…
05-19 12:47:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	448	99¢	$444	0xc25761…
05-18 09:33:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	11,629	99¢	$11,490	0x270434…
05-18 09:32:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	4,000	99¢	$3,952	0xd03645…
05-18 09:29:01	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbecb44…
05-18 09:28:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	833	99¢	$823	0xa13bbd…
05-18 09:25:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3c35c6…
05-18 09:22:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf47ce5…
05-18 09:22:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x65202f…
05-18 09:22:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4edb34…
05-18 09:22:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x056667…
05-18 09:22:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf44c63…
05-18 09:22:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf441b1…
05-18 09:22:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x540b40…
05-18 09:22:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x57e233…
05-18 09:22:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x39ed32…
05-18 09:22:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x15a9db…
05-18 09:18:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	8,000	99¢	$7,904	0x87d877…
05-18 09:18:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x79733c…
05-18 09:18:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xbffd35…
05-18 09:16:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	4,000	99¢	$3,952	0xdd913f…
05-18 09:13:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xccdedd…
05-18 09:11:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xa288df…
05-18 09:11:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x63e6e1…
05-18 09:07:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9ec884…
05-18 09:07:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x633944…
05-18 09:07:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb3e008…
05-18 09:04:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	417	99¢	$412	0x2e529b…
05-18 09:00:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe05b70…
05-18 09:00:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3c8a2c…
05-18 09:00:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x13381c…
05-18 09:00:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x499200…
05-18 08:59:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x44fb3d…
05-18 08:58:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xbaa4b9…
05-18 08:57:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x8491ee…
05-18 08:51:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0x891464…
05-18 08:47:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	3,333	99¢	$3,293	0x157a7f…
05-18 08:46:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10,000	99¢	$9,880	0xd29827…
05-18 08:45:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x056635…
05-18 08:43:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa76e3e…
05-18 08:43:45	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc4048c…
05-18 08:43:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x3b106c…
05-18 08:38:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	315	99¢	$311	0x6bddf7…
05-18 08:38:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	7,321	99¢	$7,233	0xd6da78…
05-17 15:44:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	21,093	99¢	$20,903	0x4eeb31…
05-17 15:44:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	46,516	99¢	$46,097	0x33902f…
05-17 15:44:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	6,973	99¢	$6,910	0x050a4c…
05-17 05:32:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1,865	99¢	$1,850	0x53bf51…
05-17 05:32:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	4,175	99¢	$4,142	0xba6dfd…
05-17 03:06:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	945	99¢	$937	0xf34b6c…
05-17 03:06:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	753	99¢	$747	0xbddf06…
05-17 03:06:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	802	99¢	$795	0xaa7693…
05-16 14:28:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	2,954	99¢	$2,922	0xe0383e…
05-16 14:27:11	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	129	99¢	$128	0xe99988…
05-16 14:24:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa78007…
05-16 14:23:35	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x8c831c…
05-16 13:57:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0xfb55f7…
05-16 13:55:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$51	0xbcf757…
05-16 13:52:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	909	99¢	$899	0x9b4100…
05-16 13:40:01	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xef8cec…
05-16 13:38:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x26e9c0…
05-16 13:37:01	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xb520ce…
05-16 13:32:26	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x5b3b0c…
05-16 13:32:14	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x72eeab…
05-16 13:29:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	285	99¢	$282	0x5b6e88…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	90	$553.0K	9,783	06-08 13:59
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	89	$17.5M	20,339	06-07 19:02
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	85	$100.6K	9,120	03-28 06:05
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	80	$12.0K	2,126	06-09 13:05
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	78	$135.2K	801	06-07 21:33
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	75	$206.7K	18,142	05-04 07:56
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	75	$47.0K	14,776	04-17 01:26
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	74	$8.69K	4,876	06-09 20:10