Productive-Talent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$531

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,659

lifetime

Volume

$1.66M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$998

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 01:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

63% — —

Politics

32% 75% +$261

Crypto

3% 100% +$270

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	136	$230.4K	167,967	94,581	+73,386	open	—	05-20 00:19
Trump out as President by April 30?	127	$98.5K	76,869	22,576	+54,292	open	—	04-30 07:36
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?	50	$92.3K	62,040	30,867	+31,173	open	—	01-10 05:16
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	14	$90.9K	81,871	10,000	+71,871	open	—	06-24 08:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$78.0K	78,150	0	+78,150	open	—	07-03 01:47
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	19	$77.3K	63,680	14,000	+49,680	open	—	06-13 20:42
netanyahu out by march 31 854	22	$73.7K	73,591	2,000	+71,591	open	—	04-04 01:34
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	196	$71.3K	68,942	5,360	+63,582	open	—	03-01 11:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	29	$69.5K	70,000	0	+70,000	open	—	07-31 04:06
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	2	$67.1K	67,233	0	+67,233	open	—	06-06 02:17
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	3	$63.1K	63,234	0	+63,234	open	—	06-08 03:12
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$47.9K	48,000	0	+48,000	open	—	07-10 23:24
will paradex launch a token on march 5	28	$46.5K	23,455	23,455	+0	open	—	03-07 02:05
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	72	$46.2K	23,728	23,728	+0	open	—	03-19 06:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	1	$39.9K	39,898	0	+39,898	No	+$40	05-09 03:26
trump out as president by march 31	93	$35.2K	17,809	17,809	+0	open	—	03-21 23:58
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	6	$32.5K	32,553	0	+32,553	open	—	03-07 03:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	44	$26.9K	24,000	3,000	+21,000	No	+$66	05-12 08:47
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	24	$23.0K	12,000	12,000	+0	open	—	03-16 12:44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	3	$23.0K	23,337	0	+23,337	No	+$330	05-03 11:03
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	29	$20.6K	18,102	2,817	+15,285	open	—	02-09 00:25
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	6	$18.6K	19,787	0	+19,787	open	—	04-30 10:09
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	9	$16.4K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	06-01 12:30
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	11	$15.7K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	06-12 12:30
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	13	$14.6K	15,000	0	+15,000	open	—	01-11 10:07
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	8	$13.8K	14,532	0	+14,532	open	—	01-15 02:02
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	30	$12.5K	13,223	100	+13,123	open	—	03-16 03:52
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	9	$11.9K	11,296	2,828	+8,468	open	—	01-10 02:19
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	19	$10.6K	12,383	0	+12,383	open	—	05-14 03:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	34	$10.1K	17,161	0	+17,161	open	—	08-10 14:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 01:42:36	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	99	59¢	$58	0x2a1e68…
08-10 14:11:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	47¢	$940	0x73fda8…
08-10 12:24:34	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	1,951	59¢	$1,151	0x14fd73…
08-10 12:14:34	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	49	59¢	$29	0x120274…
08-04 13:33:47	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	4,000	65¢	$2,600	0x77bfad…
08-01 10:28:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	47¢	$940	0x9a34d3…
08-01 03:44:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	3,283	90¢	$2,955	0x21eee7…
08-01 03:35:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0xf91ff1…
08-01 03:35:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	500	90¢	$450	0x7c931d…
08-01 03:31:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	111	90¢	$100	0x7b68ef…
08-01 03:28:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x1a9d87…
07-31 11:01:17	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	784	72¢	$565	0x483b37…
07-31 11:01:05	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	39	72¢	$28	0xa3a587…
07-31 10:45:08	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	76	72¢	$55	0x3ec02a…
07-31 10:28:48	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	31	72¢	$22	0x8bee80…
07-31 10:05:30	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0x8806c0…
07-31 08:59:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1,000	71¢	$710	0x1b5e42…
07-31 04:14:35	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x09caf9…
07-31 04:06:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	30,000	100¢	$29,970	0x5b78be…
07-30 23:48:03	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	2,592	73¢	$1,897	0x1933a9…
07-30 23:15:48	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	392	73¢	$287	0xf7c0bf…
07-30 23:15:48	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	16	73¢	$12	0x86c875…
07-30 04:30:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	237	79¢	$188	0x54ce55…
07-30 04:26:14	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0xf07fcc…
07-30 04:26:14	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x0ab8bf…
07-30 04:26:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf6dea7…
07-30 04:26:11	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x510517…
07-30 04:25:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x1600fe…
07-30 04:25:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xfe0057…
07-30 04:25:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xea2478…
07-30 04:25:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xda8d17…
07-30 04:25:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xe387e7…
07-30 04:25:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x8b8611…
07-30 04:25:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0x245ef6…
07-30 04:25:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xd2016e…
07-30 04:25:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x7c3ae4…
07-30 04:25:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x661405…
07-30 04:25:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x9fa014…
07-30 04:25:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x7e91cc…
07-30 04:00:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	8	79¢	$7	0x4fb489…
07-30 03:59:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0xffd4c6…
07-30 03:59:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x46650e…
07-30 03:59:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0xe374d4…
07-30 03:59:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x9766bd…
07-30 03:59:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0xeea840…
07-30 03:59:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0x9619c6…
07-30 03:59:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	24	79¢	$19	0x7fe6d5…
07-30 03:59:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x176e05…
07-30 03:53:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	22	79¢	$17	0xec4d7f…
07-30 03:53:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0xe04858…
07-30 03:53:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xdac38e…
07-30 03:53:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	22	79¢	$17	0x770282…
07-30 03:53:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x38748c…
07-30 03:53:53	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	36	79¢	$29	0xf0bb80…
07-30 03:53:53	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0x621dfe…
07-30 03:53:53	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x15f4ef…
07-30 03:53:53	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1	79¢	$0	0x09f122…
07-30 03:34:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0x0d723e…
07-30 03:34:02	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x0fee09…
07-30 03:33:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	800	79¢	$632	0x87fc69…
07-30 03:33:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0x05a9b8…
07-30 03:31:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x441275…
07-30 03:31:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x28cc47…
07-30 03:31:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x1e84c4…
07-30 03:31:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0xf4c9df…
07-30 03:31:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xcc531f…
07-30 03:31:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0xe1111a…
07-30 03:31:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xabf239…
07-30 03:31:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0xa72612…
07-30 03:31:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0x413477…
07-30 03:25:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xe11312…
07-30 03:25:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xa15834…
07-30 03:25:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	3	79¢	$3	0x943f17…
07-30 03:25:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0xf734a4…
07-30 03:25:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xd35d02…
07-30 03:25:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x5601a9…
07-30 03:25:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x3ce3ea…
07-30 03:25:29	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0x81c8ce…
07-30 03:25:29	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1	79¢	$0	0x6b3ddc…
07-30 03:22:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xd54c3b…
07-30 03:13:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0xf7fe17…
07-30 03:12:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1,526	79¢	$1,206	0x7ff66a…
07-22 13:01:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	375	99¢	$370	0x2e7841…
07-22 13:00:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x3e0da8…
07-22 12:27:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	455	99¢	$450	0x4483c7…
07-22 12:27:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xdda4d0…
07-22 12:26:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf613b4…
07-22 12:25:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xa64e12…
07-22 12:17:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	455	99¢	$450	0x47a543…
07-22 12:05:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	239	99¢	$236	0x6c463b…
07-22 10:45:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,500	99¢	$1,484	0x461c60…
07-22 10:37:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	3,000	99¢	$2,967	0xac7344…
07-22 10:33:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2,321	99¢	$2,296	0x41ca09…
07-22 10:22:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,962	53¢	$1,040	0x5bd6bb…
07-22 10:11:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x8addb7…
07-22 10:11:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbcd0d9…
07-22 10:01:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0xf99b72…
07-22 09:55:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	369	99¢	$365	0xb3f2ad…
07-22 09:41:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	169	99¢	$168	0x9f882d…
07-22 09:19:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	27	53¢	$14	0x0a39a7…