Productive-Talent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$531

Unrealized P&L

-$1.06K

Hit rate

98.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,546

lifetime

Volume

$1.57M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.02K

Open exposure

$6.08K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-11 10:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

62% — —

Politics

33% 75% +$261

Crypto

3% 100% +$270

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes		+11,161	$7,143	55¢	$6.1K	$-1,060	07-11 10:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	136	$230.4K	167,967	94,581	+73,386	open	—	05-20 00:19
Trump out as President by April 30?	127	$98.5K	76,869	22,576	+54,292	open	—	04-30 07:36
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?	50	$92.3K	62,040	30,867	+31,173	open	—	01-10 05:16
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	14	$90.9K	81,871	10,000	+71,871	open	—	06-24 08:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$78.0K	78,150	0	+78,150	open	—	07-03 01:47
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	19	$77.3K	63,680	14,000	+49,680	open	—	06-13 20:42
netanyahu out by march 31 854	22	$73.7K	73,591	2,000	+71,591	open	—	04-04 01:34
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	196	$71.3K	68,942	5,360	+63,582	open	—	03-01 11:10
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	2	$67.1K	67,233	0	+67,233	open	—	06-06 02:17
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	3	$63.1K	63,234	0	+63,234	open	—	06-08 03:12
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$47.9K	48,000	0	+48,000	open	—	07-10 23:24
will paradex launch a token on march 5	28	$46.5K	23,455	23,455	+0	open	—	03-07 02:05
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	72	$46.2K	23,728	23,728	+0	open	—	03-19 06:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	1	$39.9K	39,898	0	+39,898	No	+$40	05-09 03:26
trump out as president by march 31	93	$35.2K	17,809	17,809	+0	open	—	03-21 23:58
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	6	$32.5K	32,553	0	+32,553	open	—	03-07 03:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	44	$26.9K	24,000	3,000	+21,000	No	+$66	05-12 08:47
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	24	$23.0K	12,000	12,000	+0	open	—	03-16 12:44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	3	$23.0K	23,337	0	+23,337	No	+$330	05-03 11:03
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	29	$20.6K	18,102	2,817	+15,285	open	—	02-09 00:25
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	6	$18.6K	19,787	0	+19,787	open	—	04-30 10:09
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	9	$16.4K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	06-01 12:30
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	11	$15.7K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	06-12 12:30
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	13	$14.6K	15,000	0	+15,000	open	—	01-11 10:07
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	8	$13.8K	14,532	0	+14,532	open	—	01-15 02:02
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	30	$12.5K	13,223	100	+13,123	open	—	03-16 03:52
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	9	$11.9K	11,296	2,828	+8,468	open	—	01-10 02:19
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	19	$10.6K	12,383	0	+12,383	open	—	05-14 03:09
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	25	$9.0K	8,122	8,122	+0	open	—	06-14 21:55
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	18	$9.0K	0	9,630	-9,630	open	—	06-13 17:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 10:31:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	111	64¢	$71	0x9706f0…
07-11 10:22:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$11	0x24548b…
07-11 10:13:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	83	64¢	$53	0x076160…
07-11 10:02:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	56	64¢	$36	0x672ecf…
07-11 09:59:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x9e497d…
07-11 09:59:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	137	64¢	$88	0x437981…
07-11 09:40:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	75	64¢	$48	0x33c422…
07-11 09:14:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	53	64¢	$34	0x46f9cc…
07-11 09:14:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	257	64¢	$165	0x28c03b…
07-11 09:05:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	22	64¢	$14	0x18a8e6…
07-11 08:58:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x043379…
07-11 06:36:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	60	64¢	$39	0xfa2153…
07-11 06:07:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	56	64¢	$36	0xe854ae…
07-11 05:17:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x5092e1…
07-11 05:17:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	54	64¢	$35	0x67fff4…
07-11 05:11:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$7	0x752444…
07-11 05:06:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x99e69e…
07-11 05:06:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0xd62de6…
07-11 05:06:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	64¢	$1	0x2f492e…
07-11 05:06:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	55	64¢	$35	0xbe34a8…
07-11 04:54:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,667	64¢	$1,707	0x7f0349…
07-11 02:27:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x4262d8…
07-11 02:20:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8e2f7e…
07-11 02:16:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0xa263d6…
07-11 02:15:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x875cf5…
07-11 01:42:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	833	64¢	$533	0xa14b02…
07-11 01:22:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	300	64¢	$192	0xd8d0ff…
07-10 23:25:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xb6746d…
07-10 23:24:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,985	0x9d1c95…
07-10 23:24:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	43,000	100¢	$42,871	0xc15304…
07-10 23:21:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6,200	64¢	$3,968	0x3796d3…
07-03 01:47:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	78,150	100¢	$77,994	0xc1283a…
06-24 08:53:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	17,559	100¢	$17,524	0xeaa5ef…
06-24 08:53:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	33,941	100¢	$33,873	0x495a28…
06-14 21:55:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	8,122	19¢	$1,553	0x125264…
06-13 20:42:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	2,780	100¢	$2,769	0x16e425…
06-13 17:57:21	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	101	93¢	$94	0xe81ea3…
06-13 17:55:43	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	400	93¢	$372	0x64b190…
06-13 17:38:21	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xd68cc1…
06-13 17:38:15	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0xcdd1bd…
06-13 17:38:03	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xd43c62…
06-13 17:38:03	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	54	93¢	$50	0x196882…
06-13 16:32:43	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x98876f…
06-13 16:32:43	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x975b37…
06-13 16:32:31	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	18	93¢	$17	0xa93f41…
06-13 16:32:30	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x323d34…
06-13 16:32:30	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x1e1c5b…
06-13 15:42:13	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	2,159	93¢	$2,008	0x538767…
06-13 11:46:37	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x9569ed…
06-13 06:33:25	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x092ac0…
06-13 06:33:03	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x183d56…
06-13 05:54:10	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	108	93¢	$100	0xeb241c…
06-13 05:52:28	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	161	93¢	$150	0x5da814…
06-13 01:38:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	62	84¢	$52	0x4e651b…
06-13 00:29:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	101	83¢	$84	0x43d798…
06-13 00:29:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	33,300	100¢	$33,200	0x9612c5…
06-12 22:48:43	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	6,601	93¢	$6,139	0x82a775…
06-12 19:42:57	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	SELL	8,658	0¢	$9	0xde7c10…
06-12 19:42:36	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	SELL	3,713	0¢	$4	0x01c76b…
06-12 13:28:22	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x18bb27…
06-12 13:27:30	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	88	19¢	$17	0x752d0e…
06-12 13:25:57	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	250	19¢	$48	0xabfbb2…
06-12 13:25:43	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x19cb7e…
06-12 12:55:18	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	1,442	23¢	$332	0x724f54…
06-12 12:43:37	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xdd4d34…
06-12 12:40:28	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x9765af…
06-12 12:35:54	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	56	23¢	$13	0x5aa4d3…
06-12 12:34:51	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x3536a3…
06-12 12:30:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	5,000	78¢	$3,900	0x5ba139…
06-12 12:24:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	3,079	99¢	$3,061	0xd40054…
06-12 12:21:30	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	3,000	78¢	$2,340	0xc921b4…
06-12 12:12:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	1,921	99¢	$1,909	0x93485a…
06-12 12:11:55	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	5,975	78¢	$4,660	0x3b7c61…
06-12 12:06:28	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xf2f7a4…
06-12 11:55:31	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x8749a5…
06-12 11:54:34	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x8bc103…
06-12 11:54:19	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x2523f1…
06-12 11:53:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5,000	99¢	$4,931	0xd37e81…
06-12 11:50:42	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	4,327	79¢	$3,418	0x4df2c2…
06-12 11:50:33	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x703cda…
06-12 11:50:30	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0xdb94e0…
06-12 11:50:28	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	1,661	79¢	$1,312	0xb630ae…
06-12 11:43:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5,000	99¢	$4,930	0xecd320…
06-12 11:00:06	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x6facdc…
06-12 10:59:25	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	82	39¢	$32	0xd69945…
06-12 10:58:54	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	66	39¢	$26	0x3b4d36…
06-12 10:58:16	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x36f639…
06-12 10:57:39	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	2,000	39¢	$780	0x4b5d93…
06-12 10:57:28	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	3,991	39¢	$1,556	0x398b5c…
06-12 09:29:16	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0xbe7466…
06-12 09:27:33	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xdf05a5…
06-12 09:11:04	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x2ab811…
06-12 08:41:52	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	31	18¢	$6	0x3d9462…
06-12 08:28:45	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	783	18¢	$141	0x21ac4f…
06-12 08:14:30	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	937	18¢	$169	0xf27a4e…
06-12 08:14:00	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	2,371	38¢	$901	0x928802…
06-12 08:08:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	292	99¢	$290	0x4dbd3e…
06-12 08:08:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x24b8be…
06-12 08:04:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x24965a…
06-12 08:01:25	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	129	38¢	$49	0x8e096d…