Productive-Talent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$531

Unrealized P&L

-$35

Hit rate

98.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,514

lifetime

Volume

$1.44M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$949

Open exposure

$81.4K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-24 08:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

58% — —

Politics

36% 75% +$261

Crypto

4% 100% +$270

Tech

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No		+71,871	$71,208	100¢	$71.8K	+$591	06-24 08:53
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No		-9,630	$-8,956	100¢	$-9582	$-626	06-13 17:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	136	$230.4K	167,967	94,581	+73,386	open	—	05-20 00:19
Trump out as President by April 30?	127	$98.5K	76,869	22,576	+54,292	open	—	04-30 07:36
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?	50	$92.3K	62,040	30,867	+31,173	open	—	01-10 05:16
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	14	$90.9K	81,871	10,000	+71,871	open	—	06-24 08:53
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	19	$77.3K	63,680	14,000	+49,680	open	—	06-13 20:42
netanyahu out by march 31 854	22	$73.7K	73,591	2,000	+71,591	open	—	04-04 01:34
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	196	$71.3K	68,942	5,360	+63,582	open	—	03-01 11:10
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	2	$67.1K	67,233	0	+67,233	open	—	06-06 02:17
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	3	$63.1K	63,234	0	+63,234	open	—	06-08 03:12
will paradex launch a token on march 5	28	$46.5K	23,455	23,455	+0	open	—	03-07 02:05
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	72	$46.2K	23,728	23,728	+0	open	—	03-19 06:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	1	$39.9K	39,898	0	+39,898	No	+$40	05-09 03:26
trump out as president by march 31	93	$35.2K	17,809	17,809	+0	open	—	03-21 23:58
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	6	$32.5K	32,553	0	+32,553	open	—	03-07 03:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	44	$26.9K	24,000	3,000	+21,000	No	+$66	05-12 08:47
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	24	$23.0K	12,000	12,000	+0	open	—	03-16 12:44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	3	$23.0K	23,337	0	+23,337	No	+$330	05-03 11:03
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	29	$20.6K	18,102	2,817	+15,285	open	—	02-09 00:25
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	6	$18.6K	19,787	0	+19,787	open	—	04-30 10:09
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	9	$16.4K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	06-01 12:30
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	11	$15.7K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	06-12 12:30
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	13	$14.6K	15,000	0	+15,000	open	—	01-11 10:07
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	8	$13.8K	14,532	0	+14,532	open	—	01-15 02:02
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	30	$12.5K	13,223	100	+13,123	open	—	03-16 03:52
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	9	$11.9K	11,296	2,828	+8,468	open	—	01-10 02:19
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	19	$10.6K	12,383	0	+12,383	open	—	05-14 03:09
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	25	$9.0K	8,122	8,122	+0	open	—	06-14 21:55
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	18	$9.0K	0	9,630	-9,630	open	—	06-13 17:57
us forces enter iran by march 7	2	$8.9K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	03-07 02:54
ice shooter fired by march 31	27	$8.6K	9,654	0	+9,654	open	—	03-11 09:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 08:53:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	17,559	100¢	$17,524	0xeaa5ef…
06-24 08:53:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	33,941	100¢	$33,873	0x495a28…
06-14 21:55:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	8,122	19¢	$1,553	0x125264…
06-13 20:42:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	2,780	100¢	$2,769	0x16e425…
06-13 17:57:21	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	101	93¢	$94	0xe81ea3…
06-13 17:55:43	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	400	93¢	$372	0x64b190…
06-13 17:38:21	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xd68cc1…
06-13 17:38:15	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0xcdd1bd…
06-13 17:38:03	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xd43c62…
06-13 17:38:03	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	54	93¢	$50	0x196882…
06-13 16:32:43	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x98876f…
06-13 16:32:43	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x975b37…
06-13 16:32:31	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	18	93¢	$17	0xa93f41…
06-13 16:32:30	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x323d34…
06-13 16:32:30	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x1e1c5b…
06-13 15:42:13	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	2,159	93¢	$2,008	0x538767…
06-13 11:46:37	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x9569ed…
06-13 06:33:25	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x092ac0…
06-13 06:33:03	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x183d56…
06-13 05:54:10	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	108	93¢	$100	0xeb241c…
06-13 05:52:28	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	161	93¢	$150	0x5da814…
06-13 01:38:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	62	84¢	$52	0x4e651b…
06-13 00:29:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	101	83¢	$84	0x43d798…
06-13 00:29:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	33,300	100¢	$33,200	0x9612c5…
06-12 22:48:43	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	6,601	93¢	$6,139	0x82a775…
06-12 19:42:57	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	SELL	8,658	0¢	$9	0xde7c10…
06-12 19:42:36	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	SELL	3,713	0¢	$4	0x01c76b…
06-12 13:28:22	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x18bb27…
06-12 13:27:30	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	88	19¢	$17	0x752d0e…
06-12 13:25:57	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	250	19¢	$48	0xabfbb2…
06-12 13:25:43	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x19cb7e…
06-12 12:55:18	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	1,442	23¢	$332	0x724f54…
06-12 12:43:37	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xdd4d34…
06-12 12:40:28	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x9765af…
06-12 12:35:54	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	56	23¢	$13	0x5aa4d3…
06-12 12:34:51	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x3536a3…
06-12 12:30:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	5,000	78¢	$3,900	0x5ba139…
06-12 12:24:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	3,079	99¢	$3,061	0xd40054…
06-12 12:21:30	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	3,000	78¢	$2,340	0xc921b4…
06-12 12:12:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	1,921	99¢	$1,909	0x93485a…
06-12 12:11:55	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	5,975	78¢	$4,660	0x3b7c61…
06-12 12:06:28	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xf2f7a4…
06-12 11:55:31	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x8749a5…
06-12 11:54:34	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x8bc103…
06-12 11:54:19	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x2523f1…
06-12 11:53:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5,000	99¢	$4,931	0xd37e81…
06-12 11:50:42	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	4,327	79¢	$3,418	0x4df2c2…
06-12 11:50:33	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x703cda…
06-12 11:50:30	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0xdb94e0…
06-12 11:50:28	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	1,661	79¢	$1,312	0xb630ae…
06-12 11:43:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	5,000	99¢	$4,930	0xecd320…
06-12 11:00:06	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x6facdc…
06-12 10:59:25	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	82	39¢	$32	0xd69945…
06-12 10:58:54	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	66	39¢	$26	0x3b4d36…
06-12 10:58:16	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x36f639…
06-12 10:57:39	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	2,000	39¢	$780	0x4b5d93…
06-12 10:57:28	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	3,991	39¢	$1,556	0x398b5c…
06-12 09:29:16	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0xbe7466…
06-12 09:27:33	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xdf05a5…
06-12 09:11:04	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x2ab811…
06-12 08:41:52	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	31	18¢	$6	0x3d9462…
06-12 08:28:45	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	783	18¢	$141	0x21ac4f…
06-12 08:14:30	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	937	18¢	$169	0xf27a4e…
06-12 08:14:00	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	2,371	38¢	$901	0x928802…
06-12 08:08:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	292	99¢	$290	0x4dbd3e…
06-12 08:08:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x24b8be…
06-12 08:04:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x24965a…
06-12 08:01:25	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	129	38¢	$49	0x8e096d…
06-12 08:01:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	117	99¢	$116	0x84dcb0…
06-12 08:00:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	149	99¢	$148	0x73fcd7…
06-12 08:00:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	127	99¢	$126	0x7058ca…
06-12 08:00:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	115	99¢	$115	0xb3fbd0…
06-12 08:00:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0x050393…
06-12 08:00:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	106	99¢	$105	0x9bb793…
06-12 07:58:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x0c51c7…
06-12 07:46:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	3,827	99¢	$3,804	0xd21285…
06-12 04:49:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	21	89¢	$19	0x3db6f2…
06-12 03:59:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	2,094	89¢	$1,859	0xde31ba…
06-12 03:59:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x39c286…
06-12 03:59:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	2,010	89¢	$1,785	0xb266d7…
06-12 03:57:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	215	89¢	$191	0xc3b195…
06-12 03:57:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x7a55bc…
06-12 03:57:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	132	89¢	$117	0x27b367…
06-12 03:56:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	4,000	99¢	$3,976	0x734c50…
06-10 23:27:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	7,600	100¢	$7,562	0x7f5e34…
06-10 23:27:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,950	0x6071b4…
06-10 23:23:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	371	98¢	$362	0x572d42…
06-10 22:54:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	9,046	98¢	$8,838	0x5dedbf…
06-10 22:52:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	10,000	98¢	$9,770	0xc32bd5…
06-10 22:31:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	7,737	98¢	$7,559	0x704587…
06-10 22:22:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	87	98¢	$85	0x09d3f5…
06-10 22:20:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	509	98¢	$497	0x8ad1de…
06-10 22:10:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	164	98¢	$160	0x381031…
06-10 22:08:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	425	98¢	$415	0x6aaa83…
06-10 22:07:01	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	2,000	98¢	$1,954	0xe93c42…
06-10 22:02:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,950	0xcf7e20…
06-10 22:01:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0x017a69…
06-10 21:40:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0xbb9fc4…
06-10 21:40:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	179	97¢	$174	0x7edf73…
06-10 21:39:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	333	97¢	$324	0xe4917e…