Productive-Talent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18.5K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.4%

Resolved

128

Trades

1,854

lifetime

Volume

$1.74M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$938

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-20 02:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Other

64% 83% +$19,127

Politics

32% 78% -$2,264

Crypto

3% 88% +$3,250

Tech

1% 67% +$323

Sports

0% 50% -$1,003

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$964

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	136	$230.4K	167,967	94,581	+73,386	No	+$1,451	05-20 00:19
Trump out as President by April 30?	127	$98.5K	76,869	22,576	+54,292	No	+$791	04-30 07:36
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?	50	$92.3K	62,040	30,867	+31,173	Yes	+$493	01-10 05:16
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	14	$90.9K	81,871	10,000	+71,871	No	+$663	06-24 08:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$78.0K	78,150	0	+78,150	No	+$156	07-03 01:47
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	19	$77.3K	63,680	14,000	+49,680	No	+$165	06-13 20:42
netanyahu out by march 31 854	22	$73.7K	73,591	2,000	+71,591	No	+$1,884	04-04 01:34
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	196	$71.3K	68,942	5,360	+63,582	Yes	+$2,360	03-01 11:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	29	$69.5K	70,000	0	+70,000	No	+$470	07-31 04:06
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	2	$67.1K	67,233	0	+67,233	No	+$84	06-06 02:17
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	3	$63.1K	63,234	0	+63,234	No	+$146	06-08 03:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	2	$53.8K	54,252	0	+54,252	No	+$442	05-09 03:26
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$47.9K	48,000	0	+48,000	No	+$144	07-10 23:24
will paradex launch a token on march 5	28	$46.5K	23,455	23,455	+0	Yes	+$387	03-07 02:05
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	72	$46.2K	23,728	23,728	+0	No	+$283	03-19 06:32
trump out as president by march 31	93	$35.2K	17,809	17,809	+0	No	+$279	03-21 23:58
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	6	$32.5K	32,553	0	+32,553	No	+$85	03-07 03:25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	42	$30.7K	38,781	0	+38,781	Yes	+$8,105	07-25 13:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	44	$26.9K	24,000	3,000	+21,000	No	+$66	05-12 08:47
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	4	$23.3K	23,632	0	+23,632	No	+$336	05-04 08:34
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	24	$23.0K	12,000	12,000	+0	No	+$74	03-16 12:44
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	29	$20.6K	18,102	2,817	+15,285	Yes	+$290	02-09 00:25
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	6	$18.6K	19,787	0	+19,787	Yes	+$1,174	04-30 10:09
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	38	$16.8K	9,630	9,630	+0	No	+$1,088	06-13 17:57
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	9	$16.4K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$35	06-01 12:30
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	11	$15.7K	20,000	0	+20,000	Yes	+$4,340	06-12 12:30
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	13	$14.6K	15,000	0	+15,000	No	+$423	01-11 10:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	36	$14.4K	17,161	17,161	+0	open	—	09-06 22:50
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	8	$13.8K	14,532	0	+14,532	Yes	+$767	01-15 02:02
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	30	$12.5K	13,223	100	+13,123	No	+$788	03-16 03:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 02:06:16	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	No	BUY	344	71¢	$245	0x78403a…
09-09 02:44:12	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60,921	0¢	$244	0xdc6b36…
09-09 01:13:22	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	No	BUY	98	66¢	$65	0xf4854c…
09-09 01:12:55	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	No	BUY	70	66¢	$46	0x8f50e4…
09-09 01:12:40	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x7cb856…
09-09 01:12:25	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x699d70…
09-09 01:12:13	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	0¢	$0	0xe1c09a…
09-09 01:12:12	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x845735…
09-09 01:12:12	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x370b2c…
09-09 01:12:09	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x1e0b97…
09-09 01:12:06	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	0¢	$0	0xc60138…
09-09 01:12:03	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xfb1a14…
09-09 01:12:03	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xf606c2…
09-09 01:12:03	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xe047bc…
09-09 01:12:03	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xa36162…
09-09 01:12:03	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x9e221a…
09-09 01:12:03	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x8df0e0…
09-09 01:12:03	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x8cb5bd…
09-09 01:12:03	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x730913…
09-09 01:12:03	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x6fc50b…
09-09 01:12:03	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x6ef621…
09-09 01:12:03	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x5a2cd4…
09-09 01:12:01	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xfe929a…
09-09 01:12:01	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xe95213…
09-09 01:12:01	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xa863d3…
09-09 01:12:01	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x71633a…
09-09 01:12:01	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x6f7f99…
09-09 01:12:01	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27,040	0¢	$109	0x4c7f6d…
09-09 01:12:01	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x05fee2…
09-08 16:09:40	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	No	BUY	5,705	66¢	$3,766	0x2132ed…
09-08 10:36:25	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	167	1¢	$1	0x5996fe…
09-08 10:29:33	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0xd1acfb…
09-08 10:26:49	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	167	1¢	$1	0xf1067f…
09-08 07:15:54	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	265	1¢	$2	0x0cdb18…
09-07 21:14:34	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x27ad0d…
09-07 19:50:57	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xe39ab8…
09-07 15:28:36	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,162	1¢	$9	0x5b5355…
09-07 15:05:07	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,723	1¢	$27	0x1ac200…
09-07 14:39:39	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	No	SELL	5,115	66¢	$3,376	0x87aac1…
09-07 13:44:37	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	No	SELL	149	66¢	$99	0xa4578b…
09-07 13:03:18	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	690	1¢	$7	0x5078fa…
09-07 12:31:00	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	No	SELL	30	66¢	$20	0xdb2232…
09-07 11:33:45	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	No	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x0f2885…
09-07 11:12:49	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6963f6…
09-07 10:36:07	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	No	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0x5ac62a…
09-07 10:35:04	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	No	SELL	150	66¢	$99	0x0b3a30…
09-07 10:33:09	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	No	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0x05dbdc…
09-07 10:30:27	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	No	SELL	7	66¢	$5	0x853d3c…
09-07 10:08:24	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	No	SELL	14	66¢	$9	0xc9adce…
09-07 10:07:48	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	No	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0xf1314a…
09-07 09:50:09	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xc70e5b…
09-07 09:45:04	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	No	SELL	7	66¢	$5	0xe35347…
09-07 09:41:40	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	No	SELL	7	66¢	$4	0x748445…
09-07 08:48:10	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xb4ecef…
09-07 08:13:13	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	454	1¢	$5	0x17f85f…
09-07 07:33:13	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	No	SELL	253	66¢	$167	0xac483e…
09-07 06:28:57	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x933c0f…
09-07 06:28:09	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0x788f0f…
09-07 05:27:25	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15,180	1¢	$182	0x905c7b…
09-07 01:26:27	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	No	SELL	25	66¢	$16	0xa6ddd9…
09-07 00:29:19	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x386453…
09-06 22:54:37	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	769	1¢	$9	0x94de58…
09-06 22:54:01	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	No	SELL	319	66¢	$210	0x17cc68…
09-06 22:50:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	9,661	25¢	$2,415	0x866c91…
09-06 20:49:27	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xc136b5…
09-06 19:11:19	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0xb4e069…
09-06 19:08:16	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x3b1e28…
09-06 16:56:48	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	1¢	$1	0xecdbf3…
09-06 16:49:31	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69,900	1¢	$769	0x13aac9…
09-06 13:19:54	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0xad3f06…
09-06 11:56:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7,500	26¢	$1,950	0xb56d7a…
08-11 01:42:36	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	99	59¢	$58	0x2a1e68…
08-10 14:11:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	47¢	$940	0x73fda8…
08-10 12:24:34	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	1,951	59¢	$1,151	0x14fd73…
08-10 12:14:34	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	49	59¢	$29	0x120274…
08-04 13:33:47	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	4,000	65¢	$2,600	0x77bfad…
08-01 10:28:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	47¢	$940	0x9a34d3…
08-01 03:44:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	3,283	90¢	$2,955	0x21eee7…
08-01 03:35:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0xf91ff1…
08-01 03:35:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	500	90¢	$450	0x7c931d…
08-01 03:31:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	111	90¢	$100	0x7b68ef…
08-01 03:28:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x1a9d87…
07-31 11:01:17	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	784	72¢	$565	0x483b37…
07-31 11:01:05	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	39	72¢	$28	0xa3a587…
07-31 10:45:08	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	76	72¢	$55	0x3ec02a…
07-31 10:28:48	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	31	72¢	$22	0x8bee80…
07-31 10:05:30	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0x8806c0…
07-31 08:59:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1,000	71¢	$710	0x1b5e42…
07-31 04:14:35	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x09caf9…
07-31 04:06:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	30,000	100¢	$29,970	0x5b78be…
07-30 23:48:03	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	2,592	73¢	$1,897	0x1933a9…
07-30 23:15:48	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	392	73¢	$287	0xf7c0bf…
07-30 23:15:48	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	16	73¢	$12	0x86c875…
07-30 04:30:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	237	79¢	$188	0x54ce55…
07-30 04:26:14	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0xf07fcc…
07-30 04:26:14	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x0ab8bf…
07-30 04:26:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf6dea7…
07-30 04:26:11	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x510517…
07-30 04:25:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x1600fe…
07-30 04:25:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xfe0057…