Realized P&L
+$28.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$89
Hit rate
65.0%
Resolved
1,118
Trades
11,738
lifetime
Volume
$1.69M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$144
Open exposure
$57.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 10:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 192 days
Categories
Politics
69% 43% +$25,132
Other
18% 49% +$5,713
Sports
11% 50% -$2,193
Crypto
1% 55% +$158
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 405 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +20,510 $14,097 74¢ $15.1K +$978 10-27 00:14
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +11,041 $6,926 66¢ $7.2K +$305 10-21 14:10
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +8,080 $5,628 72¢ $5.9K +$230 10-27 09:41
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +8,000 $5,075 66¢ $5.3K +$245 10-27 09:09
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -4,077 -$2,801 86¢ $-3492 -$691 09-11 15:09
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,929 $2,605 66¢ $2.6K +$8 10-24 21:53
No one announced as next James Bond? No +2,655 $1,935 75¢ $2.0K +$55 10-17 01:22
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,309 $1,727 74¢ $1.7K -$7 10-16 15:40
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? No +4,080 $1,613 40¢ $1.6K -$1 10-21 19:26
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,025 $1,432 62¢ $1.2K -$187 10-01 06:17
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +1,547 $1,107 72¢ $1.1K -$1 10-23 16:59
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -2,826 -$271 38¢ $-1081 -$810 10-03 20:12
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +1,246 $901 76¢ $953 +$52 10-03 16:55
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,348 $839 68¢ $923 +$84 10-16 15:39
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +2,064 $774 42¢ $856 +$82 09-21 19:22
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,243 $1,224 37¢ $822 -$401 10-05 11:33
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -3,996 -$1,155 17¢ $-661 +$493 09-10 22:24
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,000 $660 66¢ $655 -$5 10-27 11:21
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,000 $670 64¢ $635 -$35 10-01 08:37
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -592 -$460 81¢ $-480 -$20 10-25 16:43
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +4,000 $570 12¢ $460 -$110 10-05 01:39
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +500 $440 86¢ $428 -$12 10-10 12:54
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +623 $439 68¢ $427 -$12 10-25 04:56
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +500 $425 78¢ $388 -$38 10-09 09:18
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,404 $386 15¢ $352 -$33 09-10 03:55
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +400 $336 87¢ $348 +$12 09-18 20:24
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +500 $235 66¢ $330 +$95 09-20 15:07
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $273 96¢ $287 +$14 09-25 21:00
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No -300 -$233 94¢ $-282 -$49 06-02 15:41
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +1,500 $430 18¢ $277 -$152 09-26 13:25