Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$123
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
4
lifetime
Volume
$855
lifetime
Avg / trade
$214
Open exposure
$732
4 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-06 11:52
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
81%
Other
19%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? Yes -1,013 $-294 30¢ $-299 $-5 05-06 11:42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? Yes -900 $-279 25¢ $-225 +$54 05-06 11:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes -475 $-119 26¢ $-121 $-2 05-06 11:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? Yes -1,633 $-163 $-87 +$76 05-06 11:52