Realized P&L
+$28.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$89
Hit rate
65.0%
Resolved
1,118
Trades
11,738
lifetime
Volume
$1.69M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$144
Open exposure
$57.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 10:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 192 days
Categories
Politics
69%
43%
+$25,132
Other
18%
49%
+$5,713
Sports
11%
50%
-$2,193
Crypto
1%
55%
+$158
Tech
0%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk
• peak 405 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913 | 180 | $105.3K | 68,912 | 67,724 | +1,188 | No | +$4,357 | 01-15 03:36 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 330 | $78.9K | 75,290 | 63,476 | +11,813 | No | -$4,988 | 01-30 02:59 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 30 | 319 | $76.7K | 77,900 | 74,478 | +3,422 | Yes | +$12,314 | 04-07 23:27 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | 366 | $50.3K | 77,276 | 76,916 | +360 | Yes | +$1,663 | 05-01 12:17 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 357 | $46.5K | 93,779 | 57,700 | +36,078 | No | -$10,768 | 05-29 18:50 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | 225 | $45.9K | 40,002 | 22,586 | +17,416 | Yes | +$6,021 | 10-26 22:44 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026 | 291 | $42.6K | 91,607 | 95,496 | -3,889 | No | +$4,931 | 04-21 19:46 |
| will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929 | 100 | $31.4K | 22,582 | 22,382 | +200 | No | +$923 | 03-23 15:44 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 78 | $27.1K | 19,896 | 19,796 | +100 | No | +$1,013 | 10-25 22:59 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129 | 112 | $25.8K | 35,941 | 35,941 | +0 | Yes | +$5,967 | 06-16 18:47 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 187 | $25.7K | 16,357 | 16,327 | +29 | open | — | 10-26 16:55 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 55 | $23.9K | 16,583 | 17,083 | -500 | No | -$406 | 01-14 20:09 |
| us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612 | 86 | $22.3K | 25,254 | 25,910 | -656 | No | +$230 | 01-15 03:38 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | 238 | $22.0K | 62,533 | 58,318 | +4,215 | No | -$1,946 | 04-26 18:51 |
| will uk strike iran by march 31 | 48 | $21.7K | 12,029 | 12,713 | -685 | No | +$1,269 | 03-23 15:46 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | 74 | $19.8K | 15,807 | 17,796 | -1,990 | Yes | -$2,001 | 02-03 03:52 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | 149 | $19.4K | 14,084 | 14,099 | -15 | No | +$430 | 02-04 03:11 |
| us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498 | 122 | $18.3K | 14,459 | 14,313 | +147 | No | -$717 | 01-15 00:20 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 358 | $18.3K | 23,926 | 18,967 | +4,959 | Yes | -$1,587 | 04-03 21:16 |
| us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771 | 41 | $17.5K | 9,883 | 9,583 | +300 | No | +$226 | 01-13 17:02 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 56 | $17.1K | 22,610 | 2,100 | +20,510 | open | — | 10-27 00:14 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | 91 | $16.1K | 14,017 | 14,090 | -73 | Yes | +$298 | 03-31 17:47 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982 | 65 | $16.0K | 22,871 | 17,871 | +5,000 | Yes | +$8,898 | 04-18 23:45 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | 90 | $15.7K | 16,800 | 16,300 | +500 | open | — | 10-19 11:29 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346 | 39 | $15.5K | 28,251 | 28,251 | +0 | Yes | +$1,862 | 04-19 19:51 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | 77 | $15.3K | 18,020 | 18,820 | -800 | No | +$1,457 | 05-27 17:43 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | 63 | $14.7K | 35,297 | 17,497 | +17,800 | No | -$6,392 | 05-23 21:35 |
| will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322 | 65 | $14.0K | 8,561 | 8,090 | +471 | No | +$506 | 01-14 14:09 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | 32 | $13.9K | 8,453 | 8,294 | +159 | open | — | 10-27 11:50 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | 76 | $13.7K | 51,251 | 27,026 | +24,225 | No | -$6,031 | 05-10 18:36 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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