Realized P&L
+$2.01K
Unrealized P&L
-$243
Hit rate
85.7%
Resolved
11
Trades
9,082
lifetime
Volume
$1.27M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$140
Open exposure
$2.33K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 19:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
73% 50% +$1,828
Other
15% 100% +$29
Sports
10% 100% +$154
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 370 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +1,674 $553 18¢ $310 $-243 06-02 12:10
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -308 $-293 96¢ $-295 $-2 06-02 12:43
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -1,500 $-315 20¢ $-292 +$22 06-02 12:36
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No -300 $-233 84¢ $-252 $-19 06-02 15:41
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +1,800 $409 12¢ $216 $-193 06-02 00:11
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -200 $-176 90¢ $-179 $-3 05-28 19:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -681 $-170 24¢ $-163 +$7 06-02 12:37
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -400 $-204 38¢ $-154 +$50 06-02 12:40
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? No -110 $-101 94¢ $-104 $-3 06-02 12:37
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-93 94¢ $-94 $-2 06-02 12:38
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -150 $-90 60¢ $-91 $-1 06-02 12:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -379 $-162 16¢ $-59 +$104 05-29 00:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -57 $-47 82¢ $-47 +$0 06-02 12:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +254 $5 10¢ $24 +$19 06-01 21:10
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -22 $-16 71¢ $-16 $-0 06-02 12:42
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? Yes -236 $-17 $-11 +$6 06-02 12:39
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? No -428 $-26 $-10 +$16 06-02 12:39
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +146 $8 $6 $-2 06-04 01:45
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -6 $-3 45¢ $-3 +$0 06-02 12:43