Indelible-Dhow 0xa82b0e…595220 Create alert
whale hot 6W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$39.4K
Unrealized P&L
-$3.36K
Hit rate
66.7%
Resolved
1,255
Trades
12,637
lifetime
Volume
$1.89M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$150
Open exposure
$21.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-10 11:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 206 days
Categories
Politics
69% 45% +$30,898
Other
19% 49% +$7,952
Sports
10% 52% +$17
Crypto
1% 56% +$537
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 405 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -4,269 -$2,973 94¢ $-3994 -$1,020 11-05 20:16
No one announced as next James Bond? No +2,655 $1,935 94¢ $2.5K +$552 10-17 01:22
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +15,298 $2,498 16¢ $2.4K -$126 11-10 11:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -2,050 -$1,364 92¢ $-1876 -$512 10-29 23:05
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +1,965 $1,439 70¢ $1.4K -$53 11-08 14:23
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? No +4,080 $1,613 32¢ $1.3K -$287 10-21 19:26
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -2,797 -$215 31¢ $-860 -$645 11-06 19:11
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31? No +1,000 $840 84¢ $835 -$5 11-09 05:35
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +882 $622 84¢ $737 +$115 11-08 17:37
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 30? Yes +1,000 $650 66¢ $665 +$15 11-10 03:15
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -592 -$460 93¢ $-548 -$88 10-25 16:43
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +665 $3,160 75¢ $501 -$2,659 11-06 21:03
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -3,996 -$1,155 10¢ $-406 +$749 09-10 22:24
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,000 $410 12¢ $375 -$35 11-09 23:30
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? Yes +550 $292 59¢ $325 +$33 11-06 19:24
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No -300 -$233 98¢ $-296 -$63 06-02 15:41
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? No +333 $154 87¢ $290 +$136 09-18 19:34
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +300 $228 96¢ $287 +$59 11-08 13:31
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +13,391 $466 2¢ $248 -$218 11-07 01:49
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -14,588 -$417 2¢ $-226 +$191 06-16 18:48
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,457 $137 14¢ $209 +$72 10-08 16:41
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,709 $79 12¢ $208 +$129 10-03 22:00
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? Yes +200 $162 100¢ $200 +$38 11-08 13:31
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -200 -$176 99¢ $-198 -$22 05-28 19:26
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes -191 -$686 99¢ $-189 +$497 11-04 17:28
Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027? Yes +4,328 $222 4¢ $180 -$42 11-03 00:28
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,200 $178 15¢ $174 -$4 11-09 14:24
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? Yes +1,377 $296 12¢ $158 -$138 11-08 15:47
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +2,000 $295 8¢ $150 -$145 11-02 20:26
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,494 -$238 8¢ $-122 +$116 05-28 18:57