Indelible-Dhow 0xa82b0e…595220 Create alert
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$34.0K
Unrealized P&L
-$5.61K
Hit rate
66.5%
Resolved
1,274
Trades
12,861
lifetime
Volume
$1.94M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$151
Open exposure
$17.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-14 00:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 209 days
Categories
Politics
68% 46% +$30,912
Other
21% 49% +$3,029
Sports
10% 52% -$282
Crypto
1% 55% +$328
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 405 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -4,269 -$2,973 94¢ $-3996 -$1,022 11-05 20:16
No one announced as next James Bond? No +2,655 $1,935 94¢ $2.5K +$561 10-17 01:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -2,050 -$1,364 92¢ $-1876 -$512 10-29 23:05
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +18,298 $2,778 6¢ $1.2K -$1,588 11-13 02:39
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -2,797 -$215 32¢ $-902 -$687 11-06 19:11
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? No +4,080 $1,613 18¢ $755 -$858 10-21 19:26
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 30? Yes +1,000 $650 66¢ $655 +$5 11-10 03:15
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -592 -$460 91¢ $-541 -$80 10-25 16:43
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +665 $3,160 79¢ $528 -$2,632 11-06 21:03
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? Yes +3,032 $561 16¢ $485 -$76 11-14 00:41
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -3,996 -$1,155 10¢ $-398 +$757 09-10 22:24
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +800 $369 47¢ $380 +$11 11-13 00:53
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? No +333 $154 92¢ $305 +$151 09-18 19:34
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No -300 -$233 98¢ $-295 -$62 06-02 15:41
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +300 $228 97¢ $291 +$63 11-08 13:31
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,000 $410 8¢ $225 -$185 11-09 23:30
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +13,391 $466 2¢ $221 -$245 11-07 01:49
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,709 $79 12¢ $213 +$134 10-03 22:00
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,457 $137 14¢ $205 +$68 10-08 16:41
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,400 $208 15¢ $203 -$5 11-11 00:15
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -200 -$176 98¢ $-197 -$21 05-28 19:26
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes -191 -$686 99¢ $-190 +$496 11-04 17:28
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -14,588 -$417 1¢ $-153 +$264 06-16 18:48
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +2,000 $295 8¢ $150 -$145 11-02 20:26
Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027? Yes +4,328 $222 3¢ $132 -$90 11-03 00:28
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,494 -$238 7¢ $-109 +$129 05-28 18:57
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) Ciryl Gane +162 $106 66¢ $107 +$1 11-13 18:31
FAA outage attributed to Iran? Yes +6,253 $189 2¢ $103 -$86 11-14 00:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +455 $100 22¢ $102 +$2 11-05 00:27
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +3,000 $39 3¢ $85 +$46 10-03 22:00