Indelible-Dhow 0xa82b0e…595220 Create alert
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$34.0K
Unrealized P&L
-$4.71K
Hit rate
66.1%
Resolved
1,262
Trades
12,839
lifetime
Volume
$1.94M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$151
Open exposure
$18.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-12 05:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 208 days
Categories
Politics
68% 46% +$30,912
Other
21% 49% +$2,361
Sports
10% 52% +$223
Crypto
1% 56% +$537
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 405 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -4,269 -$2,973 94¢ $-3994 -$1,020 11-05 20:16
No one announced as next James Bond? No +2,655 $1,935 90¢ $2.4K +$459 10-17 01:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -2,050 -$1,364 92¢ $-1897 -$532 10-29 23:05
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +16,298 $2,618 10¢ $1.5K -$1,069 11-11 19:48
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? No +4,080 $1,613 32¢ $1.3K -$287 10-21 19:26
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -2,797 -$215 34¢ $-961 -$746 11-06 19:11
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 30? Yes +1,000 $650 68¢ $675 +$25 11-10 03:15
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -592 -$460 92¢ $-542 -$82 10-25 16:43
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +665 $3,160 79¢ $526 -$2,634 11-06 21:03
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -3,996 -$1,155 10¢ $-410 +$745 09-10 22:24
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +13,391 $466 2¢ $315 -$151 11-07 01:49
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No -300 -$233 99¢ $-296 -$63 06-02 15:41
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? No +333 $154 89¢ $296 +$142 09-18 19:34
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +300 $228 96¢ $289 +$61 11-08 13:31
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,000 $410 8¢ $240 -$170 11-09 23:30
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,709 $79 12¢ $211 +$132 10-03 22:00
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? Yes +550 $292 37¢ $204 -$88 11-06 19:24
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,457 $137 14¢ $203 +$67 10-08 16:41
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,400 $208 15¢ $203 -$5 11-11 00:15
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -200 -$176 99¢ $-198 -$22 05-28 19:26
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes -191 -$686 100¢ $-190 +$496 11-04 17:28
Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027? Yes +4,328 $222 4¢ $180 -$42 11-03 00:28
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -14,588 -$417 1¢ $-168 +$249 06-16 18:48
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? Yes +1,377 $296 11¢ $145 -$152 11-08 15:47
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +2,000 $295 6¢ $130 -$165 11-02 20:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +455 $100 24¢ $111 +$11 11-05 00:27
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +3,000 $39 3¢ $93 +$54 10-03 22:00
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,494 -$238 6¢ $-91 +$146 05-28 18:57
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? Yes +3,889 $143 2¢ $80 -$64 11-11 19:47
Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? Yes +400 $68 15¢ $58 -$10 11-11 20:54