Indelible-Dhow 0xa82b0e…595220 Create alert
whale hot 6W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$20.7K
Unrealized P&L
-$3.75K
Hit rate
79.2%
Resolved (90d)
381
Trades (90d)
2,787
12,564 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$512.1K
$1.88M lifetime
Avg / trade
$150
Open exposure
$18.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-08 18:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 204 days
Categories
Politics
69% 45% +$30,690
Other
19% 49% +$8,098
Sports
10% 51% -$1,101
Crypto
1% 56% +$537
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 405 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -4,269 -$2,973 94¢ $-3992 -$1,018 11-05 20:16
No one announced as next James Bond? No +2,655 $1,935 94¢ $2.5K +$551 10-17 01:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -2,050 -$1,364 90¢ $-1856 -$491 10-29 23:05
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? No +4,080 $1,613 34¢ $1.4K -$246 10-21 19:26
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +1,965 $1,439 55¢ $1.1K -$368 11-08 14:23
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -2,797 -$215 32¢ $-899 -$684 11-06 19:11
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +882 $622 66¢ $587 -$35 11-08 17:37
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -592 -$460 94¢ $-558 -$97 10-25 16:43
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +665 $3,160 81¢ $540 -$2,620 11-06 21:03
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -3,996 -$1,155 11¢ $-422 +$733 09-10 22:24
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,656 $382 14¢ $359 -$23 11-08 11:25
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +13,391 $466 3¢ $355 -$111 11-07 01:49
Giants vs. Eagles Giants +600 $381 52¢ $309 -$72 11-08 18:17
Browns vs. Saints Browns +900 $318 34¢ $302 -$16 11-08 18:04
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? Yes +550 $292 55¢ $300 +$8 11-06 19:24
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No -300 -$233 98¢ $-296 -$63 06-02 15:41
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5 Under +300 $168 90¢ $272 +$103 11-08 17:58
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? No +333 $154 79¢ $264 +$110 09-18 19:34
Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027? Yes +4,328 $222 6¢ $245 +$23 11-03 00:28
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +300 $228 76¢ $226 -$2 11-08 13:31
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -14,588 -$417 1¢ $-212 +$205 06-16 18:48
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -200 -$176 98¢ $-196 -$20 05-28 19:26
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,457 $137 13¢ $192 +$56 10-08 16:41
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,000 $280 10¢ $190 -$90 09-29 23:57
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes -191 -$686 98¢ $-188 +$498 11-04 17:28
Packers vs. Patriots Patriots +300 $186 62¢ $188 +$2 11-08 15:34
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? Yes +1,377 $296 14¢ $186 -$110 11-08 15:47
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +2,000 $295 9¢ $180 -$115 11-02 20:26
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,709 $79 10¢ $175 +$97 10-03 22:00
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08? No +245 $125 68¢ $168 +$43 11-08 13:42