Realized P&L
-$13.4K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
70.0%
Resolved
34
Trades
56
lifetime
Volume
$611.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10.9K
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-04-19
last 07-06 20:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 27 days
Categories
Politics
74%
86%
+$13,327
Other
12%
40%
-$27,795
Crypto
12%
86%
+$715
Tech
2%
100%
+$305
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-06).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | 5 | $59.7K | 49,149 | 49,149 | +0 | No | -$21,065 | 07-03 23:52 |
| us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671 | 2 | $52.9K | 26,857 | 26,857 | +0 | No | +$788 | 06-18 12:33 |
| us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 13 2026 20260612000830408 | 2 | $52.1K | 26,247 | 26,247 | +0 | No | -$43 | 06-13 16:40 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23? | 2 | $44.5K | 22,690 | 22,690 | +0 | Yes | +$768 | 05-24 07:41 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | 3 | $44.1K | 22,877 | 22,877 | +0 | Yes | -$754 | 05-26 07:19 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | 3 | $41.5K | 32,277 | 10,290 | +21,986 | No | +$705 | 05-22 07:18 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? | 1 | $25.2K | 26,032 | 0 | +26,032 | No | +$793 | 06-02 06:35 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | 1 | $22.5K | 25,493 | 0 | +25,493 | No | +$3,026 | 05-27 16:33 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | 1 | $21.5K | 22,579 | 0 | +22,579 | No | +$1,129 | 05-26 12:33 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026? | 2 | $17.0K | 8,760 | 8,760 | +0 | No | +$423 | 04-28 06:38 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026? | 2 | $16.7K | 8,516 | 8,516 | +0 | No | -$15 | 04-26 07:21 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026? | 2 | $15.9K | 8,461 | 8,461 | +0 | No | +$875 | 04-26 06:58 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026? | 2 | $14.6K | 7,660 | 7,660 | +0 | No | +$560 | 04-25 15:12 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | 2 | $13.9K | 14,788 | 0 | +14,788 | No | +$879 | 04-28 06:38 |
| bitcoin above 64k on june 18 2026 | 1 | $13.4K | 13,529 | 0 | +13,529 | No | +$114 | 06-18 15:31 |
| will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026 | 2 | $13.4K | 7,117 | 7,117 | +0 | No | +$864 | 04-24 07:08 |
| will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26 | 1 | $13.2K | 13,520 | 0 | +13,520 | No | +$305 | 06-26 16:50 |
| bitcoin above 60k on june 25 2026 | 2 | $13.0K | 13,498 | 0 | +13,498 | No | +$530 | 06-25 15:37 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15? | 1 | $11.8K | 12,085 | 0 | +12,085 | No | +$276 | 05-14 18:04 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12? | 1 | $11.5K | 11,833 | 0 | +11,833 | Yes | +$324 | 05-12 15:38 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11? | 1 | $11.2K | 11,531 | 0 | +11,531 | Yes | +$301 | 05-11 14:22 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9? | 1 | $11.1K | 11,242 | 0 | +11,242 | Yes | +$156 | 05-09 14:57 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026? | 1 | $10.8K | 11,142 | 0 | +11,142 | No | +$334 | 05-07 17:55 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 6? | 1 | $10.6K | 10,826 | 0 | +10,826 | Yes | +$273 | 05-06 15:49 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? | 1 | $10.1K | 10,608 | 0 | +10,608 | No | +$558 | 05-01 07:00 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21? | 1 | $10.0K | 11,480 | 0 | +11,480 | No | +$1,492 | 05-20 07:34 |
| Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw? | 2 | $7.6K | 11,557 | 11,557 | +0 | No | -$6,076 | 07-06 20:53 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | 1 | $7.5K | 8,019 | 0 | +8,019 | No | +$481 | 05-01 08:05 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | 3 | $5.2K | 5,417 | 4 | +5,413 | No | +$187 | 04-26 20:17 |
| Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | 1 | $5.1K | 6,903 | 0 | +6,903 | Yes | +$1,795 | 07-03 23:53 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||