Realized P&L
+$819
Unrealized P&L
+$338
Hit rate
81.9%
Resolved
10
Trades
16,078
lifetime
Volume
$1.50M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$93
Open exposure
$10.8K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 11:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
75% 38% +$887
Other
21% 50% $-68
Crypto
3%
Sports
1%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 438 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -2,533 $-2,305 94¢ $-2394 $-89 06-14 14:42
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2,400 $2,144 90¢ $2.1K +$4 07-19 22:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,402 $1,784 72¢ $1.7K $-42 07-21 15:07
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +1,098 $853 88¢ $961 +$108 07-07 04:30
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1,425 $729 66¢ $947 +$218 07-20 20:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +902 $531 64¢ $582 +$51 07-11 18:09
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +606 $466 84¢ $506 +$40 06-26 17:47
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No -542 $-412 78¢ $-422 $-9 07-11 15:32
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +400 $310 88¢ $350 +$40 05-29 16:15
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +400 $236 80¢ $322 +$86 06-26 11:49
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No -528 $-325 60¢ $-317 +$8 07-13 01:25
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -96 $-90 94¢ $-91 $-0 07-11 15:27
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +10 $-3 70¢ $7 +$10 07-21 03:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -236 $84 $-3 $-87 07-12 00:35