Realized P&L
+$819
Unrealized P&L
-$580
Hit rate
81.9%
Resolved
10
Trades
15,207
lifetime
Volume
$1.42M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$93
Open exposure
$25.7K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 21:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
75% 38% +$887
Other
21% 50% $-68
Crypto
3%
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 438 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -15,571 $-15,446 100¢ $-15555 $-109 06-15 05:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -3,600 $-2,916 99¢ $-3571 $-655 06-26 10:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -2,533 $-2,305 92¢ $-2318 $-13 06-14 14:42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,199 $921 86¢ $1.0K +$104 06-22 01:16
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +998 $768 84¢ $833 +$66 06-26 15:21
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +705 $651 100¢ $704 +$53 06-18 11:59
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +606 $466 80¢ $482 +$16 06-26 17:47
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +400 $310 88¢ $350 +$40 05-29 16:15
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +400 $236 74¢ $298 +$62 06-26 11:49
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -220 $-157 84¢ $-184 $-26 06-07 19:29
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +200 $172 87¢ $174 +$2 06-21 07:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +564 $67 30¢ $172 +$105 06-26 16:11
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No +32 $17 57¢ $18 +$2 06-21 07:17
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -26 $-243 58¢ $-15 +$227 07-01 03:34
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -2,308 $107 $-5 $-111 06-19 19:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -198 $287 $-2 $-288 06-21 08:12
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +400 $49 $1 $-48 06-13 17:13
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -12 $7 $-0 $-7 06-02 04:08