Realized P&L
+$819
Unrealized P&L
-$77
Hit rate
81.9%
Resolved
10
Trades
12,662
lifetime
Volume
$1.23M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$97
Open exposure
$2.83K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 20:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
77% 38% +$887
Other
20% 50% $-68
Crypto
3%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 271 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No -1,233 $-1,085 86¢ $-1054 +$31 06-05 17:27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -588 $-185 64¢ $-380 $-194 05-29 13:36
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +400 $310 82¢ $326 +$16 05-29 16:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +300 $228 82¢ $247 +$19 06-09 17:49
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +1,083 $483 20¢ $211 $-271 06-09 18:26
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -220 $-157 71¢ $-156 +$1 06-07 19:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +390 $-41 32¢ $127 +$168 06-01 18:27
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +198 $53 62¢ $122 +$69 06-06 14:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -1,214 $164 10¢ $-115 $-279 06-07 19:57
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No -85 $-404 62¢ $-52 +$352 06-09 05:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -235 $-299 16¢ $-39 +$260 06-09 16:06
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -12 $7 10¢ $-1 $-8 06-02 04:08
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +142 $239 $0 $-239 06-06 15:48