Realized P&L
-$29
Unrealized P&L
+$683
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
13
lifetime
Volume
$12.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$962
Open exposure
$12.5K
10 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-12 06:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
67% 0% $-29
Other
33%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No -4,703 $-4,139 90¢ $-4256 $-118 05-11 00:28
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -3,300 $-3,092 93¢ $-3054 +$38 05-11 00:29
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -3,228 $-2,051 65¢ $-2094 $-43 05-11 00:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +2,000 $920 72¢ $1.4K +$510 05-09 03:44
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? No +1,000 $770 80¢ $805 +$35 05-11 05:34
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes +533 $325 66¢ $349 +$24 05-07 11:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes -2,100 $-399 10¢ $-200 +$200 05-11 13:13
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -300 $-195 66¢ $-200 $-4 05-11 00:35
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? Yes +140 $80 74¢ $104 +$24 05-10 11:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -150 $-57 26¢ $-40 +$17 05-12 06:11