Probable-Farrow 0x681469…41a9e7
whale hot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$242.7K
Unrealized P&L
-$145
Hit rate
58.8%
Resolved
33,480
Trades
1,809,956
lifetime
Volume
$63.4M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$62.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 05-07 07:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 198 days
Categories
Sports
53% 52% +$72,578
Other
46% 56% +$185,325
Politics
1% 71% +$2,346
Crypto
1% 42% -$9,559
Tech
0% 40% -$4,926
Pop-Culture
0% 67% -$3,024
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-07).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +4,694 $4,069 99¢ $4.6K +$564 05-03 10:12
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +4,233 $4,068 100¢ $4.2K +$161 05-03 09:17
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +3,637 $3,383 97¢ $3.5K +$145 05-03 08:50
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +3,385 $2,898 99¢ $3.4K +$469 05-03 10:08
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes -3,337 -$2,319 100¢ $-3324 -$1,005 05-04 15:20
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +4,689 $4,380 67¢ $3.2K -$1,229 05-03 09:19
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +3,340 $3,108 90¢ $3.0K -$103 05-03 09:07
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +2,889 $2,846 100¢ $2.9K +$40 05-03 09:43
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +2,585 $2,419 100¢ $2.6K +$160 05-03 10:04
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,529 $2,451 99¢ $2.5K +$45 05-03 10:04
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,264 $2,195 99¢ $2.2K +$36 05-03 08:56
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,187 $1,952 94¢ $2.1K +$107 05-03 10:08
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +1,909 $1,494 98¢ $1.9K +$382 05-03 10:08
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,902 $1,816 96¢ $1.8K +$9 05-03 09:27
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,862 $1,791 98¢ $1.8K +$25 05-03 09:29
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -2,520 -$1,005 66¢ $-1651 -$646 05-03 09:19
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +1,578 $1,565 99¢ $1.6K -$3 05-03 09:24
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +1,430 $1,385 98¢ $1.4K +$20 05-03 09:18
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,397 $1,330 99¢ $1.4K +$58 05-03 08:57
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,436 $1,241 92¢ $1.3K +$87 05-03 09:47
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,310 $1,016 99¢ $1.3K +$279 05-03 09:09
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,522 $1,477 85¢ $1.3K -$190 05-03 08:41
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,254 $1,190 96¢ $1.2K +$14 05-03 09:30
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1,246 $634 96¢ $1.2K +$561 05-03 09:32
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,191 $1,143 100¢ $1.2K +$44 05-03 10:08
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,446 $1,152 82¢ $1.2K +$30 05-03 09:49
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +1,166 $1,124 100¢ $1.2K +$38 05-03 10:03
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +1,149 $1,089 99¢ $1.1K +$46 05-03 09:01
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -1,694 -$813 66¢ $-1109 -$296 05-03 08:48
2026 Balance of Power: Other No +1,065 $1,056 100¢ $1.1K +$8 05-03 10:04