Realized P&L
+$242.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$48
Hit rate
93.6%
Resolved
1,522
Trades
115,963
lifetime
Volume
$11.8M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$101
Open exposure
$112
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-22 01:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 151 days
Categories
Other
45%
94%
+$28,441
Sports
26%
95%
+$232,559
Politics
26%
91%
+$8,025
Tech
2%
57%
-$27,051
Crypto
1%
48%
+$185
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk
• peak 64 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 1,765 | $631.5K | 643,776 | 8,449 | +635,327 | No | +$15,127 | 03-03 16:47 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | 1,629 | $378.9K | 388,069 | 261,735 | +126,334 | No | +$19,852 | 03-02 16:52 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | 1,442 | $330.3K | 338,258 | 234,771 | +103,487 | No | +$9,617 | 03-02 14:49 |
| fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting | 434 | $323.6K | 308,095 | 31,680 | +276,415 | No | +$732 | 01-22 01:57 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | 1,446 | $320.4K | 329,774 | 233,602 | +96,172 | No | +$10,993 | 03-04 16:11 |
| fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting | 457 | $279.8K | 290,630 | 9,977 | +280,652 | No | +$12,460 | 01-21 21:22 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | 1,568 | $229.3K | 321,887 | 560 | +321,327 | No | +$92,970 | 04-14 06:13 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 1,722 | $228.2K | 236,191 | 63,309 | +172,883 | No | +$13,523 | 04-28 10:30 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 1,793 | $226.6K | 235,112 | 61,146 | +173,966 | No | +$14,167 | 04-28 09:08 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 1,686 | $219.6K | 238,005 | 61,291 | +176,714 | No | +$34,417 | 04-28 09:06 |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 1,460 | $216.0K | 230,309 | 58,843 | +171,466 | No | +$25,236 | 04-28 08:53 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 1,679 | $210.3K | 212,629 | 82,321 | +130,308 | No | +$5,119 | 04-28 06:21 |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 1,555 | $203.7K | 205,786 | 94,194 | +111,592 | No | +$5,029 | 04-28 09:07 |
| will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting | 272 | $186.6K | 195,242 | 11,359 | +183,883 | No | +$13,394 | 03-18 17:37 |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 1,422 | $180.7K | 183,207 | 93,123 | +90,084 | No | +$5,052 | 05-01 04:21 |
| fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting | 324 | $176.2K | 175,341 | 136,585 | +38,755 | No | +$364 | 01-26 16:30 |
| Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? | 824 | $162.5K | 162,260 | 368,765 | -206,505 | No | +$1,904 | 03-03 16:47 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 1,536 | $161.1K | 230,731 | 64,260 | +166,471 | No | +$125,983 | 04-28 06:21 |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? | 813 | $157.3K | 157,460 | 270,521 | -113,061 | No | +$1,733 | 03-04 15:40 |
| will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election | 88 | $134.9K | 121,699 | 22,633 | +99,066 | No | +$1,460 | 02-08 19:22 |
| will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026 | 331 | $125.4K | 150,767 | 25,803 | +124,964 | No | +$34,643 | 02-09 01:56 |
| will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards | 940 | $111.1K | 112,826 | 3,496 | +109,329 | No | +$2,342 | 03-15 17:58 |
| Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair? | 535 | $109.2K | 108,802 | 309,572 | -200,769 | No | +$812 | 03-03 16:47 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | 701 | $102.2K | 114,196 | 1,838 | +112,358 | No | +$12,191 | 04-28 13:38 |
| will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026 | 449 | $100.0K | 101,120 | 3,524 | +97,596 | No | +$1,238 | 02-28 01:52 |
| Will Trump nominate no one before 2027? | 434 | $95.2K | 95,117 | 220,151 | -125,033 | No | +$643 | 03-03 16:47 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | 1,621 | $94.1K | 323,229 | 1,349 | +321,880 | Yes | -$93,645 | 04-12 07:58 |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | 676 | $93.8K | 96,813 | 2,858 | +93,955 | No | +$3,753 | 05-08 08:29 |
| Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | 558 | $93.4K | 94,941 | 5,163 | +89,779 | No | +$1,710 | 05-08 08:29 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | 480 | $91.2K | 92,838 | 46,789 | +46,049 | No | +$2,342 | 04-15 14:52 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||