Realized P&L
+$242.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$46
Hit rate
93.6%
Resolved
1,522
Trades
115,963
lifetime
Volume
$11.8M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$101
Open exposure
$114
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-22 01:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 151 days
Categories
Other
45% 94% +$28,441
Sports
26% 95% +$232,559
Politics
26% 91% +$8,025
Tech
2% 57% -$27,051
Crypto
1% 48% +$185
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -5,066 -$10 0¢ $-18 -$8 09-11 00:23
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -5,066 -$15 0¢ $-13 +$3 07-24 14:35
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -5,066 -$5 0¢ $-8 -$3 10-22 01:36
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -5,066 -$10 0¢ $-8 +$3 10-18 19:42
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -5,066 -$5 0¢ $-8 -$3 08-28 08:42
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -1,943 -$8 0¢ $-7 +$1 09-25 13:40
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -722 -$5 1¢ $-6 -$1 05-08 08:46
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -9 -$8 72¢ $-6 +$2 05-01 12:30
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No -6 -$3 72¢ $-4 -$1 05-02 09:30
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -1,140 -$2 0¢ $-4 -$2 05-03 13:04
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -2,422 -$5 0¢ $-4 +$1 06-15 04:39
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -2,422 -$44 0¢ $-4 +$40 08-26 12:15
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -309 -$3 1¢ $-4 $0 08-19 07:31
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes -500 -$5 1¢ $-3 +$1 05-01 15:15
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -309 -$2 1¢ $-3 $0 05-25 08:36
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -309 -$1 1¢ $-3 -$2 08-19 07:31
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -2,203 -$4 0¢ $-2 +$2 05-05 08:15
Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -1,943 -$4 0¢ $-2 +$2 08-30 20:27
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No -2 -$1 94¢ $-1 $0 05-02 09:30
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -61 -$3 2¢ $-1 +$2 05-01 09:27
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No -2 $0 54¢ $-1 -$1 05-08 08:21
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -733 -$6 0¢ $-1 +$5 06-01 13:53
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -724 -$4 0¢ $-1 +$3 05-01 20:31
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -616 -$1 0¢ $-1 +$0 05-01 09:15
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -1 $0 97¢ $-1 -$1 05-05 08:26
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -2 $0 25¢ $-1 $0 05-02 09:33
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -3 -$1 15¢ $-0 +$0 05-08 08:29
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -61 $0 1¢ $-0 $0 05-02 09:45
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -61 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-04 04:42
2026 Balance of Power: Other Yes -234 -$2 0¢ $-0 +$2 05-03 09:04