Realized P&L
+$480
Unrealized P&L
-$440
Hit rate
56.1%
Resolved
117
Trades
2,411
lifetime
Volume
$192.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$80
Open exposure
$1.65K
4 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 07-20 01:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 46 days
Categories
Other
68%
47%
-$1,247
Politics
16%
42%
+$664
Sports
13%
62%
+$948
Crypto
2%
60%
+$343
Tech
0%
0%
-$228
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-20).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | -1,192 | -$572 | 70¢ | $-841 | -$268 | 07-13 18:45 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | -1,000 | -$510 | 72¢ | $-715 | -$205 | 04-29 09:06 | |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | +500 | $32 | 16¢ | $78 | +$45 | 05-06 01:10 | |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | +350 | $30 | 5¢ | $18 | -$12 | 05-18 02:44 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | 144 | $52.4K | 55,044 | 53,220 | +1,824 | No | -$12,509 | 05-16 22:47 |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? | 704 | $18.7K | 115,839 | 120,556 | -4,717 | No | +$4,842 | 05-15 18:20 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 7 | $6.7K | 17,000 | 17,000 | +0 | No | +$701 | 07-12 23:53 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 41 | $6.4K | 16,600 | 16,600 | +0 | Yes | +$239 | 07-20 01:08 |
| Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? | 10 | $6.0K | 7,098 | 0 | +7,098 | Yes | +$1,081 | 05-14 01:22 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | 12 | $5.7K | 7,209 | 7,209 | +0 | No | +$177 | 05-03 23:11 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 6 | $5.4K | 3,000 | 3,000 | +0 | No | +$229 | 04-02 08:37 |
| Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | 36 | $5.3K | 5,353 | 1,000 | +4,353 | Yes | +$693 | 05-16 21:57 |
| Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | 18 | $4.4K | 8,087 | 1,046 | +7,041 | Yes | +$3,583 | 05-16 21:53 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | 2 | $4.2K | 2,410 | 2,410 | +0 | No | +$241 | 05-03 23:57 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 5 | $3.9K | 16,000 | 16,000 | +0 | No | +$364 | 07-12 23:51 |
| Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | 26 | $3.3K | 4,639 | 371 | +4,268 | Yes | +$1,224 | 05-16 14:08 |
| Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? | 38 | $3.3K | 7,421 | 6,078 | +1,343 | No | -$316 | 05-13 06:30 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 9 | $3.3K | 2,600 | 2,600 | +0 | Yes | +$121 | 04-04 22:27 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 10 | $3.1K | 1,800 | 1,800 | +0 | No | +$69 | 03-06 09:29 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 14 | $3.0K | 16,000 | 16,000 | +0 | No | +$412 | 07-13 07:27 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 16 | $2.9K | 17,000 | 12,975 | +4,025 | No | -$305 | 06-10 09:22 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | 11 | $2.8K | 3,609 | 3,609 | +0 | $80k | -$28 | 04-14 07:55 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 27 | $2.5K | 2,600 | 2,600 | +0 | No | +$298 | 04-22 03:39 |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | 65 | $2.4K | 17,666 | 17,666 | +0 | No | +$274 | 05-12 23:02 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 2 | $2.4K | 16,000 | 12,000 | +4,000 | No | -$416 | 06-10 09:22 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | 8 | $2.4K | 2,500 | 2,500 | +0 | Yes | +$915 | 04-24 15:17 |
| Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? | 77 | $2.3K | 6,542 | 183 | +6,359 | No | -$2,032 | 05-16 22:16 |
| Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | 6 | $2.1K | 1,686 | 1,686 | +0 | Yes | +$515 | 05-16 16:14 |
| Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | 23 | $2.1K | 1,595 | 1,595 | +0 | Yes | -$20 | 05-15 04:04 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 8 | $2.1K | 1,600 | 1,600 | +0 | No | -$163 | 03-19 15:57 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | 30 | $2.1K | 1,656 | 2,848 | -1,192 | open | — | 07-13 18:45 |
| us forces enter iran by march 14 337 | 2 | $1.4K | 800 | 800 | +0 | No | +$16 | 03-06 12:08 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | 4 | $1.2K | 800 | 800 | +0 | Yes | +$56 | 04-04 22:32 |
| Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026? | 73 | $1.1K | 4,835 | 4,835 | +0 | No | -$102 | 05-14 20:32 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||