Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.0%

Resolved

Trades

35,471

lifetime

Volume

$823.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 07-01 22:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

52% 33% $-36

Other

38% — —

Sports

6% 50% +$55

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 1914 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1,293	$74.9K	76,942	76,860	+82	open	—	04-07 23:34
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	2,537	$62.4K	57,650	56,063	+1,587	open	—	03-31 18:28
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2,382	$41.4K	40,854	41,773	-919	open	—	03-30 17:59
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1,897	$39.0K	41,204	37,911	+3,293	open	—	04-16 17:56
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	1,479	$35.6K	36,909	33,110	+3,799	open	—	04-21 14:48
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	970	$28.2K	26,689	27,154	-465	open	—	03-31 17:18
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	1,232	$27.2K	27,490	26,810	+680	open	—	04-13 11:17
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	1,441	$26.8K	27,078	25,523	+1,555	open	—	04-21 20:43
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	595	$16.6K	18,855	13,568	+5,287	open	—	04-28 08:29
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	382	$15.6K	15,427	12,856	+2,572	open	—	04-16 03:33
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	413	$14.2K	14,290	13,926	+363	open	—	03-08 19:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	273	$12.5K	15,929	8,865	+7,064	open	—	04-30 23:37
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	261	$12.1K	17,862	16,312	+1,550	open	—	04-15 20:47
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	385	$12.0K	13,871	10,870	+3,001	open	—	04-12 22:45
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	305	$11.3K	15,390	7,409	+7,981	No	$-17	04-20 08:26
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	328	$10.2K	15,433	9,152	+6,280	open	—	04-30 20:05
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	449	$9.8K	15,515	8,940	+6,575	open	—	04-28 10:15
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	403	$9.7K	9,350	9,690	-340	open	—	03-31 16:45
will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	267	$8.9K	10,480	7,713	+2,767	open	—	04-12 22:49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	287	$8.3K	9,583	7,103	+2,479	open	—	04-22 20:49
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	400	$8.1K	7,685	6,854	+832	open	—	04-20 02:00
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	265	$7.5K	10,350	6,180	+4,170	open	—	04-28 10:57
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	168	$7.1K	5,815	4,907	+908	open	—	04-27 21:36
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	258	$7.0K	6,768	5,417	+1,351	open	—	04-15 12:12
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	261	$6.9K	3,898	3,841	+57	open	—	04-29 19:55
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	158	$6.0K	5,998	5,035	+964	open	—	04-22 07:35
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	358	$5.7K	7,833	5,888	+1,945	open	—	04-28 10:23
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	90	$5.6K	2,832	3,080	-249	open	—	04-26 02:55
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	81	$5.5K	3,156	2,793	+363	open	—	03-08 20:50
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	166	$5.5K	5,633	4,904	+729	open	—	04-30 20:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 22:48:55	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	500	96¢	$479	0x18fd4d…
07-01 22:48:38	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	1,000	96¢	$963	0xde4e13…
07-01 16:18:17	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	500	73¢	$365	0x5f5f14…
06-28 02:29:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	17	69¢	$12	0x388834…
06-28 02:28:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	16	69¢	$11	0x8d9fbe…
06-28 02:28:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	17	69¢	$12	0x35481a…
06-28 00:56:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	25	33¢	$8	0x6a9d91…
06-28 00:55:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	25	34¢	$8	0x619e10…
06-28 00:10:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0xedf970…
06-27 23:59:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	25	65¢	$16	0xb53e85…
06-27 23:23:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	25	66¢	$16	0x29c17d…
06-22 22:04:53	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 btts	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xb6346d…
06-22 17:47:34	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 btts	No	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0xfd4162…
06-20 12:06:01	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	29¢	$7	0x38dc14…
06-19 11:18:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	56¢	$14	0xdb246d…
06-17 20:08:58	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	Yes	SELL	37	57¢	$21	0x397180…
06-17 20:07:44	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	Yes	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0x94e9f5…
06-17 20:06:25	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	Yes	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x4a9b59…
06-17 20:04:41	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	Yes	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x88bc0e…
06-17 20:04:41	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	Yes	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x2db31a…
06-17 19:56:01	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	Yes	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0xea4968…
06-17 19:56:01	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x598761…
06-12 18:08:10	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	1,000	93¢	$930	0xcc47b0…
06-12 16:34:43	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	SELL	1,000	95¢	$950	0x89d3f7…
06-12 16:26:33	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0xd87685…
06-12 15:54:48	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x22485d…
06-12 14:49:43	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	50	77¢	$38	0xe1dd85…
06-12 14:49:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x6b5d9f…
06-12 14:48:58	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	SELL	500	93¢	$465	0x1700e6…
06-12 08:14:27	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	1,000	87¢	$870	0x47afb1…
06-12 07:19:00	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	BUY	1,000	95¢	$952	0x612dab…
06-12 05:33:06	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	SELL	790	88¢	$695	0x1280c4…
06-12 05:32:30	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0xdcf4da…
06-12 05:26:25	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xa04037…
06-12 05:16:19	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xbc2bfc…
06-12 05:12:54	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0x949e6a…
06-12 05:05:54	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	SELL	11	88¢	$10	0x12c315…
06-12 04:55:57	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0x6cd724…
06-12 04:27:55	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0xe22713…
06-12 04:26:58	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	SELL	66	88¢	$58	0x7a85b9…
06-12 04:22:07	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	SELL	57	88¢	$50	0xff540c…
06-12 04:20:30	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	SELL	62	88¢	$55	0x3c5550…
06-12 04:20:21	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	SELL	62	88¢	$55	0x00fe62…
06-12 04:18:22	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	SELL	19	88¢	$17	0xb3020f…
06-12 04:18:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	SELL	112	88¢	$99	0x35a10e…
06-12 04:09:15	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0x1d4ffc…
06-12 04:08:52	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	SELL	120	88¢	$106	0x8a73d8…
06-12 04:08:36	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	SELL	67	88¢	$59	0x232f00…
06-12 03:07:16	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	500	85¢	$425	0x1e70c5…
06-12 03:06:43	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	74	89¢	$66	0x823d21…
06-12 03:03:09	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	72	89¢	$64	0xcfb01e…
06-12 02:47:30	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	355	89¢	$316	0x7069f1…
06-11 21:20:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	1,500	81¢	$1,215	0xa9c00d…
06-11 21:08:51	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	SELL	1,495	94¢	$1,399	0x7477ca…
06-11 20:37:45	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x824497…
06-11 15:50:01	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	BUY	1,250	91¢	$1,134	0xd8d081…
06-11 15:49:54	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	BUY	250	91¢	$227	0x2f1c28…
06-08 19:00:55	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0x502762…
06-08 18:39:10	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x839b44…
05-14 15:01:51	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	44	87¢	$39	0x1f55df…
05-14 15:01:09	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0xbba486…
05-14 15:00:50	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x1664f1…
05-14 14:59:17	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x794127…
05-14 14:57:01	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x7ecb47…
05-07 15:08:13	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0x4a11b8…
05-07 15:04:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	55¢	$12	0xcab48d…
05-05 17:37:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	31	90¢	$28	0x8e4271…
05-05 14:57:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	500	19¢	$95	0x9bb9a6…
05-05 14:40:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	67	19¢	$13	0x78d43a…
05-05 14:40:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	247	19¢	$47	0x136308…
05-05 14:39:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xbef8f5…
05-05 14:39:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	176	19¢	$33	0x9141bd…
05-05 14:27:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	89	13¢	$12	0x50e451…
05-05 14:21:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x6acf28…
05-05 14:20:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0xabb9cf…
05-04 18:18:02	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	No	SELL	51	97¢	$49	0xb32520…
05-04 12:52:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	220	1¢	$2	0x8c9a41…
05-04 01:29:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	SELL	73	11¢	$8	0x542aee…
05-03 23:52:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	92	34¢	$31	0x5f8f4f…
05-03 23:48:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x24833f…
05-03 23:47:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xc59b35…
05-03 23:43:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	34¢	$4	0x1113c5…
05-03 23:38:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	SELL	56	11¢	$6	0xd0ec91…
05-03 23:25:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	34¢	$4	0x9a169d…
05-03 23:23:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0x4588f4…
05-02 22:35:22	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	No	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0x016f7a…
05-02 22:01:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x0c67f6…
05-02 20:58:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	34¢	$26	0xa8b403…
05-02 20:37:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	45	31¢	$14	0x3def68…
05-02 20:37:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0xc375ff…
05-02 19:41:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	99	10¢	$10	0x2a95f6…
05-02 18:53:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	45	12¢	$5	0x803638…
05-02 17:04:48	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xadaaee…
05-02 15:07:26	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x99edfa…
05-02 14:55:54	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	No	BUY	95	95¢	$91	0xf685ce…
05-02 14:25:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xe0a41a…
05-02 14:25:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x0d32eb…
05-02 14:25:32	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x58f762…
05-02 14:07:20	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0xdccc75…
05-02 13:51:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x3c8046…