(anonymous) 0xd45bf3…437ae6
bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.22K
Unrealized P&L
+$14
Hit rate
61.5%
Resolved
2,990
Trades
5,107
lifetime
Volume
$31.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$241
14 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 10-29 07:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 83 days
Categories
Other
48% 51% -$581
Crypto
37% 69% -$411
Politics
10% 21% -$194
Tech
4% 20% -$27
Sports
1% 20% -$9
Pop-Culture
1% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 142 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? No +150 $78 96¢ $145 +$67 09-08 12:18
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +52 $37 88¢ $46 +$9 09-29 06:29
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +14 $11 86¢ $12 +$0 09-14 20:11
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +102 $24 12¢ $12 -$12 10-04 21:49
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +11 $9 96¢ $11 +$1 09-19 14:14
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? Yes +150 $58 3¢ $5 -$53 10-04 09:30
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? No +5 $2 97¢ $5 +$2 09-26 18:30
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +4 $3 79¢ $3 +$0 09-16 04:24
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +14 $2 14¢ $2 $0 09-15 01:04
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +4 $1 21¢ $1 $0 09-18 08:54
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +10 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 09-18 07:04
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? Yes +5 $2 3¢ $0 -$2 09-29 00:07
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +0 $0 84¢ $0 +$0 09-21 06:37
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? Yes +0 -$3 16¢ $0 +$3 09-21 07:08