(anonymous) 0xf1e1d9…2e6f6f
whale 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$20.0K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.65K
Hit rate
97.4%
Resolved
4
Trades
697
lifetime
Volume
$107.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$154
Open exposure
$37.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-07
last 10-27 06:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
100% 75% +$19,996
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 197 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +16,603 $16,013 96¢ $15.9K -$82 10-26 12:41
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +12,376 $10,644 76¢ $9.5K -$1,176 10-21 04:32
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +8,210 $6,771 78¢ $6.4K -$407 10-21 16:17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,158 $1,172 94¢ $2.0K +$845 10-21 14:40
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +4,495 $1,876 24¢ $1.1K -$774 10-21 22:43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +412 $350 94¢ $388 +$37 10-26 12:56
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +348 $201 98¢ $341 +$140 10-27 03:21
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? No +324 $321 99¢ $320 -$1 10-22 12:59
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +357 $231 78¢ $280 +$50 10-27 01:53
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +280 $142 71¢ $199 +$57 10-27 06:44
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +36,890 $301 0¢ $129 -$172 10-26 15:32
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +6,188 $1,135 2¢ $127 -$1,008 10-26 15:41
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +7,535 $82 2¢ $121 +$38 10-27 07:08
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +331 $118 26¢ $86 -$32 10-20 21:10
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +2,813 $69 3¢ $75 +$6 10-26 18:31
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +61 $54 97¢ $59 +$5 10-21 07:24
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +41 $37 98¢ $40 +$3 10-27 01:52
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +92 $17 25¢ $23 +$6 10-22 13:02
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +26 $22 80¢ $21 -$1 10-20 17:47
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? No +24 $17 81¢ $19 +$2 10-14 22:40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +15 $10 72¢ $11 +$1 10-19 23:37
Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +8,662 $23 0¢ $9 -$15 10-23 15:04
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? Yes +140 $27 6¢ $9 -$18 10-27 03:02
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes +44 $4 19¢ $8 +$5 10-16 03:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +9 $5 68¢ $6 +$1 10-20 18:28
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +26 -$17 20¢ $5 +$22 10-20 17:47
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +3,244 $28 0¢ $5 -$23 10-20 18:44
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +15 $5 29¢ $4 $0 10-26 17:07
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes +61 $2 3¢ $2 $0 10-21 21:12
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +63 $162 2¢ $2 -$161 10-27 01:52