Realized P&L
-$742
Unrealized P&L
-$16
Hit rate
77.1%
Resolved
109
Trades
1,451
lifetime
Volume
$172.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$119
Open exposure
$744
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-22 06:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 52 days
Categories
Crypto
97% 73% -$632
Other
2% 0% -$17
Politics
1% 18% -$88
Tech
0% 0% -$3
Sports
0% 100% +$0
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +300 $224 74¢ $220 -$4 10-17 13:41
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +300 $80 26¢ $80 $0 10-18 13:36
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +100 $89 76¢ $76 -$12 10-17 05:32
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +100 $58 74¢ $74 +$16 10-14 15:42
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +50 $40 88¢ $44 +$4 10-20 21:22
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +50 $38 78¢ $39 +$1 10-16 09:35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +50 $37 75¢ $38 +$1 10-13 18:26
Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +30 $27 93¢ $28 +$0 10-07 19:28
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +100 $42 26¢ $26 -$16 10-14 15:42
another fed rate hike in 2026 No +100 $13 24¢ $24 +$10 10-14 14:44
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +20 $15 87¢ $17 +$2 09-30 00:31
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +20 $14 70¢ $14 +$0 10-02 02:27
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +20 $11 68¢ $14 +$3 10-01 18:45
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +50 $13 25¢ $12 $0 10-13 18:11
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +50 $11 22¢ $11 $0 10-16 09:36
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +20 $10 32¢ $6 -$4 10-01 18:45
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +50 $10 12¢ $6 -$4 10-20 21:28
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $15 30¢ $6 -$9 10-02 02:31
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +4 $5 63¢ $3 -$2 10-20 18:36
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $6 13¢ $3 -$3 09-29 17:51
Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? Yes +30 $3 7¢ $2 $0 10-07 17:12
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes +4 $1 37¢ $2 +$1 10-19 17:20