Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.02K

Unrealized P&L

-$192

Hit rate

51.1%

Resolved

Trades

157

lifetime

Volume

$5.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

$370

6 positions

First seen

2026-09-11

last 11-03 01:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

73% 11% -$949

Crypto

27% 26% -$53

Politics

0% 0% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 114 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+5,794	$350	3¢	$151	-$199	10-03 15:21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+514	$81	24¢	$126	+$45	11-03 01:19
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	+1,846	$40	3¢	$59	+$19	10-08 18:09
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+3,016	$30	0¢	$14	-$16	10-16 02:46
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?	Yes	+694	$30	2¢	$12	-$18	09-25 12:30
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	+1,533	$30	1¢	$8	-$22	10-03 15:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	4	$1.6K	1,393	1,393	+0	Yes	+$706	10-02 14:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	5	$1.5K	9,001	0	+9,001	No	-$1,494	09-15 14:11
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	7	$350	5,794	0	+5,794	open	—	10-03 15:21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	4	$339	1,028	514	+514	open	—	11-03 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	7	$248	589	589	+0	Down	+$148	09-11 19:17
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	2	$200	430	0	+430	open	—	10-08 13:58
Solana Up or Down - September 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	4	$92	496	70	+426	Down	+$32	09-11 21:04
will wti reach 100 in september 2026 from september 12	2	$91	884	0	+884	Yes	-$91	09-12 23:05
Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	6	$83	464	69	+396	Down	-$17	09-11 20:24
Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	3	$73	87	87	+0	Down	+$33	09-11 20:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	6	$70	2,880	0	+2,880	Down	+$15	09-11 20:29
Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	3	$62	1,064	64	+1,000	Down	+$22	09-11 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	6	$62	437	76	+360	Up	-$8	09-11 20:03
Will AVAX reach $13 by December 31, 2026?	2	$60	71	71	+0	open	—	10-07 17:37
Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	3	$51	154	154	+0	Down	+$15	09-11 19:48
Solana Up or Down - September 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	5	$48	506	0	+506	Up	-$48	09-11 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$47	53	53	+0	Down	+$7	09-11 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	3	$46	73	36	+37	Up	+$6	09-11 19:03
XRP Up or Down - September 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$44	38	38	+0	Down	+$30	09-11 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$42	74	74	+0	Up	+$2	09-11 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$42	56	56	+0	Up	+$22	09-11 16:58
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	4	$40	1,846	0	+1,846	open	—	10-08 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	4	$40	1,512	0	+1,512	Up	-$40	09-11 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	3	$31	72	38	+33	Up	-$9	09-11 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	3	$30	900	0	+900	Down	-$30	09-11 21:28
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?	2	$30	694	0	+694	open	—	09-25 12:30
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	3	$30	1,533	0	+1,533	open	—	10-03 15:21
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	3	$30	3,016	0	+3,016	open	—	10-16 02:46
Solana Up or Down - September 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$20	1,050	0	+1,050	Up	-$20	09-11 21:24
Solana Up or Down - September 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$20	893	0	+893	Up	-$20	09-11 20:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 01:19:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	514	25¢	$129	0x7f8e39…
10-16 02:46:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,001	1¢	$10	0x6882c0…
10-15 15:11:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0x8eec02…
10-14 12:40:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,239	1¢	$10	0x31f5e5…
10-14 12:40:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x1348f7…
10-08 18:09:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	519	2¢	$10	0x84813b…
10-08 18:06:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	562	2¢	$10	0xdf8301…
10-08 13:58:47	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	BUY	203	49¢	$100	0x2d1a5d…
10-08 13:33:14	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x6aa9f8…
10-07 17:37:06	Will AVAX reach $13 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	70¢	$50	0x010bec…
10-07 12:58:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	421	2¢	$10	0xa97779…
10-05 17:44:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0x6fca7b…
10-05 17:44:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	344	3¢	$10	0xdb7da9…
10-05 17:43:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	776	1¢	$10	0x3b11c2…
10-03 15:21:36	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	270	4¢	$10	0x949935…
10-03 15:21:29	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x7b20e7…
10-03 15:20:38	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	507	2¢	$10	0x177781…
10-03 15:20:29	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	526	2¢	$10	0xc94e01…
10-02 14:00:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,393	83¢	$1,156	0xeb4c73…
09-30 12:29:54	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	857	3¢	$30	0x615a7b…
09-29 13:23:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0x5b5dfe…
09-29 13:23:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0x089153…
09-29 13:22:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0xcba3cf…
09-29 13:22:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0x0afffa…
09-25 12:31:41	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	323	3¢	$10	0x891252…
09-25 12:31:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	909	33¢	$300	0xd94f79…
09-25 12:30:18	Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?	Yes	BUY	208	5¢	$10	0xf99f1a…
09-16 14:07:57	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	1,370	7¢	$100	0xf60bf0…
09-16 14:06:58	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	5¢	$2	0xfb80c6…
09-15 14:11:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	833	12¢	$100	0xc967f9…
09-14 20:36:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,111	1¢	$10	0x39d5d9…
09-14 20:35:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0xba1f40…
09-14 16:01:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,875	16¢	$300	0x8387c8…
09-13 01:19:57	Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.25 by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	99	10¢	$10	0x85334e…
09-13 01:15:42	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xdeeb8f…
09-12 23:27:12	Will AVAX reach $13 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x8b826d…
09-12 23:24:48	Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?	Yes	BUY	486	4¢	$20	0x6388c7…
09-12 23:23:16	Will AVAX reach $12 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	12¢	$20	0x02b842…
09-12 23:05:21	will wti reach 100 in september 2026 from september 12	No	BUY	189	11¢	$21	0x965f26…
09-12 23:01:36	will wti reach 100 in september 2026 from september 12	No	BUY	695	10¢	$70	0x1f502b…
09-12 22:53:09	Solana Up or Down - September 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xdae7bd…
09-12 01:29:07	XRP Up or Down - September 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xa882c1…
09-12 01:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x10e9fa…
09-11 21:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x757463…
09-11 21:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xb8140b…
09-11 21:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	38	29¢	$11	0xe54473…
09-11 21:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x849e50…
09-11 21:35:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x4db8f4…
09-11 21:34:30	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x41ad19…
09-11 21:31:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x6b645d…
09-11 21:31:37	XRP Up or Down - September 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xb71248…
09-11 21:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xe29f05…
09-11 21:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x304270…
09-11 21:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	150	7¢	$10	0x9c7fc0…
09-11 21:25:36	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	129	8¢	$10	0xb50749…
09-11 21:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x9e7578…
09-11 21:24:10	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xc564f8…
09-11 21:22:43	XRP Up or Down - September 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xae62d5…
09-11 21:22:25	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xcc0085…
09-11 21:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x67dde9…
09-11 21:21:49	BNB Up or Down - September 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	122	8¢	$10	0x98f243…
09-11 21:11:07	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x5d217f…
09-11 21:08:45	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	121	8¢	$10	0xb4a96c…
09-11 21:08:28	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	126	8¢	$10	0xfdfda2…
09-11 21:07:46	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	150	7¢	$10	0x1c04c0…
09-11 21:07:28	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	115	9¢	$10	0x9abe22…
09-11 21:06:49	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x20f7a9…
09-11 21:04:45	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	277	4¢	$10	0xe22881…
09-11 21:04:34	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	149	7¢	$10	0xd0223a…
09-11 21:04:12	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	70	88¢	$62	0xd1d2dd…
09-11 21:02:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x5bfab9…
09-11 21:02:18	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	70	14¢	$10	0xcd0266…
09-11 20:58:37	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	782	1¢	$10	0x6a3a86…
09-11 20:57:27	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x825909…
09-11 20:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	74	30¢	$22	0xda69a7…
09-11 20:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x0714f0…
09-11 20:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xab8ce1…
09-11 20:54:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x0fe5f8…
09-11 20:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x9b5ae2…
09-11 20:54:16	XRP Up or Down - September 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	38	98¢	$37	0xb6d780…
09-11 20:54:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	64	66¢	$42	0xf018db…
09-11 20:53:27	XRP Up or Down - September 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	38	19¢	$7	0xf10c1c…
09-11 20:53:15	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	64	16¢	$10	0xd2b478…
09-11 20:47:54	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	195	5¢	$10	0x2ff860…
09-11 20:40:55	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	458	2¢	$10	0xf2b9a8…
09-11 20:34:30	XRP Up or Down - September 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	837	1¢	$10	0x0c1718…
09-11 20:34:00	XRP Up or Down - September 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x635245…
09-11 20:31:01	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x33198e…
09-11 20:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2,000	1¢	$20	0x53e57c…
09-11 20:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	394	3¢	$10	0xedfe64…
09-11 20:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	259	4¢	$10	0xdea093…
09-11 20:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	142	7¢	$10	0x176a0c…
09-11 20:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xc78ed7…
09-11 20:28:25	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	66	15¢	$10	0xb165ba…
09-11 20:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xe08e77…
09-11 20:26:25	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	87	60¢	$53	0x16c849…
09-11 20:25:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0xbdb72b…
09-11 20:25:22	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xb6d857…
09-11 20:25:03	XRP Up or Down - September 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xf321bd…
09-11 20:24:25	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	318	3¢	$10	0x677232…