(anonymous) 0x5814a3…c1cb14
cold 6W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.55K
Unrealized P&L
+$315
Hit rate
69.7%
Resolved
193
Trades
1,298
lifetime
Volume
$46.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$5.95K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 10-28 17:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 70 days
Categories
Other
64% 41% -$839
Crypto
17% 61% -$302
Sports
16% 56% -$484
Politics
2% 30% +$150
Tech
0% 50% -$76
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +1,375 $858 100¢ $1.4K +$515 10-01 15:56
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +670 $602 99¢ $660 +$59 10-16 11:35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +635 $318 100¢ $635 +$317 10-14 20:06
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +779 $637 78¢ $608 -$30 10-16 11:35
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +646 $570 82¢ $530 -$40 10-14 12:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +445 $431 98¢ $434 +$3 10-16 11:35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +374 $244 100¢ $374 +$130 10-15 12:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +334 $332 100¢ $334 +$1 10-15 12:30
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +903 $473 22¢ $199 -$275 10-15 12:30
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +261 $159 66¢ $174 +$15 10-27 13:00
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027? No +177 $157 95¢ $168 +$11 09-29 09:06
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +151 $99 78¢ $118 +$19 10-24 06:17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +445 $98 21¢ $93 -$4 10-16 11:35
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? No +80 $78 97¢ $78 $0 10-01 12:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +50 $40 82¢ $41 +$0 10-15 12:15
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +35 $26 99¢ $35 +$9 10-14 12:50
Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 +$0 10-14 12:38
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 +$0 10-14 12:38
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +1,265 $360 1¢ $14 -$347 10-01 15:56
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +50 $2 18¢ $9 +$6 10-15 12:15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +50 $14 18¢ $9 -$5 09-23 16:49
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +162 $9 1¢ $2 -$7 10-15 12:15
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +1,515 $25 0¢ $2 -$23 10-01 15:56
Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +1,440 $12 0¢ $1 -$11 10-01 15:56
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +566 $29 0¢ $1 -$29 10-23 03:51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +175 $2 0¢ $0 -$1 09-29 18:22