Realized P&L
-$606
Unrealized P&L
-$681
Hit rate
72.6%
Resolved
203
Trades
1,298
lifetime
Volume
$46.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$2.52K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 10-28 17:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 72 days
Categories
Other
64% 45% +$121
Crypto
17% 59% -$318
Sports
16% 56% -$484
Politics
2% 30% +$150
Tech
0% 50% -$76
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +779 $637 74¢ $573 -$65 10-16 11:35
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +646 $570 74¢ $475 -$95 10-14 12:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +445 $431 98¢ $436 +$6 10-16 11:35
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +903 $473 26¢ $239 -$234 10-15 12:30
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +261 $159 70¢ $184 +$25 10-27 13:00
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027? No +177 $157 96¢ $171 +$14 09-29 09:06
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +445 $98 26¢ $118 +$20 10-16 11:35
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +151 $99 74¢ $111 +$12 10-24 06:17
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? No +80 $78 97¢ $78 $0 10-01 12:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +50 $40 76¢ $38 -$3 10-15 12:15
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +35 $26 100¢ $35 +$9 10-14 12:50
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 +$0 10-14 12:38
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +50 $2 26¢ $13 +$11 10-15 12:15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +50 $14 24¢ $12 -$2 09-23 16:49
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +1,265 $360 0¢ $4 -$356 10-01 15:56
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +1,515 $25 0¢ $2 -$23 10-01 15:56