Realized P&L (30d)
-$88
Unrealized P&L
-$670
Hit rate
24.5%
Resolved (30d)
8
Trades (30d)
331
1,298 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$6.86K
$46.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$2.57K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 10-28 17:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 70 days
Categories
Other
64% 41% -$839
Crypto
17% 61% -$302
Sports
16% 56% -$484
Politics
2% 30% +$150
Tech
0% 50% -$76
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +779 $637 81¢ $631 -$6 10-16 11:35
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +646 $570 84¢ $546 -$24 10-14 12:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +445 $431 98¢ $435 +$4 10-16 11:35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +261 $159 66¢ $174 +$15 10-27 13:00
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +903 $473 19¢ $172 -$302 10-15 12:30
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027? No +177 $157 94¢ $167 +$10 09-29 09:06
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +151 $99 81¢ $122 +$23 10-24 06:17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +445 $98 20¢ $87 -$11 10-16 11:35
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? No +80 $78 97¢ $78 $0 10-01 12:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +50 $40 84¢ $42 +$2 10-15 12:15
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +35 $26 100¢ $35 +$9 10-14 12:50
Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 +$0 10-14 12:38
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 +$0 10-14 12:38
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +50 $2 16¢ $8 +$5 10-15 12:15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +50 $14 16¢ $8 -$6 09-23 16:49
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +1,265 $360 0¢ $6 -$355 10-01 15:56
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +1,515 $25 0¢ $2 -$23 10-01 15:56
Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +1,440 $12 0¢ $1 -$11 10-01 15:56