Realized P&L (90d)
+$779
Unrealized P&L
-$660
Hit rate
89.5%
Resolved (90d)
28
Trades (90d)
457
1,334 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$9.62K
$47.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$2.81K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 10-30 19:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 72 days
Categories
Other
65% 45% +$121
Crypto
17% 58% -$387
Sports
16% 56% -$484
Politics
2% 30% +$150
Tech
0% 50% -$76
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +779 $637 72¢ $557 -$80 10-16 11:35
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +646 $570 74¢ $475 -$95 10-14 12:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +445 $431 98¢ $438 +$7 10-16 11:35
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +903 $473 29¢ $257 -$216 10-15 12:30
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +293 $182 74¢ $215 +$33 10-30 19:55
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027? No +177 $157 92¢ $162 +$6 09-29 09:06
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +193 $127 72¢ $138 +$11 10-30 18:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +445 $98 30¢ $131 +$33 10-16 11:35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +135 $102 76¢ $103 +$1 10-30 19:55
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? No +80 $78 98¢ $78 +$0 10-01 12:52
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +250 $54 26¢ $66 +$12 10-30 13:22
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +50 $50 99¢ $50 $0 10-30 17:45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +50 $40 72¢ $36 -$4 10-15 12:15
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +35 $26 100¢ $35 +$9 10-14 12:50
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 +$0 10-14 12:38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $27 28¢ $28 +$1 10-30 13:22
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +1,265 $360 0¢ $6 -$354 10-01 15:56
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +1,515 $25 0¢ $2 -$23 10-01 15:56
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes — +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-01 12:52