Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$54

Unrealized P&L

+$201

Hit rate

67.0%

Resolved

188

Trades

1,422

lifetime

Volume

$19.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$1.30K

21 positions

First seen

2026-07-07

last 10-31 01:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

61% 52% +$262

Crypto

37% 43% -$181

Politics

2% 0% -$18

Sports

0% 25% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions (21) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?	Yes		+545	$292	69¢	$374	+$82	10-30 13:15
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes		+454	$224	70¢	$320	+$96	10-30 18:20
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes		+514	$121	26¢	$131	+$10	10-30 02:15
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	No		+382	$126	30¢	$115	-$12	10-30 02:13
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?	No		+78	$67	98¢	$77	+$10	10-30 09:30
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	Yes		+70	$67	69¢	$48	-$19	10-30 12:59
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes		+63	$38	72¢	$45	+$7	10-30 20:23
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes		+136	$35	28¢	$37	+$3	10-31 01:43
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes		+100	$39	34¢	$34	-$6	10-29 10:31
Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes		+2,400	$11	1¢	$28	+$17	09-16 10:33
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes		+100	$29	27¢	$27	-$2	10-29 10:31
another fed rate hike in 2026	Yes		+36	$16	70¢	$25	+$9	10-30 02:15
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	No		+50	$26	40¢	$20	-$6	08-27 12:14
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes		+50	$0	18¢	$9	+$9	09-19 16:40
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes		+400	$10	2¢	$7	-$3	10-10 23:22
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes		+11	-$5	28¢	$3	+$8	10-30 18:20
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	—	+50	$0	4¢	$2	+$2	10-31 20:11
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes		+112	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	09-23 14:21
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes		+7	$2	2¢	$0	-$1	10-28 14:49
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes		+5	$7	0¢	$0	-$7	10-30 13:15
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?	Yes		+0	-$4	2¢	$0	+$4	10-16 03:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	40	$1.5K	1,557	1,102	+454	open	—	10-30 18:20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	16	$1.4K	1,348	1,348	+0	Yes	-$1	09-10 18:45
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	43	$707	492	422	+70	open	—	10-30 12:59
another fed rate hike in 2026	39	$706	490	454	+36	open	—	10-30 02:15
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?	38	$613	798	254	+545	open	—	10-30 13:15
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	30	$469	473	473	+0	open	—	10-30 18:28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	38	$453	402	342	+60	Yes	+$47	10-26 18:24
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	36	$444	1,320	1,250	+70	No	+$47	10-28 02:38
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	21	$418	394	219	+175	No	+$36	10-16 04:04
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	45	$414	663	281	+382	open	—	10-30 02:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 12:40 UTC	9	$381	200	200	+0	Down	+$15	08-28 12:43
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	25	$369	371	308	+63	open	—	10-30 20:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 14:20 UTC	9	$358	200	200	+0	Up	+$38	08-07 14:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 09:05 UTC	4	$348	200	200	+0	Up	+$48	08-24 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9AM ET	10	$312	250	250	+0	Down	+$46	09-07 13:35
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	14	$282	199	199	+0	open	—	10-31 01:43
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?	2	$280	200	200	+0	Yes	+$116	10-21 18:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 08:35 UTC	13	$275	200	200	+0	Up	+$55	08-21 08:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 17:10 UTC	16	$271	200	200	+0	Up	+$71	08-13 17:14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	54	$266	715	580	+136	open	—	10-31 01:43
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	20	$256	1,800	1,800	+0	Yes	-$17	10-21 13:41
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2027 meeting?	6	$238	393	0	+393	open	—	10-30 13:09
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?	22	$233	795	281	+514	open	—	10-30 02:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 18:20 UTC	6	$206	200	200	+0	Down	-$32	08-26 18:23
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-09-20?	3	$194	98	98	+0	Yes	+$2	09-20 15:02
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?	14	$191	183	105	+78	open	—	10-30 09:30
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?	20	$188	317	176	+141	open	—	10-26 18:25
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$187	130	130	+0	No	+$27	07-29 18:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 18:35 UTC	10	$178	120	120	+0	Down	+$17	08-26 18:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 13:10 UTC	2	$174	100	100	+0	Down	+$24	08-07 13:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 20:11:34	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0xe489e6…
10-31 20:11:34	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	42	24¢	$10	0xc08ed1…
10-31 20:11:18	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0xb05b5b…
10-31 20:02:33	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xdc8195…
10-31 01:43:10	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x89f5b5…
10-31 01:43:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x45bf43…
10-30 20:23:22	Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0xf24a9e…
10-30 20:23:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0xedfbfc…
10-30 20:23:22	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x60a067…
10-30 18:36:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xba769a…
10-30 18:36:09	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x04a206…
10-30 18:28:13	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	SELL	25	66¢	$16	0x5664d1…
10-30 18:28:13	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	SELL	25	7¢	$2	0x3c6c77…
10-30 18:28:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	25	26¢	$6	0x3b9478…
10-30 18:20:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0x9eb12c…
10-30 18:20:33	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0x708bd3…
10-30 18:15:24	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x1f4e0c…
10-30 18:15:22	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xea505f…
10-30 18:15:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x0418a4…
10-30 18:10:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xbd90c9…
10-30 18:10:31	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xcce098…
10-30 18:10:31	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x3c7805…
10-30 17:45:24	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	BUY	27	6¢	$2	0x997b17…
10-30 17:45:24	Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	BUY	27	8¢	$2	0x7e493d…
10-30 17:45:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	27	72¢	$20	0x02c680…
10-30 17:45:18	Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xc659c3…
10-30 16:49:13	Como 1907 vs. Venezia FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0xa1797b…
10-30 13:15:31	Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	SELL	15	14¢	$2	0x8509ee…
10-30 13:15:31	Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x47b458…
10-30 13:15:31	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	70¢	$10	0x466261…
10-30 13:15:31	Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0x32cf77…
10-30 13:10:18	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	BUY	35	60¢	$21	0xcdfa40…
10-30 13:10:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	35	25¢	$9	0xb22197…
10-30 13:10:18	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	BUY	35	9¢	$3	0x3b309c…
10-30 13:09:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xd3f186…
10-30 13:09:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x7d1691…
10-30 13:09:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x184474…
10-30 13:06:06	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	BUY	74	2¢	$2	0xcb0059…
10-30 13:04:33	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x240c28…
10-30 13:04:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	84	5¢	$4	0x477076…
10-30 13:04:16	Fed rate cut by March 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	84	85¢	$71	0x194714…
10-30 12:59:51	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	Yes	SELL	17	67¢	$11	0xf8e9b2…
10-30 12:59:51	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	SELL	17	93¢	$15	0xd03758…
10-30 12:59:51	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	SELL	17	39¢	$6	0x4cfe6d…
10-30 12:57:58	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xdd4587…
10-30 12:57:58	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	67¢	$7	0x465981…
10-30 12:57:58	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	SELL	11	40¢	$4	0x3745d7…
10-30 10:33:58	Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0xed7658…
10-30 10:33:58	Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0xcc6f5a…
10-30 10:33:57	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	69¢	$6	0x04d322…
10-30 10:33:48	Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	SELL	30	15¢	$5	0xe87f1a…
10-30 10:33:48	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	69¢	$21	0xba0e41…
10-30 10:33:48	Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	SELL	30	15¢	$4	0x519a17…
10-30 10:33:37	Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	SELL	70	15¢	$10	0x7f3ee3…
10-30 10:33:37	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	Yes	SELL	70	69¢	$48	0x5d7725…
10-30 10:33:33	Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	SELL	70	15¢	$11	0x729626…
10-30 09:30:00	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0xfc1d30…
10-30 02:15:43	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0xe8614d…
10-30 02:15:42	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x78c462…
10-30 02:13:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x31d696…
10-30 02:13:24	Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x19f139…
10-30 02:13:15	Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	No	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0xfd58ae…
10-30 02:13:15	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0x4f3e25…
10-30 01:11:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	116	69¢	$80	0x94fe0a…
10-30 01:11:46	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	116	26¢	$30	0x79b3f4…
10-30 01:11:45	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	290	25¢	$74	0xf1479b…
10-30 01:11:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	290	69¢	$200	0x1b801b…
10-30 00:16:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xd96704…
10-30 00:16:42	Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xd2736f…
10-30 00:01:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x8935d3…
10-30 00:01:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	28	57¢	$16	0x5815c8…
10-30 00:01:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	28	25¢	$7	0x125157…
10-29 23:57:57	Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0x1ebda0…
10-29 23:57:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0xc25e3c…
10-29 23:57:51	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0x1f3a3c…
10-29 23:56:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	45	26¢	$12	0xce2602…
10-29 23:56:48	Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	SELL	45	14¢	$6	0x626605…
10-29 23:56:48	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	SELL	45	59¢	$27	0x0242f5…
10-29 23:56:39	Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	SELL	45	14¢	$6	0xef60b1…
10-29 23:56:39	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	SELL	45	59¢	$27	0x35caa3…
10-29 23:56:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	45	26¢	$12	0x095647…
10-29 23:55:34	Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	SELL	14	14¢	$2	0xd1900b…
10-29 23:55:34	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	SELL	14	60¢	$9	0x9bf8c4…
10-29 23:55:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	14	25¢	$4	0x0c17b8…
10-29 23:53:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	30	25¢	$8	0xd78f13…
10-29 23:53:37	Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0xf2f32f…
10-29 23:53:37	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	SELL	30	60¢	$18	0x12100a…
10-29 20:31:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x477e03…
10-29 20:31:39	Fed rate cut by March 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	17	84¢	$14	0x3b91d9…
10-29 20:31:33	Fed rate cut by March 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	17	84¢	$14	0xd46f18…
10-29 20:31:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x820358…
10-29 20:31:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x6d6e17…
10-29 20:31:28	Fed rate cut by March 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	17	84¢	$14	0x18e584…
10-29 20:06:48	Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	SELL	12	12¢	$1	0xf8eb3d…
10-29 20:06:48	Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	SELL	12	13¢	$2	0x704282…
10-29 20:06:48	Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	74¢	$9	0x62c959…
10-29 20:02:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0xb2ffcd…
10-29 20:02:09	Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x10411c…
10-29 20:02:09	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	SELL	6	60¢	$3	0x0fb1cc…
10-29 20:00:43	Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	Yes	SELL	21	11¢	$2	0x5f5f63…