White-Tabernacle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.59K

Unrealized P&L

-$419

Hit rate

65.8%

Resolved

194

Trades

1,624

lifetime

Volume

$263.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$162

Open exposure

$5.42K

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 10-30 05:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Other

41% 63% +$2,420

Crypto

35% 56% +$389

Tech

11% 50% +$681

Sports

8% 38% -$86

Politics

6% 67% +$189

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	+4,859	$3,007	50¢	$2.5K	-$553	10-30 05:20
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	+1,116	$918	78¢	$876	-$43	10-26 17:39
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	+895	$560	70¢	$631	+$71	10-26 16:58
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	+829	$511	57¢	$477	-$34	10-29 21:54
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	+930	$278	48¢	$445	+$168	10-24 20:59
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	+527	$410	80¢	$424	+$15	10-30 05:19
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	+290	$64	19¢	$55	-$9	10-29 16:10
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	+579	$87	10¢	$55	-$32	10-22 20:34
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	+897	$4	0¢	$2	-$2	10-24 20:20
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	+9	$1	11¢	$1	$0	10-22 20:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Fed rate hike in 2026?	22	$16.9K	11,164	11,164	+0	Yes	+$1,221	09-14 06:02
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	78	$15.6K	42,195	42,195	+0	No	-$217	07-12 01:02
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	17	$10.7K	10,417	10,417	+0	Yes	+$66	09-14 06:04
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	20	$8.3K	5,291	5,291	+0	No	+$936	04-01 07:01
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	44	$7.3K	6,873	5,241	+1,632	Yes	+$622	05-01 09:42
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	10	$6.8K	5,853	5,853	+0	Yes	+$33	08-31 17:14
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	36	$6.6K	4,448	4,448	+0	No	+$531	05-01 09:43
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	12	$5.5K	2,923	2,923	+0	No	+$67	06-10 06:03
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	17	$4.9K	6,497	2,368	+4,128	Yes	+$101	06-12 18:05
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	13	$4.9K	7,572	1,850	+5,722	No	-$224	06-10 10:14
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	18	$4.9K	6,185	1,865	+4,320	Yes	+$300	06-12 18:12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	8	$4.7K	5,061	5,061	+0	open	—	09-14 06:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	30	$4.7K	3,775	3,775	+0	No	+$270	06-25 14:39
over 20m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325650	5	$4.3K	2,590	2,590	+0	Yes	+$735	07-13 19:50
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	16	$3.9K	3,400	3,400	+0	Yes	+$4	07-14 21:31
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	29	$3.8K	3,332	3,332	+0	No	-$431	06-19 12:55
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	46	$3.8K	4,462	2,634	+1,828	Yes	+$281	05-26 09:03
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	17	$3.7K	3,468	2,054	+1,414	No	+$294	06-12 18:02
Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	19	$3.6K	2,616	1,816	+800	No	+$160	05-26 07:45
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	19	$3.5K	2,500	2,500	+0	No	-$454	07-19 21:17
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	21	$3.5K	5,291	5,291	+0	No	-$903	04-01 06:54
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	25	$3.4K	7,709	1,151	+6,558	No	-$100	05-26 08:08
over 35m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325653 212	20	$3.4K	2,771	2,771	+0	No	-$24	07-17 16:51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	6	$3.4K	6,201	0	+6,201	Yes	-$3,398	08-31 16:26
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	10	$3.3K	2,422	1,895	+527	open	—	10-30 05:19
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	28	$3.2K	3,332	3,332	+0	No	+$544	06-19 12:56
USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?	16	$3.2K	2,357	2,357	+0	Yes	+$335	04-16 13:12
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	41	$3.1K	6,289	1,079	+5,210	No	-$30	05-26 10:14
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	5	$3.1K	2,168	2,168	+0	open	—	10-28 16:30
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	19	$3.1K	1,965	1,965	+0	Yes	+$22	05-25 10:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 05:20:21	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xe28c92…
10-30 05:19:36	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	527	79¢	$416	0x28d89f…
10-30 05:17:51	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x39f786…
10-29 21:55:30	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	226	53¢	$120	0x20d3f4…
10-29 21:54:22	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	226	64¢	$145	0x3d9959…
10-29 20:31:19	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	412	64¢	$264	0x3e9577…
10-29 20:28:46	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	292	50¢	$146	0x195d7c…
10-29 16:10:37	Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	290	22¢	$64	0xf71885…
10-28 19:45:37	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xa0452d…
10-28 19:45:14	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xf7bd0a…
10-28 19:45:01	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x617d0a…
10-28 19:44:46	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	148	50¢	$74	0x8dd9fe…
10-28 19:43:35	Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x9961b1…
10-28 19:43:22	Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x081d39…
10-28 19:42:50	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	151	50¢	$76	0x2eb81d…
10-28 16:35:41	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	523	48¢	$252	0x6a56a1…
10-28 16:34:02	Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	587	46¢	$271	0xa6016a…
10-28 16:31:26	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	SELL	1,996	40¢	$798	0xac4e22…
10-28 16:30:31	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	SELL	1,996	75¢	$1,499	0xb31ceb…
10-26 17:40:12	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	247	38¢	$94	0xacf409…
10-26 17:39:51	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	247	82¢	$203	0xe97441…
10-26 17:01:59	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	248	38¢	$94	0x0fc28f…
10-26 17:01:42	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	248	83¢	$206	0x310e0a…
10-26 17:01:02	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	743	38¢	$282	0x2d8941…
10-26 17:00:44	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	105	37¢	$39	0x35a32c…
10-26 16:58:17	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	312	63¢	$197	0x843b18…
10-26 16:57:41	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	250	62¢	$155	0xe09a29…
10-26 16:39:44	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,673	75¢	$1,255	0x04d7af…
10-26 16:38:53	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x67c1cb…
10-26 16:37:32	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	904	38¢	$341	0x27e7a6…
10-26 16:37:00	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	621	30¢	$186	0x59c3b1…
10-24 21:00:15	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	64¢	$21	0xf1852c…
10-24 20:59:47	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0x730068…
10-24 20:20:14	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	202	0¢	$1	0xc85e77…
10-24 20:19:11	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	202	77¢	$156	0xea053f…
10-24 20:17:59	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	202	32¢	$64	0x206356…
10-24 17:15:27	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	695	0¢	$3	0xab1c4f…
10-24 17:14:38	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	297	69¢	$205	0xdc9ba8…
10-24 17:14:08	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	398	67¢	$267	0xf83f57…
10-24 17:13:33	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	695	29¢	$203	0x239ae9…
10-22 20:34:09	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	579	15¢	$87	0xc2d47c…
10-22 20:33:33	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0xf293ac…
10-22 20:11:44	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	160	63¢	$101	0x3a8a44…
10-22 20:10:29	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$7	0xf8a4a2…
10-22 20:10:29	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0x3c8b46…
10-22 20:10:14	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	60	75¢	$45	0xfe2eef…
10-22 20:09:17	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0xbc1f59…
10-22 20:09:05	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0xe67c1b…
10-22 20:07:35	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	173	62¢	$107	0xcc5a71…
10-22 20:06:57	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	825	75¢	$619	0x7b32a8…
10-22 20:06:02	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	999	69¢	$689	0x318c77…
10-22 20:05:32	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	271	69¢	$187	0x31159e…
10-22 20:04:47	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	729	68¢	$496	0x743343…
10-22 20:04:23	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	836	75¢	$627	0xb54f39…
10-22 20:03:57	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	164	74¢	$121	0x377ab6…
10-22 19:51:57	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	192	68¢	$131	0xcc7240…
10-22 19:51:03	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	192	53¢	$102	0x41c897…
10-22 19:11:48	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	BUY	400	44¢	$176	0x95efe0…
10-22 19:11:09	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	BUY	400	71¢	$284	0x0d3049…
10-22 18:38:35	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xc49a81…
10-22 18:38:09	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x3f426a…
10-22 18:37:21	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	85	83¢	$71	0xe08904…
10-22 18:36:44	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	411	22¢	$90	0x71c919…
10-22 18:36:29	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	190	21¢	$40	0xe43914…
10-22 18:35:56	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	516	82¢	$423	0x7e30fa…
10-20 20:17:12	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	SELL	172	49¢	$84	0x0b6468…
10-20 20:16:41	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	SELL	57	69¢	$39	0xc110a9…
10-20 20:16:41	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	SELL	115	69¢	$79	0x9496f5…
10-20 19:52:09	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	BUY	1,768	68¢	$1,202	0xf26204…
10-20 19:51:36	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	BUY	1,768	48¢	$848	0xfd20c8…
10-07 16:15:59	Ethos FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	289	81¢	$234	0x8b661e…
10-07 16:14:52	Ethos FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	289	75¢	$217	0x1c827e…
10-07 15:51:02	Ethos FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	144	77¢	$111	0x7e8975…
10-07 15:50:26	Ethos FDV above $75M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	144	35¢	$50	0x59c4dc…
10-07 15:44:14	TownSquare FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	93	84¢	$78	0x6c5672…
10-07 15:43:53	TownSquare FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	SELL	21	82¢	$17	0x09d3da…
10-07 15:43:38	TownSquare FDV above $225M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0xd9a790…
10-07 15:43:23	TownSquare FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	29	70¢	$20	0xc6c824…
10-07 15:42:58	TownSquare FDV above $175M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	48	32¢	$15	0x266f1f…
10-07 15:42:37	TownSquare FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	90	47¢	$42	0xe14bed…
10-07 15:42:14	TownSquare FDV above $125M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0xb74030…
09-29 15:08:26	over 10m committed to the jumper public sale	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x5958b2…
09-29 15:05:56	over 10m committed to the jumper public sale	Yes	BUY	700	100¢	$699	0x5f2e1e…
09-29 14:40:33	over 10m committed to the jumper public sale	Yes	BUY	245	100¢	$244	0xd4c7cf…
09-14 06:04:04	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	1,225	16¢	$196	0x8c0819…
09-14 06:03:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	939	39¢	$366	0x564422…
09-14 06:03:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3,661	42¢	$1,538	0x7a47dc…
09-14 06:02:34	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,420	88¢	$4,770	0x0fc3c4…
09-14 06:02:18	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	405	89¢	$360	0x7ab39b…
09-10 21:18:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	779	42¢	$327	0xdacfb5…
09-10 21:17:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	221	41¢	$91	0x7fde0f…
09-10 21:17:00	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	79¢	$790	0x175e1b…
09-10 21:15:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	971	42¢	$408	0x942c4c…
09-10 21:13:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	921	78¢	$718	0x6abc7a…
09-10 21:09:57	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	239	79¢	$189	0x0680ef…
09-10 21:09:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	214	36¢	$77	0xfd750c…
09-10 21:08:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	725	36¢	$261	0xd63786…
09-10 21:08:16	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	750	79¢	$592	0xcae822…
09-10 20:56:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,690	46¢	$777	0x71843f…
09-10 20:52:57	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,080	78¢	$842	0xc22981…