Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$795

Unrealized P&L

-$17

Hit rate

59.8%

Resolved

777

Trades

6,899

lifetime

Volume

$114.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

7 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 09-17 07:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Other

36% 57% -$1,768

Crypto

34% 57% -$33

Politics

18% 71% +$652

Sports

12% 50% +$352

Tech

0% 67% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 210 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	-12	-$3	18¢	$-2	+$1	05-07 08:27
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+1	$0	96¢	$1	+$1	09-10 13:50
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	+0	$5	12¢	$0	-$5	08-14 06:22
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	+0	-$1	97¢	$0	+$1	09-15 20:51
iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	No	+0	$3	62¢	$0	-$3	08-14 21:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+0	$8	12¢	$0	-$8	09-12 23:41
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	+0	$4	7¢	$0	-$4	08-17 21:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	27	$4.8K	2,540	2,540	+0	No	+$181	04-15 08:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-14 13:00 UTC	79	$4.6K	6,424	5,485	+940	Up	-$1,335	04-14 13:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-14 12:00 UTC	50	$4.3K	7,662	537	+7,125	Down	+$3,143	04-14 12:11
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	10	$2.9K	1,627	1,592	+36	No	+$132	04-14 10:19
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	6	$2.7K	1,382	1,382	+0	No	+$4	04-24 14:13
rou1 fmb fcm 2026 04 13 total 1pt5	202	$2.5K	2,728	1,288	+1,440	Under	-$194	04-13 14:28
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	9	$2.5K	1,908	727	+1,181	Yes	+$54	04-17 04:22
nba orl bos 2026 04 12	150	$2.1K	3,938	0	+3,938	Celtics	-$199	04-13 00:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-14 13:15 UTC	28	$2.0K	3,897	0	+3,897	Down	+$951	04-14 13:23
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	2	$2.0K	1,082	1,082	+0	open	—	09-17 07:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 11:20 UTC	19	$1.9K	3,689	0	+3,689	Down	+$1,200	04-14 11:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-14 12:15 UTC	10	$1.6K	5,628	0	+5,628	Up	-$1,618	04-14 12:30
nba phx okc 2026 04 12	207	$1.5K	3,658	0	+3,658	Suns	-$412	04-13 01:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 03:00 UTC	9	$1.3K	2,456	0	+2,456	Down	+$184	04-15 03:01
atp nava shelton 2026 04 13	44	$1.3K	2,004	489	+1,515	Ben Shelton	-$725	04-13 14:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 04:20 UTC	10	$1.2K	2,214	0	+2,214	Down	+$261	04-15 04:24
sea bol lec 2026 04 12 total 1pt5	78	$1.1K	2,221	0	+2,221	Over	-$17	04-12 17:38
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	81	$1.1K	3,091	3,091	+0	Yes	+$350	08-11 11:21
mlb sf bal 2026 04 12	114	$1.0K	2,051	0	+2,051	Baltimore Orioles	-$64	04-12 18:34
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	13	$1.0K	657	657	+0	Yes	+$228	08-02 03:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 05:35 UTC	1	$1000	1,560	0	+1,560	Down	-$1,000	04-15 05:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 12:35 UTC	8	$973	1,001	0	+1,001	Up	+$28	04-15 12:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 05:15 UTC	1	$914	1,321	0	+1,321	Up	+$408	04-15 05:14
nba was cle 2026 04 12	59	$913	1,712	0	+1,712	Cavaliers	-$71	04-13 00:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 02:20 UTC	12	$872	1,942	0	+1,942	Down	-$852	04-15 02:23
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	93	$864	1,662	1,662	+0	No	-$31	08-14 00:58
tur gal koc 2026 04 12 gal	77	$825	1,247	0	+1,247	No	-$394	04-12 18:56
nba gsw lac 2026 04 12	106	$821	1,584	0	+1,584	Clippers	+$190	04-13 01:16
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	11	$820	1,234	1,234	+0	No	+$241	04-17 16:15
es2 cad and 2026 04 12 and	86	$820	1,651	0	+1,651	Yes	-$96	04-12 17:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 07:11:03	anne hathaway baby boy or girl	Girl	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xa9f4eb…
09-17 07:11:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x0f54ac…
09-17 07:10:27	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd43c77…
09-17 07:10:27	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc566f0…
09-17 07:10:27	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xad937f…
09-17 07:10:27	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x9f9113…
09-17 07:10:27	Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x7c95fe…
09-17 07:10:27	anne hathaway baby boy or girl	Girl	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5eb227…
09-17 07:10:27	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	65¢	$3	0x35fd4e…
09-17 07:10:25	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	66¢	$6	0xbc318c…
09-17 07:10:25	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x391bcd…
09-17 07:10:25	anne hathaway baby boy or girl	Girl	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0x172ee7…
09-17 07:10:25	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0x110c65…
09-17 07:10:24	Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x0e3065…
09-17 07:10:22	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	12	87¢	$11	0xd78c89…
09-17 07:10:22	Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?	No	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0x42b3a6…
09-17 07:10:21	Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?	No	SELL	19	84¢	$16	0xf7bbee…
09-17 07:10:21	Will Egypt join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	90¢	$15	0x8db25e…
09-17 07:10:21	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	SELL	29	98¢	$29	0x611a4f…
09-17 07:10:21	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	SELL	17	92¢	$15	0x5fbd91…
09-17 07:10:21	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	26	85¢	$22	0x314eac…
09-17 07:10:19	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	18¢	$6	0xfbc6b2…
09-17 07:10:19	france uk or germany military action against yemen by october 31 2026 20260914	Yes	SELL	21	5¢	$1	0xf38cfe…
09-17 07:10:19	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	37	62¢	$23	0xe9b5f0…
09-17 07:10:19	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	SELL	36	86¢	$31	0x90d46a…
09-17 07:10:18	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	83¢	$125	0xf8ac68…
09-17 07:10:18	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	82	93¢	$76	0xce99b4…
09-17 07:10:18	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Yes	SELL	154	3¢	$5	0xbfc287…
09-17 07:10:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	103	94¢	$97	0x9ee44d…
09-17 07:10:18	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	No	SELL	162	90¢	$146	0x1b01e4…
09-17 07:10:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	SELL	74	6¢	$4	0x02ecda…
09-17 07:10:16	Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	SELL	222	98¢	$218	0xe03158…
09-17 07:10:15	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	1,082	93¢	$1,006	0x96f390…
09-17 05:49:22	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x6e608d…
09-17 04:12:00	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x9534e3…
09-17 04:08:10	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x46adc9…
09-17 03:57:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x626b22…
09-17 03:42:12	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x9c6994…
09-17 03:42:12	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x7e229f…
09-17 03:42:10	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xdb788f…
09-17 03:42:10	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x139909…
09-17 03:00:24	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x8233b1…
09-17 02:03:09	anne hathaway baby boy or girl	Girl	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xef6095…
09-17 00:46:10	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x1f7923…
09-17 00:32:34	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x955d77…
09-17 00:29:19	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x009519…
09-17 00:21:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	41	7¢	$3	0x0749c7…
09-17 00:17:04	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0xe1af8b…
09-17 00:17:04	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	3¢	$1	0xd1d67d…
09-16 22:25:36	france uk or germany military action against yemen by october 31 2026 20260914	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xc46ef0…
09-16 21:51:21	anne hathaway baby boy or girl	Girl	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa0b8db…
09-16 20:06:58	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x64faf0…
09-16 17:03:40	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0xff12ed…
09-16 16:38:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xda4cdf…
09-16 16:30:17	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	31	9¢	$3	0xea0836…
09-15 21:50:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xc2358a…
09-15 21:44:34	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x8000df…
09-15 21:07:43	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	23	11¢	$2	0xcfbc4b…
09-15 21:02:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xd7cb06…
09-15 20:51:33	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xb52b8c…
09-15 20:43:34	iran oman hormuz agreement by september 30 823 929	No	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x508ac5…
09-15 20:37:09	iran oman hormuz agreement by september 30 823 929	No	SELL	1	75¢	$0	0xcc9fe7…
09-15 20:35:28	iran oman hormuz agreement by september 30 823 929	No	SELL	1	73¢	$0	0x4feba2…
09-15 20:18:33	iran oman hormuz agreement by september 30 823 929	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x5e0231…
09-15 20:13:46	iran oman hormuz agreement by september 30 823 929	No	SELL	1	74¢	$0	0x96ab05…
09-15 18:18:01	iran oman hormuz agreement by september 30 823 929	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x2f73a5…
09-15 18:15:22	iran oman hormuz agreement by september 30 823 929	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x766cd8…
09-15 17:39:33	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$7	0xa2a6e0…
09-15 17:12:52	iran oman hormuz agreement by september 30 823 929	No	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x27e796…
09-15 12:51:15	iran oman hormuz agreement by september 30 823 929	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xa3de4c…
09-15 09:52:18	iran oman hormuz agreement by september 30 823 929	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xa4bacb…
09-15 08:16:36	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0xa8b456…
09-14 23:12:36	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x33359b…
09-14 22:08:58	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xaf85bf…
09-14 22:08:46	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xe7f72d…
09-14 21:53:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xf067c8…
09-14 21:20:30	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xd57104…
09-14 20:41:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x0f7828…
09-14 19:49:21	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Yes	BUY	74	5¢	$4	0x608294…
09-14 18:51:22	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	63¢	$5	0xb5f72f…
09-14 18:29:16	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0xfe5c6f…
09-14 18:20:13	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x59b808…
09-14 16:07:16	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0xf1c4ca…
09-14 13:06:45	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x3abf03…
09-14 13:06:28	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x21ccfe…
09-14 11:25:06	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x939f2e…
09-14 10:57:46	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x2c0d39…
09-14 10:57:43	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x116b3d…
09-14 09:42:45	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x87a3d5…
09-14 05:34:54	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x15eab8…
09-14 03:00:37	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x92ffc1…
09-14 03:00:28	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0xb079f1…
09-14 02:56:58	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$1	0xbf61a6…
09-14 02:23:09	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x34a87a…
09-14 02:22:03	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xe1c145…
09-14 01:00:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	SELL	16	10¢	$2	0x14f4d7…
09-13 22:42:30	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xcd3028…
09-13 20:12:09	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x5095d7…
09-13 19:36:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x1bd1aa…
09-13 19:36:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0xba76ce…