Realized P&L
+$4
Unrealized P&L
+$1.90K
Hit rate
88.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
1,751
lifetime
Volume
$226.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$130
Open exposure
$12.5K
19 positions
First seen
2026-02-27
last 06-12 10:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
71% 100% +$5
Other
17% 0% $-1
Crypto
8%
Tech
4%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 217 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +2,454 $2,184 96¢ $2.4K +$184 06-11 12:23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +1,778 $1,550 96¢ $1.7K +$154 06-07 19:10
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? No +1,500 $1,470 98¢ $1.5K +$5 06-11 10:20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Yes +1,000 $640 94¢ $940 +$300 06-10 19:29
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +1,000 $862 91¢ $906 +$44 06-08 18:31
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +1,410 $-798 49¢ $691 +$1,489 06-12 17:33
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +750 $429 86¢ $641 +$212 06-11 18:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -751 $-608 81¢ $-608 $-0 05-27 22:46
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +1,523 $778 38¢ $571 $-207 06-12 06:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +700 $558 80¢ $556 $-2 06-12 09:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -1,312 $-278 42¢ $-551 $-273 06-09 14:25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -1,705 $-581 25¢ $-426 +$154 06-12 03:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +2,000 $365 20¢ $410 +$45 06-12 13:42
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +3,000 $144 11¢ $322 +$178 06-07 06:05
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,000 $100 $130 +$30 06-11 04:33
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? No +800 $288 $68 $-220 06-09 21:39
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes -76 $-64 84¢ $-64 $-0 06-01 06:30
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? No +1,000 $170 $15 $-154 06-09 19:52
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? No +600 $44 $5 $-39 06-05 22:44