Grouchy-Individual — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$378

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

53.2%

Resolved

5,625

Trades

7,448

lifetime

Volume

$10.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-05

last 10-28 19:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 204 days

Categories

Other

60% 52% -$43

Crypto

21% 53% -$225

Sports

17% 49% -$117

Politics

2% 62% +$6

Tech

0% 67% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		-5	-$2	38¢	$-2	+$0	08-12 19:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
sea udi com 2026 04 06 com	28	$68	47	46	+1	No	+$16	04-06 13:59
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	6	$44	41	41	+0	Up	+$5	06-01 16:00
nhl tb buf 2026 04 06	41	$41	77	0	+77	Sabres	-$41	04-06 15:52
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 10	7	$33	28	28	+0	No	-$1	04-10 20:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 20:00 UTC	7	$31	30	15	+15	Down	-$2	04-15 20:03
nor tro rbk 2026 04 06 total 2pt5	10	$27	18	18	+0	Under	+$9	04-06 19:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 09:00 UTC	26	$26	207	0	+207	Up	-$26	04-16 09:03
elc swe lei 2026 04 06 total 2pt5	9	$24	16	16	+0	Under	+$8	04-06 16:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 22:00 UTC	5	$22	15	15	+0	Up	+$6	04-15 22:04
sea juv gen 2026 04 06 total 2pt5	8	$21	14	14	+0	Under	+$7	04-06 17:55
will 60 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	6	$20	17	17	+0	No	+$4	04-14 15:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 14:45 UTC	16	$20	37	12	+25	Up	+$4	04-19 14:57
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 14?	2	$18	15	15	+0	Yes	+$12	06-14 21:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 15:00 UTC	13	$18	34	12	+21	Down	+$2	04-19 15:14
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	12	$17	21	15	+6	Yes	+$2	04-29 15:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 20:05 UTC	6	$16	30	0	+30	Down	-$16	04-15 20:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 09:30 UTC	10	$16	17	7	+10	Down	+$5	04-19 09:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 07:35 UTC	8	$15	20	15	+5	Down	+$9	04-19 07:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 08:45 UTC	10	$15	29	15	+14	Up	+$4	04-19 08:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 08:00 UTC	10	$15	28	10	+18	Up	+$6	04-19 08:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 21:45 UTC	3	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	04-15 21:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 19:45 UTC	10	$14	19	18	+1	Down	+$3	04-19 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 17:05 UTC	9	$14	17	13	+4	Down	+$4	04-19 17:10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 12?	2	$14	11	11	+0	Yes	+$8	06-13 20:27
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	2	$13	8	8	+0	No	+$4	06-02 18:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 19:30 UTC	8	$13	32	27	+5	Down	+$3	04-16 19:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 19:30 UTC	9	$13	15	7	+8	Up	+$4	04-20 19:35
lal bar esp 2026 04 11 total 3pt5	3	$12	8	8	+0	Over	+$4	04-11 19:58
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	7	$12	101	75	+26	Down	+$3	05-18 19:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 21:40 UTC	4	$12	15	0	+15	Up	-$2	04-15 21:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 19:50:31	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xeebdfb…
10-28 13:32:38	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xdd6d17…
10-28 13:32:38	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xccb558…
10-28 13:32:37	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xda917b…
10-28 13:32:37	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x854d8a…
10-28 13:32:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x764991…
10-28 13:32:37	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 6°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x4b3a05…
10-28 13:32:35	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1981de…
10-27 19:49:17	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x76550a…
10-27 19:49:11	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 9°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x44d670…
10-27 19:49:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3ec7a9…
10-27 13:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb9b62c…
10-27 13:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x25c2dd…
10-26 19:52:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xfda88d…
10-26 19:52:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x86f997…
10-26 19:52:05	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x668dd6…
10-26 19:52:00	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x78b5d8…
10-26 13:33:56	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb98ac2…
10-26 13:33:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x70eb47…
10-25 19:53:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x180c5f…
10-25 13:38:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xdee82f…
10-25 13:38:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa64952…
10-24 19:58:35	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x2e071c…
10-24 19:58:30	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x274724…
10-24 13:44:59	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc0ff23…
10-24 13:44:54	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 6°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1ff483…
10-23 14:03:20	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd6c3d8…
10-23 14:03:20	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x781c55…
10-22 19:28:17	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 23?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xca77a8…
10-22 19:28:15	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x658f4f…
10-22 19:28:06	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7db8eb…
10-22 13:14:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x514fd2…
10-21 19:38:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x455191…
10-21 19:38:51	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xde1a81…
10-21 13:24:30	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x11b135…
10-21 13:24:30	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x0a4971…
10-21 13:24:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x6b8e65…
10-20 19:53:59	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x69725a…
10-20 19:53:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5e5c8b…
10-20 13:40:36	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xede792…
10-20 13:40:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x208a3d…
10-20 13:40:32	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x237607…
10-20 13:40:26	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 15°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5eb06b…
10-20 13:40:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x972239…
10-20 13:40:20	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7fc703…
10-20 13:40:20	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x268978…
10-19 19:10:03	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd8fc15…
10-19 14:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x89a366…
10-19 14:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf5adea…
10-19 14:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on October 20?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc48993…
10-19 13:59:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x779da5…
10-18 19:29:23	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 19?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7cf4d0…
10-18 19:29:17	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 19?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa0a839…
10-18 19:29:12	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf5e9da…
10-18 13:17:32	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf6a70d…
10-18 13:17:26	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd69c38…
10-18 13:17:21	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x52f7fd…
10-18 13:17:15	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xabc56d…
10-18 13:17:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3c47cc…
10-17 19:48:53	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x08b5d3…
10-17 13:37:21	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 18?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe6cc2f…
10-16 19:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 17?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa5bb50…
10-16 19:04:02	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x83ed41…
10-16 13:54:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa9f919…
10-16 13:54:01	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x78f139…
10-15 13:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x0de704…
10-15 13:08:55	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x95185c…
10-15 13:08:55	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x821de8…
10-15 13:08:55	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 16?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x444886…
10-14 19:39:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x2bcccd…
10-14 13:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf53bb8…
10-14 13:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x23629a…
10-13 19:58:01	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x2f5826…
10-13 19:58:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x010ad3…
10-13 13:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7fce76…
10-12 19:14:00	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5e9958…
10-12 14:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xdc71fa…
10-12 14:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xaffe44…
10-12 14:11:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd27a8b…
10-11 13:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7b413c…
10-11 13:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x8ed271…
10-10 19:40:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9323ab…
10-10 19:40:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2747a0…
10-10 19:40:10	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xff04ef…
10-10 19:40:04	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x3ddeb2…
10-10 13:25:22	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x722069…
10-10 13:25:16	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x9e9ccb…
10-10 13:25:16	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6e6c4e…
10-10 13:25:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x64d2e2…
10-10 13:25:16	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x504a3b…
10-10 13:25:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe5d94c…
10-09 21:54:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa4eb9d…
10-09 19:57:32	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 10?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x110918…
10-09 13:45:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd259e9…
10-09 13:45:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xac32ee…
10-09 13:45:10	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x39109c…
10-09 13:45:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe41c7b…
10-08 19:15:53	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 9?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4a6fbb…
10-08 13:05:02	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8c9cc3…
10-08 13:04:56	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf52880…