Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
55.6%
Resolved
3
Trades
8
lifetime
Volume
$48
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$34
5 positions
First seen
2026-08-14
last 08-14 10:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
58% 0% -$3
Other
42% 50% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? Yes +67 $10 11¢ $7 -$3 08-14 09:53
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +19 $5 40¢ $7 +$2 08-14 09:59
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +8 $5 94¢ $7 +$2 08-14 09:59
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +9 $5 78¢ $7 +$2 08-14 10:00
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 Yes +38 $5 14¢ $5 +$0 08-14 10:20