Cultivated-Sustainment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

95.9%

Resolved

Trades

237

lifetime

Volume

$588

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-22

last 06-11 19:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 100% +$2

Politics

22% — —

Other

18% 100% +$8

Sports

0% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes		+12	$4	8¢	$1	$-3	06-09 21:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1772356800	9	$46	45	37	+8	open	—	03-01 09:24
btc updown 5m 1780826700	2	$30	65	0	+65	open	—	06-07 10:08
btc updown 5m 1772357100	3	$29	18	18	+0	open	—	03-01 09:30
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	2	$28	23	23	+0	Yes	+$8	05-10 12:22
will israel strike lebanon on january 27 2026	3	$24	16	16	+0	open	—	01-27 10:09
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	5	$23	17	16	+0	open	—	02-28 20:51
btc updown 5m 1772314800	5	$22	23	20	+3	open	—	02-28 21:44
btc updown 5m 1775485200	6	$19	37	17	+19	open	—	04-06 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	5	$16	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 14:09
btc updown 5m 1772312100	3	$16	12	12	+0	open	—	02-28 20:59
btc updown 5m 1775484600	8	$15	65	14	+51	open	—	04-06 14:14
epl ars mun 2026 01 25 mun	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	01-25 18:28
sea juv nap 2026 01 25 juv	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	01-25 18:37
btc updown 5m 1772317500	6	$14	22	12	+10	open	—	02-28 22:29
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	02-28 06:26
btc updown 5m 1780827000	2	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	06-07 10:11
will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$11	118	0	+118	open	—	04-10 18:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$10	23	10	+13	open	—	04-19 11:53
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	4	$8	64	64	+0	open	—	01-31 22:19
btc updown 5m 1772317800	4	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	02-28 22:32
btc updown 5m 1772446500	5	$8	24	10	+14	open	—	03-02 10:19
btc updown 5m 1775482200	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	04-06 13:35
btc updown 5m 1775483700	6	$7	13	5	+8	open	—	04-06 13:57
btc updown 5m 1772271600	2	$7	10	9	+0	open	—	02-28 09:41
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	2	$6	11	11	+0	open	—	04-11 21:07
btc updown 5m 1772314200	5	$6	8	4	+5	open	—	02-28 21:34
btc updown 5m 1772355900	4	$6	9	9	+0	open	—	03-01 09:09
btc updown 5m 1772312700	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	02-28 21:09
will israel strike lebanon on january 31 2026	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	01-31 12:22
btc updown 5m 1772313000	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	02-28 21:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 19:57:24	btc updown 5m 1781207700	Down	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xc203ff…
06-11 19:56:42	btc updown 5m 1781207700	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x5749e8…
06-09 22:06:36	btc updown 5m 1781042700	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xbf3e60…
06-09 22:06:18	btc updown 5m 1781042700	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x238eff…
06-09 22:05:52	btc updown 5m 1781042700	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x43c0b5…
06-09 22:05:22	btc updown 5m 1781042700	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xbc03a8…
06-09 22:03:42	btc updown 5m 1781042400	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc3d755…
06-09 22:01:43	btc updown 5m 1781042400	Down	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x4240f5…
06-09 22:01:21	btc updown 5m 1781042400	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xcb2ecc…
06-09 22:00:54	btc updown 5m 1781042400	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2f99e5…
06-09 21:59:04	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x8c2189…
06-07 10:11:28	btc updown 5m 1780827000	Up	SELL	9	72¢	$7	0x702d4d…
06-07 10:10:12	btc updown 5m 1780827000	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc5f900…
06-07 10:08:58	btc updown 5m 1780826700	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x3dd27b…
06-07 10:05:24	btc updown 5m 1780826700	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xfd640c…
05-19 06:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x1f8947…
05-14 18:51:50	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xef7069…
05-10 12:23:54	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x86e84c…
05-10 12:22:41	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	23	77¢	$18	0xb0c0db…
05-09 14:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	7	76¢	$6	0x853485…
05-09 14:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x997b82…
05-09 14:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x360ad3…
05-09 14:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x4bbb5f…
05-09 14:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x2e2519…
05-08 21:47:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x5ecfa3…
04-19 11:56:46	will trump post epstein this week on truth social	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x04e246…
04-19 11:53:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xfa49ad…
04-11 21:07:07	Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	Yes	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0x11898e…
04-10 18:36:31	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x49b962…
04-08 14:54:15	will 60 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	Yes	SELL	3	84¢	$3	0xa039bd…
04-07 23:48:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x58b563…
04-07 15:24:47	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 bay1	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x4c2ac2…
04-06 18:33:51	will trump say construction during the white house easter egg roll	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0xcb14a5…
04-06 18:31:55	will trump say nuclear dust during monday news conference	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x0d2a0b…
04-06 18:21:15	will trump say moon during monday news conference	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xba2b86…
04-06 17:53:19	will trump say nuclear dust during monday news conference	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x354113…
04-06 17:25:17	will trumps remarks not air 888	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xaf53e4…
04-06 17:13:11	will trumps remarks not air 219	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xcadad1…
04-06 17:08:21	will trump say construction during the white house easter egg roll	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xabda45…
04-06 17:02:25	btc updown 5m 1775494800	Up	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x9eca49…
04-06 17:01:23	btc updown 5m 1775494800	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x3a6122…
04-06 17:00:51	btc updown 5m 1775494800	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x9f6b1b…
04-06 16:55:51	btc updown 5m 1775494500	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x54908f…
04-06 16:38:53	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x393e44…
04-06 16:37:25	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xa8e1e3…
04-06 14:39:19	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb2c2d1…
04-06 14:37:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb479ec…
04-06 14:36:51	bitcoin above 74k on april 7	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xce480a…
04-06 14:32:03	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 liv1	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3d83db…
04-06 14:24:11	btc updown 5m 1775485200	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x390754…
04-06 14:23:05	btc updown 5m 1775485200	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x947fe5…
04-06 14:22:37	btc updown 5m 1775485200	Down	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x47032f…
04-06 14:21:15	btc updown 5m 1775485200	Up	SELL	7	76¢	$6	0xac11c6…
04-06 14:20:33	btc updown 5m 1775485200	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa669d1…
04-06 14:20:23	btc updown 5m 1775485200	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x62acd9…
04-06 14:14:41	btc updown 5m 1775484600	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xfdfed4…
04-06 14:14:13	btc updown 5m 1775484600	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x70431e…
04-06 14:13:49	btc updown 5m 1775484600	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6adb3e…
04-06 14:13:39	btc updown 5m 1775484600	Down	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x0dc735…
04-06 14:12:23	btc updown 5m 1775484600	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x2d1477…
04-06 14:11:43	btc updown 5m 1775484600	Up	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0x2f1628…
04-06 14:11:19	btc updown 5m 1775484600	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x97ef67…
04-06 14:10:57	btc updown 5m 1775484600	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x3b85e7…
04-06 13:57:55	btc updown 5m 1775483700	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc64769…
04-06 13:57:21	btc updown 5m 1775483700	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x96f6c7…
04-06 13:56:31	btc updown 5m 1775483700	Up	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x7c841f…
04-06 13:56:07	btc updown 5m 1775483700	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc9ce01…
04-06 13:55:37	btc updown 5m 1775483700	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x0274ad…
04-06 13:55:15	btc updown 5m 1775483700	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xae3b63…
04-06 13:49:47	btc updown 5m 1775483100	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd00a0d…
04-06 13:49:31	btc updown 5m 1775483100	Up	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x2a7a5a…
04-06 13:48:59	btc updown 5m 1775483100	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xcdf909…
04-06 13:44:07	btc updown 5m 1775482800	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x85823a…
04-06 13:43:29	btc updown 5m 1775482800	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb81042…
04-06 13:43:03	btc updown 5m 1775482800	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x8e81aa…
04-06 13:37:59	btc updown 5m 1775482500	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x38d3e6…
04-06 13:36:27	btc updown 5m 1775482500	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x366eb0…
04-06 13:35:15	btc updown 5m 1775482200	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x533815…
04-06 13:34:57	btc updown 5m 1775482200	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe945cb…
04-06 11:10:31	will 60 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xe9b13e…
04-06 11:08:35	Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xda19fe…
04-04 15:04:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xae5e33…
04-01 13:30:21	will trump say bibi or netanyahu during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x0a56ce…
04-01 13:29:27	will trump say fake news during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x9ea4fc…
04-01 13:27:13	will trump say proxy or hezbollah during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xe60770…
03-29 13:45:14	will trump say khamenei this week march 29	Yes	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0x986885…
03-02 12:17:59	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x5a6592…
03-02 12:09:59	will trump say bitcoin in march	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x2b1029…
03-02 11:43:03	will iran strike eight countries in march	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe74214…
03-02 11:41:51	will iran strike four countries in march	Yes	BUY	281	1¢	$4	0xdae4fe…
03-02 11:41:21	will iran strike four countries in march	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x71247d…
03-02 10:29:49	btc updown 5m 1772447100	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x22e608…
03-02 10:19:37	btc updown 5m 1772446500	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x635247…
03-02 10:19:25	btc updown 5m 1772446500	Down	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0xe662f3…
03-02 10:16:37	btc updown 5m 1772446500	Up	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x709534…
03-02 10:15:47	btc updown 5m 1772446500	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x67cc8e…
03-02 10:15:23	btc updown 5m 1772446500	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x592af6…
03-02 10:10:57	btc updown 5m 1772446200	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0xf796bb…
03-02 10:10:31	btc updown 5m 1772446200	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9e7e16…
03-01 11:43:19	btc updown 5m 1772365200	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xd2df3c…