Realized P&L
-$546
Unrealized P&L
-$268
Hit rate
71.7%
Resolved
393
Trades
918
lifetime
Volume
$12.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$401
11 positions
First seen
2026-03-03
last 10-23 13:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 83 days
Categories
Politics
48% 58% +$6
Other
24% 54% -$127
Crypto
14% 38% -$234
Sports
14% 49% -$186
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 Yes +992 $364 14¢ $139 -$225 08-14 10:43
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? Yes +706 $80 12¢ $85 +$5 08-02 18:24
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +103 $30 40¢ $41 +$11 10-19 06:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +176 $30 20¢ $34 +$4 07-09 12:44
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31 Yes +320 $62 11¢ $34 -$28 07-20 00:07
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? No +70 $49 46¢ $33 -$16 08-09 14:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +110 $30 22¢ $25 -$5 10-22 05:57
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +22 -$8 32¢ $7 +$15 10-23 13:31
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +110 $17 2¢ $2 -$15 06-30 08:02
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +218 $10 0¢ $1 -$9 10-19 17:52
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +400 $6 0¢ $1 -$5 07-26 18:41