Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$272,078

Trades

12,495

Unique wallets

1,607

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-03-12

First seen

2026-03-12

last 03-12 22:41

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

(anon) +31,054 Last-Fantasy +29,135 Tremendous-Closet +20,202 (anon) +15,001 (anon) +8,722 (anon) +6,816 (anon) +5,938 (anon) +5,381

NO holders

Imaginative-Cribbage +33,333 (anon) +30,647 (anon) +17,227 Slight-Variant +11,869 (anon) +4,399 (anon) +4,310 (anon) +4,118 (anon) +3,516

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: +3.4¢ (top1%: 89% YES on $216.1K vs crowd: 85% YES on $256.7K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	151	$194.1K	$27.2K	+$166.9K
🐬 Dolphin	339	$12.6K	$4.9K	+$7.7K
🐟 Fish	562	$8.6K	$4.2K	+$4.4K
🦐 Shrimp	555	$3.3K	$1.9K	+$1.4K

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	160	$191.2K	$24.8K	+$166.4K
🏆 Top 5%	130	$2.7K	$1.1K	+$1.6K
✅ Top 10%	79	$991	$238	+$754
Median	102	$803	$217	+$586
Below median	507	$2.5K	$1.8K	+$681
⚠️ Bottom 10%	289	$4.5K	$2.4K	+$2.1K
🔻 Bottom 5%	236	$10.5K	$4.3K	+$6.2K
💀 Bottom 1%	104	$5.4K	$3.3K	+$2.1K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
Imaginative-Cribbage 0xda86…994a	Down	+33,333	$300	$300	1	03-12 22:40
(anonymous) 0x6c93…8d51	Up	+31,054	$30,435	$30,435	1	03-12 22:40
(anonymous) 0x0006…8c63	Down	+30,647	$1,921	$1,921	30	03-12 22:40
Last-Fantasy 0xaeb5…adcc	Up	+29,135	$25,938	$25,938	25	03-12 22:40
Tremendous-Closet 0x751a…9ea1	Up	+20,202	$20,009	$20,009	40	03-12 22:40
(anonymous) 0x1d30…7683	Down	+17,227	$134	$432	4	03-12 22:40
(anonymous) 0x3361…4363	Up	+15,001	$14,866	$14,866	1	03-12 22:40
Slight-Variant 0xf32a…7c70	Down	+11,869	$300	$300	3	03-12 22:40
(anonymous) 0x20ad…9c9a	Up	+8,722	$8,643	$8,643	1	03-12 22:40
(anonymous) 0xc35b…66b6	Up	+6,816	$6,755	$6,755	1	03-12 22:40
(anonymous) 0x6d6a…5128	Up	+5,938	$5,885	$5,885	1	03-12 22:40
(anonymous) 0xf27b…5680	Up	+5,381	$5,333	$5,333	79	03-12 22:40
(anonymous) 0xb8ea…5281	Up	+5,341	$5,293	$5,293	1	03-12 22:40
(anonymous) 0x1d77…468a	Up	+5,260	$5,213	$5,213	2	03-12 22:40
(anonymous) 0xf015…a1e2	Up	+4,957	$4,912	$4,912	1	03-12 22:40
(anonymous) 0x95be…1a4e	Up	+4,712	$4,670	$4,670	1	03-12 22:40
(anonymous) 0x44b2…03ac	Down	+4,399	$40	$40	1	03-12 22:40
(anonymous) 0x2d8b…260a	Down	+4,310	$1,454	$1,454	219	03-12 22:39
(anonymous) 0x1e3c…8a62	Up	+4,262	$2,728	$2,728	214	03-12 22:39
(anonymous) 0x2d8b…260a	Up	+4,219	$2,746	$2,746	177	03-12 22:39
(anonymous) 0x1e3c…8a62	Down	+4,118	$1,427	$1,427	256	03-12 22:38
(anonymous) 0x54e6…411c	Up	+3,624	$3,592	$3,592	42	03-12 22:41
(anonymous) 0xb396…d874	Up	+3,537	$3,505	$3,505	7	03-12 22:40
(anonymous) 0x3963…2b0b	Down	+3,516	$1,038	$1,038	146	03-12 22:39
(anonymous) 0xaaa4…5ef2	Up	+3,428	$3,397	$3,397	13	03-12 22:40
(anonymous) 0x3efa…7ad1	Up	+3,261	$3,232	$3,232	14	03-12 22:40
Pitiful-Means 0x624e…e95c	Down	+3,201	$29	$29	1	03-12 22:40
(anonymous) 0xa130…ed0d	Down	+3,135	$1,151	$1,151	105	03-12 22:40
(anonymous) 0x3963…2b0b	Up	+3,113	$2,139	$2,139	130	03-12 22:39
(anonymous) 0x0ebc…2247	Down	+3,057	$40	$40	7	03-12 22:40
(anonymous) 0xfe96…d908	Up	+2,940	$2,914	$2,914	2	03-12 22:40
(anonymous) 0x2eb5…f4d4	Down	+2,931	$802	$802	97	03-12 22:39
(anonymous) 0x52f8…61b9	Down	+2,833	$1,072	$1,072	121	03-12 22:40
(anonymous) 0x8a18…bc9d	Down	+2,822	$1,094	$1,094	134	03-12 22:40
(anonymous) 0x3ae5…ead2	Down	+2,797	$500	$500	1	03-12 22:38
(anonymous) 0xd045…a1ff	Down	+2,725	$842	$842	187	03-12 22:39
(anonymous) 0x88d8…8b8e	Down	+2,639	$24	$24	1	03-12 22:40
(anonymous) 0xd045…a1ff	Up	+2,636	$1,800	$1,800	151	03-12 22:39
(anonymous) 0x2eb5…f4d4	Up	+2,529	$1,730	$1,730	86	03-12 22:39
(anonymous) 0xa130…ed0d	Up	+2,493	$1,626	$1,626	82	03-12 22:40
(anonymous) 0x8a18…bc9d	Up	+2,406	$1,657	$1,657	145	03-12 22:40
(anonymous) 0xb4d2…9ee1	Up	+2,364	$1,476	$1,476	11	03-12 22:39
(anonymous) 0xb4d2…9ee1	Down	+2,364	$788	$788	11	03-12 22:39
(anonymous) 0x6127…c977	Down	+2,277	$861	$861	114	03-12 22:39
(anonymous) 0x52f8…61b9	Up	+2,212	$1,507	$1,507	105	03-12 22:40
(anonymous) 0x90a8…9328	Down	+2,111	$19	$19	1	03-12 22:40
(anonymous) 0x84bd…e30e	Up	+2,095	$2,038	$2,038	1	03-12 22:39
(anonymous) 0x2418…c0a1	Down	+1,951	$18	$18	4	03-12 22:40
(anonymous) 0xd111…af32	Down	+1,895	$727	$727	94	03-12 22:40
(anonymous) 0x29bc…683c	Up	+1,874	$1,178	$1,319	54	03-12 22:39
(anonymous) 0x6127…c977	Up	+1,813	$1,200	$1,200	111	03-12 22:39
(anonymous) 0x640a…14fa	Down	+1,756	$16	$16	8	03-12 22:40
(anonymous) 0xd111…af32	Up	+1,712	$1,119	$1,119	77	03-12 22:40
(anonymous) 0x8648…bd2f	Down	+1,658	$510	$510	124	03-12 22:39
(anonymous) 0x29bc…683c	Down	+1,552	$593	$2,007	150	03-12 22:39
(anonymous) 0x5bde…cbb7	Down	+1,530	$504	$504	83	03-12 22:40
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	Down	+1,478	$447	$447	151	03-12 22:39
(anonymous) 0xa45f…2429	Down	+1,410	$499	$499	142	03-12 22:39
(anonymous) 0x996e…571b	Down	+1,209	$11	$11	1	03-12 22:41
(anonymous) 0xf696…1b7d	Down	+1,190	$518	$518	50	03-12 22:40