Grim-Obligation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$247

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.7%

Resolved

Trades

826

lifetime

Volume

$17.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 06-04 05:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 44% $-247

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774543800	1	$937	1,028	0	+1,028	open	—	03-26 16:54
btc updown 5m 1774543500	1	$887	938	0	+938	open	—	03-26 16:49
btc updown 5m 1774542300	1	$666	895	0	+895	open	—	03-26 16:26
btc updown 5m 1774541700	1	$646	666	0	+666	open	—	03-26 16:19
btc updown 5m 1774539900	1	$627	646	0	+646	open	—	03-26 15:47
btc updown 5m 1774538100	1	$507	631	0	+631	open	—	03-26 15:18
btc updown 5m 1774536900	1	$401	511	0	+511	open	—	03-26 14:56
btc updown 5m 1773980100	5	$388	266	159	+107	open	—	03-20 04:19
btc updown 5m 1773821100	2	$310	192	191	+1	open	—	03-18 08:07
btc updown 5m 1774370400	2	$298	153	153	+0	open	—	03-24 16:44
btc updown 5m 1774503300	2	$295	348	345	+3	open	—	03-26 05:39
btc updown 5m 1774369500	2	$270	149	149	+0	open	—	03-24 16:29
btc updown 5m 1775579700	4	$268	161	158	+3	open	—	04-07 16:39
btc updown 5m 1774367700	2	$254	132	132	+0	open	—	03-24 15:58
btc updown 5m 1773872700	2	$251	147	146	+1	open	—	03-18 22:28
btc updown 5m 1773641700	2	$249	165	162	+3	open	—	03-16 06:19
btc updown 5m 1774366800	2	$248	148	147	+1	open	—	03-24 15:43
btc updown 5m 1775579400	4	$242	143	141	+2	open	—	04-07 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	3	$239	283	283	+0	open	—	05-30 13:19
btc updown 5m 1775580000	6	$217	214	209	+6	open	—	04-07 16:44
btc updown 5m 1774679400	1	$214	232	0	+232	open	—	03-28 06:34
btc updown 5m 1773981000	2	$212	111	111	+0	open	—	03-20 04:33
btc updown 5m 1773875400	3	$212	137	121	+16	open	—	03-18 23:13
btc updown 5m 1774232400	2	$210	123	122	+1	open	—	03-23 02:24
btc updown 5m 1774184700	2	$202	191	189	+2	open	—	03-22 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$200	235	0	+235	open	—	05-30 13:07
btc updown 5m 1775738700	3	$199	201	122	+80	open	—	04-09 12:47
btc updown 5m 1774677600	2	$195	120	118	+1	open	—	03-28 06:04
btc updown 5m 1774504800	2	$186	119	117	+1	open	—	03-26 06:01
btc updown 5m 1774678800	1	$171	216	0	+216	open	—	03-28 06:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 05:06:07	btc updown 5m 1780549500	Down	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x32f457…
06-04 05:05:43	btc updown 5m 1780549500	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x9edc3d…
06-04 04:58:39	btc updown 5m 1780548900	Up	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0xcb0189…
06-04 04:55:16	btc updown 5m 1780548900	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xa31d69…
06-04 04:54:57	btc updown 5m 1780548600	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xb9acdb…
06-04 04:53:48	btc updown 5m 1780548600	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xbbb065…
06-04 04:50:09	btc updown 5m 1780548300	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x536ec4…
06-04 04:45:21	btc updown 5m 1780548300	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2a7010…
06-04 04:42:12	btc updown 5m 1780548000	Down	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x2b33b9…
06-04 04:28:19	btc updown 5m 1780547100	Down	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x2b2a43…
06-04 04:23:21	btc updown 5m 1780546800	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xdc687d…
06-04 04:08:54	btc updown 5m 1780545900	Up	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x81a819…
06-04 04:05:58	btc updown 5m 1780545900	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xb50255…
06-04 03:48:52	btc updown 5m 1780544700	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x55d684…
06-03 14:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x9a8be5…
06-03 13:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x2ad296…
06-03 13:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x52aa47…
06-03 11:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x552600…
06-03 11:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$1	0x306dcb…
06-03 11:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc71fbe…
06-03 11:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6e3937…
06-03 11:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x883325…
06-03 11:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x14b261…
06-03 11:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x2d0bbc…
06-03 11:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x01c334…
06-03 11:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x5bb22f…
06-03 11:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x6c1aee…
06-03 10:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1b2bb8…
06-03 10:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xa4b03f…
06-03 07:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x502411…
06-03 07:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3a0f89…
06-03 07:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa9ad22…
06-03 07:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x031ede…
06-03 07:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xa10340…
06-03 07:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x453799…
06-03 06:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7c7a4c…
06-03 06:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x3baee1…
06-03 06:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdd1c1b…
06-03 06:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x5ae092…
06-03 06:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa6792b…
06-03 06:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x097aea…
06-03 06:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc310b3…
06-03 06:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc391ce…
06-03 06:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcb1a5e…
06-03 06:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x09724b…
06-03 06:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xff2350…
06-03 06:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8d32ed…
06-03 06:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x607563…
06-03 06:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xdcb549…
06-03 06:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x84505e…
06-03 05:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x213f50…
06-03 05:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xdc8093…
06-03 05:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x86e09a…
06-03 05:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x914835…
06-03 05:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd1e0ab…
06-03 05:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2d6d63…
06-02 13:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x5bc9db…
06-02 13:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xef76c2…
06-02 13:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x57e90c…
06-02 13:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x8151fe…
06-02 13:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3f10c0…
06-02 13:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x0474ec…
06-02 12:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xee1a0e…
06-02 12:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x9f3098…
06-02 12:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xab610a…
06-02 12:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x482ed4…
06-02 12:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xd891bb…
06-02 12:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xd8d98b…
06-02 12:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xec29dd…
06-02 12:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x83e32e…
06-02 12:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x14a9ad…
06-01 09:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x999792…
06-01 09:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x40cde9…
06-01 09:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xaffb2d…
06-01 04:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x724bdf…
06-01 04:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x215929…
06-01 04:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xa2e4de…
05-30 22:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xb248bc…
05-30 22:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x412ad6…
05-30 22:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xe79fda…
05-30 22:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x77bdb0…
05-30 22:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xb347ce…
05-30 22:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xa0cbcc…
05-30 17:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	82	97¢	$80	0xa64bbf…
05-30 14:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	64	79¢	$50	0x5ee82d…
05-30 14:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	57	40¢	$23	0xe12124…
05-30 14:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	57	67¢	$38	0x4d8028…
05-30 14:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	140	71¢	$100	0x5a016f…
05-30 13:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	168	60¢	$100	0xc6866f…
05-30 13:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	98	92¢	$90	0xf1e7b5…
05-30 13:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xa02c62…
05-30 13:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0xc299ff…
05-30 13:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	129	6¢	$8	0x67d1c7…
05-30 13:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	154	20¢	$31	0x528051…
05-30 13:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	283	71¢	$200	0x969c4e…
05-30 13:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0xfeae68…
05-30 13:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0xb86434…
05-30 13:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	15	91¢	$13	0xc8679c…
05-30 13:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x9d5baa…
05-30 12:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	242	62¢	$150	0xa8d34f…