Grim-Obligation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$344

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.0%

Resolved

810

Trades

1,199

lifetime

Volume

$27.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 10-20 14:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 59% +$344

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 03:30 UTC	3	$1.1K	917	496	+421	Up	+$82	08-30 03:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 16:50 UTC	1	$937	1,028	0	+1,028	Up	+$91	03-26 16:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 16:45 UTC	1	$887	938	0	+938	Down	+$51	03-26 16:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 12:05 UTC	2	$795	584	584	+0	Down	-$5	07-03 12:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 16:25 UTC	1	$666	895	0	+895	Down	+$229	03-26 16:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 16:15 UTC	1	$646	666	0	+666	Up	+$20	03-26 16:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 15:45 UTC	1	$627	646	0	+646	Up	+$19	03-26 15:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 15:15 UTC	1	$507	631	0	+631	Down	+$123	03-26 15:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 14:55 UTC	1	$401	511	0	+511	Up	+$110	03-26 14:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 03:35 UTC	1	$400	446	0	+446	Down	+$46	08-30 03:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 06:30 UTC	1	$390	656	0	+656	Up	-$390	08-30 06:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 04:15 UTC	5	$388	266	159	+107	Down	+$14	03-20 04:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 04:55 UTC	3	$330	176	176	+0	Down	+$19	07-04 05:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 08:05 UTC	2	$310	192	191	+1	Down	+$11	03-18 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$300	309	0	+309	Down	+$9	08-02 13:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 12:00 UTC	1	$298	301	0	+301	Up	+$3	08-02 12:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 16:40 UTC	2	$298	153	153	+0	Up	+$6	03-24 16:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 05:35 UTC	2	$295	348	345	+3	Down	-$219	03-26 05:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 16:25 UTC	2	$270	149	149	+0	Down	+$2	03-24 16:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 16:35 UTC	4	$268	161	158	+3	Down	+$20	04-07 16:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 15:55 UTC	2	$254	132	132	+0	Down	+$7	03-24 15:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 22:25 UTC	2	$251	147	146	+1	Down	+$12	03-18 22:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 06:15 UTC	2	$249	165	162	+3	Up	+$72	03-16 06:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 10:40 UTC	2	$248	159	159	+0	Up	+$54	07-08 10:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 15:40 UTC	2	$248	148	147	+1	Down	+$21	03-24 15:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 16:30 UTC	4	$242	143	141	+2	Down	+$17	04-07 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	3	$239	283	283	+0	Up	-$161	05-30 13:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 16:40 UTC	6	$217	214	209	+6	Down	-$55	04-07 16:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 06:30 UTC	1	$214	232	0	+232	Down	+$18	03-28 06:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 04:30 UTC	2	$212	111	111	+0	Down	+$7	03-20 04:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 14:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xb02b51…
10-20 14:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x592fb1…
10-20 13:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xf9d8a6…
10-20 13:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x40ad4c…
10-20 13:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x21ab24…
10-20 13:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xabc64d…
10-20 13:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xda129f…
10-20 11:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x46537e…
10-20 10:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3ab2e6…
10-20 10:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xed9e42…
10-20 10:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xdb42ec…
10-20 10:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x84c3f7…
10-20 10:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x121063…
10-11 15:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xdb3df0…
10-11 14:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xd3736c…
10-11 14:31:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 14:30 UTC	Up	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x016a47…
10-11 14:30:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x7aa580…
10-11 14:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x178ede…
10-11 14:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x02a491…
10-02 15:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x87c96b…
10-02 15:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x8581f6…
10-02 15:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x1d487c…
10-02 15:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x42fb74…
10-02 15:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x5b3aef…
10-02 15:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x223ec8…
10-02 15:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0x2cd293…
10-02 15:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x6520a8…
10-02 08:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x133169…
10-02 08:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7b0dcc…
10-02 08:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf5da4c…
10-02 08:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x2f96fb…
10-02 07:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xde6896…
09-30 18:16:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc01e89…
09-30 18:14:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4cbe6f…
09-30 17:29:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:25 UTC	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x46649a…
09-30 17:26:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x037df8…
09-30 14:45:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x281d9c…
09-30 14:41:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xdd25f1…
09-30 14:25:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xa53d42…
09-30 14:22:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xc8ae93…
09-30 14:10:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x30782d…
09-30 14:06:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xf9fb32…
09-30 14:04:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:00 UTC	Down	SELL	75	99¢	$75	0xf37966…
09-30 14:03:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	75	93¢	$70	0x9f39bf…
09-30 13:37:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0x3b2e1b…
09-29 16:46:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x7cce0d…
09-29 16:40:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0x81be3d…
09-29 16:36:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0xa73244…
09-29 16:28:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:25 UTC	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x2ba47d…
09-29 16:25:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x609cf8…
09-29 16:20:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x252ab2…
09-29 16:16:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x3ad08f…
09-29 15:11:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	79	49¢	$39	0x345e82…
09-29 15:01:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xcdbaaf…
09-29 14:52:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	63	63¢	$40	0x4384aa…
09-29 14:31:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	82	49¢	$40	0x6d5893…
09-29 14:22:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	44	85¢	$37	0x307d1f…
09-29 06:14:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 06:10 UTC	Up	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x15346d…
09-29 06:11:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0x394d27…
09-28 16:27:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xd34859…
09-28 16:20:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xda0f6a…
09-28 16:10:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x9c417f…
09-28 16:05:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xb93e32…
09-28 16:02:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0xe53a36…
09-28 15:56:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0x6fb831…
09-28 15:50:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc3ed3b…
09-28 15:45:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x03bca2…
09-28 15:41:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xdeee5d…
09-28 15:35:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xaba309…
09-26 13:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x26cd7e…
09-26 10:36:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x3f77b8…
09-26 10:14:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x695ea4…
09-26 10:10:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0xd062b3…
09-26 10:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x6cfff0…
09-26 10:01:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xf4c110…
09-26 09:56:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xd5ce09…
09-26 09:53:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x23020a…
09-26 09:45:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x97f072…
09-26 09:39:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 09:35 UTC	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x478d10…
09-26 09:38:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x421e1b…
09-26 09:36:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x6b72c7…
09-26 09:33:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x485f4d…
09-26 09:09:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 09:05 UTC	Down	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x477668…
09-26 09:09:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x0a56e3…
09-26 09:01:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	49	71¢	$35	0x41b085…
09-26 08:55:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x4ddcfc…
09-26 08:52:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x43b8ef…
09-26 04:53:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb25f65…
09-26 04:49:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb2c73d…
09-26 04:46:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x03c4d2…
09-25 13:36:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x3adc02…
09-25 13:31:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	51	78¢	$40	0xfcc1dc…
09-25 13:25:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xcc8aeb…
09-25 13:21:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 13:20 UTC	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x12672c…
09-24 14:15:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xeb42f1…
09-24 14:14:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x51f8cd…
09-23 12:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xeb7cfb…
09-23 12:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xc5163d…
09-23 05:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0xfccca1…
09-23 05:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xd8206d…