Beautiful-Plaintiff — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$988

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.7%

Resolved

Trades

31,176

lifetime

Volume

$291.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 08-12 17:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

55% — —

Other

30% — —

Politics

14% 67% +$988

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 78k on february 3	515	$5.6K	5,741	5,276	+465	open	—	02-03 17:00
bitcoin above 78k on february 1	1,138	$5.4K	5,152	6,361	-1,209	open	—	02-01 18:24
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	7	$3.0K	1,664	1,664	+0	open	—	08-01 21:46
bitcoin above 80k on february 2	474	$2.9K	2,989	3,315	-326	open	—	02-02 16:36
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	8	$2.8K	1,570	1,570	+0	No	+$169	05-06 19:40
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	22	$2.7K	2,541	2,541	+0	open	—	05-29 09:21
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 200 219	420	$2.7K	2,564	2,440	+124	open	—	03-18 09:50
bitcoin above 74k on february 6	471	$2.7K	2,892	1,864	+1,028	open	—	02-06 01:03
bitcoin above 78k on february 2	431	$2.5K	2,819	2,743	+76	open	—	02-02 16:27
bitcoin above 80k on february 3	225	$2.5K	2,706	2,101	+605	open	—	02-03 15:28
will the price of bitcoin be less than 78000 on february 2	298	$2.4K	2,605	2,388	+217	open	—	02-02 16:39
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	372	$2.4K	2,176	2,157	+19	open	—	03-17 07:53
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	38	$2.2K	3,456	3,456	+0	open	—	05-11 14:44
ethereum above 2400 on february 2	321	$2.2K	2,122	2,014	+108	open	—	02-02 16:44
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 260 279	231	$2.2K	2,603	2,507	+96	open	—	03-17 15:16
ethereum above 2400 on february 1	498	$2.1K	2,373	2,634	-261	open	—	02-01 16:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	12	$2.1K	1,425	1,312	+113	open	—	05-29 21:45
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 115 139	223	$2.1K	1,915	1,895	+20	open	—	03-14 15:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	34	$2.1K	2,073	2,068	+5	open	—	05-07 16:49
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on february 2	267	$2.0K	1,956	2,062	-105	open	—	02-02 16:29
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 380 399	152	$2.0K	2,072	1,979	+93	open	—	03-13 15:37
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	127	$1.9K	2,044	1,851	+192	open	—	03-10 14:21
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	218	$1.8K	1,690	1,670	+20	open	—	03-17 13:52
bitcoin up or down february 10 4am et	79	$1.8K	1,915	1,528	+388	open	—	02-10 10:00
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 300 319	116	$1.7K	1,893	1,626	+267	open	—	03-10 07:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	16	$1.7K	1,429	1,429	+0	open	—	08-01 15:45
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 220 239	267	$1.6K	1,516	1,475	+40	open	—	03-18 09:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	20	$1.5K	1,167	1,080	+87	open	—	06-30 10:39
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	213	$1.5K	1,342	1,288	+53	open	—	03-19 13:53
bitcoin above 84k on january 30	322	$1.5K	1,859	1,751	+108	open	—	01-30 16:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 17:43:25	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	92	78¢	$72	0x118e95…
08-12 17:42:15	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	58	78¢	$45	0x4729fa…
08-11 15:53:01	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	No	SELL	213	90¢	$192	0x2db878…
08-11 06:01:12	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	No	BUY	153	90¢	$137	0xc2e1f7…
08-10 18:21:52	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x82f63e…
08-10 14:53:34	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	No	BUY	339	90¢	$305	0xca835c…
08-09 23:49:25	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	374	78¢	$291	0x1c80d0…
08-06 08:17:30	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	60	22¢	$13	0x3d2fe7…
08-05 06:52:00	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	Yes	SELL	500	31¢	$155	0x67bdf2…
08-02 17:29:29	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	233	77¢	$179	0xcf21f5…
08-02 01:36:12	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	Yes	BUY	442	35¢	$155	0x2bbd0b…
08-01 23:53:48	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	Yes	BUY	58	35¢	$20	0xd5465e…
08-01 21:46:47	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	1,331	91¢	$1,211	0x87e77f…
08-01 15:48:12	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	139	76¢	$106	0xf42d3b…
08-01 15:45:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	256	100¢	$256	0x56c107…
08-01 13:39:41	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	SELL	141	87¢	$123	0x9a3257…
07-31 09:51:50	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	No	BUY	500	85¢	$425	0x6ca335…
07-29 12:18:48	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	549	91¢	$500	0xeb7b41…
07-29 08:33:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	1,000	9¢	$90	0x1b98c4…
07-26 19:43:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	678	15¢	$102	0xdd1fe1…
07-26 19:37:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	322	15¢	$48	0xa3d967…
07-26 17:41:39	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	435	92¢	$400	0xd91aaf…
07-26 17:40:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	455	41¢	$186	0xb52e4e…
07-26 12:39:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	343	83¢	$285	0x0b81c8…
07-26 08:52:51	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	333	90¢	$300	0xc13b74…
07-26 08:51:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	SELL	382	58¢	$222	0x9cefde…
07-26 08:41:21	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	85	87¢	$74	0x2a28ef…
07-26 08:41:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	300	77¢	$231	0xaf2332…
07-26 08:39:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	357	84¢	$300	0x9e11aa…
07-20 14:33:34	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	330	91¢	$300	0x2c24f5…
07-20 14:33:15	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	321	99¢	$319	0x28ba8e…
07-20 09:36:37	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	60	58¢	$35	0xc4f16f…
07-17 00:23:26	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	No	SELL	267	10¢	$27	0xf5dfda…
07-16 22:53:53	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	No	BUY	267	37¢	$100	0xb69c8a…
07-15 16:40:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xdf4929…
07-15 16:40:16	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	113	99¢	$112	0x03b4d4…
07-15 16:32:53	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x509ad5…
07-15 16:32:29	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x754d71…
07-15 16:32:13	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	153	99¢	$151	0xf04848…
07-15 16:31:32	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	138	65¢	$90	0x63d061…
07-14 14:26:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	455	44¢	$200	0x039911…
07-10 04:37:49	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x1d79e6…
07-09 18:52:23	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 14 2026	No	SELL	97	48¢	$47	0xaa9e72…
07-09 18:49:19	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 14 2026	No	SELL	23	48¢	$11	0xb66f1b…
07-09 18:47:58	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 14 2026	No	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x66cff9…
07-09 12:44:07	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	No	SELL	344	70¢	$241	0x8ba151…
07-09 12:39:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	300	83¢	$249	0x5fcb74…
07-09 12:19:01	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x563199…
07-09 12:17:52	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	No	SELL	56	71¢	$40	0xc8eb29…
07-09 12:16:02	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xf74a36…
07-09 12:14:17	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	417	66¢	$275	0x082693…
07-09 01:59:14	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	No	BUY	116	72¢	$84	0x83ab50…
07-08 19:18:25	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	No	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0x7d1245…
07-08 19:18:25	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x01c6fe…
07-08 19:17:08	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x9fea70…
07-08 19:12:50	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	No	BUY	161	72¢	$116	0x7b3176…
07-08 09:29:11	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	SELL	82	75¢	$62	0x298b98…
07-08 09:28:41	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	SELL	85	80¢	$68	0xa29cbb…
07-08 09:28:40	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	SELL	63	80¢	$50	0x9c8174…
07-07 20:19:26	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 14 2026	No	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xf22d2e…
07-07 19:13:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	140	28¢	$39	0x7f77a2…
07-07 19:05:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	35	28¢	$10	0x03ae1e…
07-07 19:04:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	25	28¢	$7	0xb40113…
07-07 15:03:26	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 14 2026	No	BUY	73	68¢	$50	0xfee814…
07-07 15:03:25	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 14 2026	No	BUY	72	66¢	$48	0x3631b8…
07-07 08:36:52	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	BUY	2	87¢	$1	0xdb1b8f…
07-07 06:34:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0x4d49c7…
07-06 21:26:23	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x7b5ba4…
07-06 18:07:55	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x6327f8…
07-06 13:20:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	193	67¢	$130	0x56bb14…
07-06 13:06:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x5a77a2…
07-06 12:25:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xfa316f…
07-06 12:17:43	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x80a6e8…
07-06 11:38:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x4aa6f7…
07-06 11:38:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0xdf9e4c…
07-06 11:10:29	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	BUY	68	87¢	$59	0xf98def…
07-06 11:02:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	430	70¢	$301	0x766d17…
07-04 11:36:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	256	79¢	$203	0x86de35…
07-04 08:39:38	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	BUY	130	88¢	$114	0x426883…
07-04 08:31:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	513	78¢	$400	0xdd6af8…
07-04 08:31:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	660	22¢	$145	0x70cedb…
07-04 07:58:20	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	120	90¢	$108	0x904e80…
06-30 10:39:41	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	97	93¢	$90	0x0eb0fc…
06-30 10:39:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	91	99¢	$90	0xa9159c…
06-30 08:45:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	59	99¢	$59	0xbc2e41…
06-30 08:44:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	83	99¢	$83	0x43fdbe…
06-30 08:11:44	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10	No	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0xfbe04c…
06-30 08:11:10	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0x3ad685…
06-30 08:10:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10	No	BUY	78	36¢	$28	0xf1552a…
06-29 21:26:13	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	No	BUY	400	3¢	$12	0xa21611…
06-29 19:08:59	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	50	57¢	$28	0xbeab13…
06-29 19:08:56	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x74bbcf…
06-29 10:46:32	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xa1028d…
06-29 09:48:19	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0x122361…
06-29 09:48:05	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0xfdbbb5…
06-28 22:03:41	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x8887dc…
06-28 20:41:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	80	83¢	$66	0xa47e94…
06-28 20:40:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0xeb7e34…
06-28 13:18:58	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	326	57¢	$186	0x6a490d…
06-28 10:55:31	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	No	BUY	110	83¢	$91	0xa1cdb9…