Beautiful-Plaintiff — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$988

Unrealized P&L

+$107

Hit rate

78.7%

Resolved

Trades

31,099

lifetime

Volume

$281.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$1.30K

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 07-04 11:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

57% — —

Other

29% — —

Politics

13% 67% +$988

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+430	$371	80¢	$342	$-29	06-28 20:41
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	+350	$318	94¢	$327	+$9	06-27 14:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+256	$197	82¢	$212	+$14	07-04 11:36
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	-199	$-161	80¢	$-158	+$3	06-04 08:35
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	+174	$17	68¢	$117	+$100	06-28 13:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	+87	$47	100¢	$87	+$40	06-30 10:39
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	+245	$43	16¢	$40	$-2	06-08 22:18
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	+16	$11	78¢	$13	+$2	06-19 12:32
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	-32	$29	0¢	$-0	$-29	06-12 14:31
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	+0	$0	75¢	$0	$-0	06-05 05:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 78k on february 3	515	$5.6K	5,741	5,276	+465	open	—	02-03 17:00
bitcoin above 78k on february 1	1,138	$5.4K	5,152	6,361	-1,209	open	—	02-01 18:24
bitcoin above 80k on february 2	474	$2.9K	2,989	3,315	-326	open	—	02-02 16:36
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	8	$2.8K	1,570	1,570	+0	No	+$169	05-06 19:40
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	22	$2.7K	2,541	2,541	+0	open	—	05-29 09:21
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 200 219	420	$2.7K	2,564	2,440	+124	open	—	03-18 09:50
bitcoin above 74k on february 6	471	$2.7K	2,892	1,864	+1,028	open	—	02-06 01:03
bitcoin above 78k on february 2	431	$2.5K	2,819	2,743	+76	open	—	02-02 16:27
bitcoin above 80k on february 3	225	$2.5K	2,706	2,101	+605	open	—	02-03 15:28
will the price of bitcoin be less than 78000 on february 2	298	$2.4K	2,605	2,388	+217	open	—	02-02 16:39
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	372	$2.4K	2,176	2,157	+19	open	—	03-17 07:53
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	38	$2.2K	3,456	3,456	+0	open	—	05-11 14:44
ethereum above 2400 on february 2	321	$2.2K	2,122	2,014	+108	open	—	02-02 16:44
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 260 279	231	$2.2K	2,603	2,507	+96	open	—	03-17 15:16
ethereum above 2400 on february 1	498	$2.1K	2,373	2,634	-261	open	—	02-01 16:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	12	$2.1K	1,425	1,312	+113	open	—	05-29 21:45
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 115 139	223	$2.1K	1,915	1,895	+20	open	—	03-14 15:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	34	$2.1K	2,073	2,068	+5	open	—	05-07 16:49
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on february 2	267	$2.0K	1,956	2,062	-105	open	—	02-02 16:29
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 380 399	152	$2.0K	2,072	1,979	+93	open	—	03-13 15:37
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	127	$1.9K	2,044	1,851	+192	open	—	03-10 14:21
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	218	$1.8K	1,690	1,670	+20	open	—	03-17 13:52
bitcoin up or down february 10 4am et	79	$1.8K	1,915	1,528	+388	open	—	02-10 10:00
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 300 319	116	$1.7K	1,893	1,626	+267	open	—	03-10 07:12
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 220 239	267	$1.6K	1,516	1,475	+40	open	—	03-18 09:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	20	$1.5K	1,167	1,080	+87	open	—	06-30 10:39
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	213	$1.5K	1,342	1,288	+53	open	—	03-19 13:53
bitcoin above 84k on january 30	322	$1.5K	1,859	1,751	+108	open	—	01-30 16:38
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	15	$1.4K	1,314	1,314	+0	open	—	05-12 21:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	15	$1.4K	1,429	1,173	+256	open	—	07-04 11:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 11:36:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	256	79¢	$203	0x86de35…
07-04 08:39:38	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	BUY	130	88¢	$114	0x426883…
07-04 08:31:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	513	78¢	$400	0xdd6af8…
07-04 08:31:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	660	22¢	$145	0x70cedb…
07-04 07:58:20	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	120	90¢	$108	0x904e80…
06-30 10:39:41	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	97	93¢	$90	0x0eb0fc…
06-30 10:39:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	91	99¢	$90	0xa9159c…
06-30 08:45:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	59	99¢	$59	0xbc2e41…
06-30 08:44:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	83	99¢	$83	0x43fdbe…
06-30 08:11:44	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10	No	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0xfbe04c…
06-30 08:11:10	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0x3ad685…
06-30 08:10:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10	No	BUY	78	36¢	$28	0xf1552a…
06-29 21:26:13	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	No	BUY	400	3¢	$12	0xa21611…
06-29 19:08:59	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	50	57¢	$28	0xbeab13…
06-29 19:08:56	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x74bbcf…
06-29 10:46:32	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xa1028d…
06-29 09:48:19	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0x122361…
06-29 09:48:05	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0xfdbbb5…
06-28 22:03:41	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x8887dc…
06-28 20:41:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	80	83¢	$66	0xa47e94…
06-28 20:40:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0xeb7e34…
06-28 13:18:58	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	326	57¢	$186	0x6a490d…
06-28 10:55:31	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	No	BUY	110	83¢	$91	0xa1cdb9…
06-28 10:54:59	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xb543b7…
06-28 08:53:28	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x422113…
06-28 08:41:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x1f0dc7…
06-28 00:13:55	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xc96bbd…
06-28 00:13:26	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x735df2…
06-28 00:13:01	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	2	66¢	$2	0x4914f2…
06-28 00:12:46	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x74e753…
06-28 00:11:50	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x4b17e4…
06-27 22:53:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	26	67¢	$18	0xa7729e…
06-27 22:50:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	60	67¢	$40	0x2ba48d…
06-27 22:43:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	Yes	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x2b74df…
06-27 22:42:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	No	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x7457a6…
06-27 22:42:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x99e915…
06-27 22:41:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xbb60fd…
06-27 22:41:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	No	BUY	200	6¢	$11	0x784ae9…
06-27 22:40:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	Yes	BUY	200	95¢	$191	0x4e55f2…
06-27 22:39:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	SELL	132	94¢	$125	0x5f3600…
06-27 22:39:28	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x483a40…
06-27 22:38:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x4a3d72…
06-27 22:38:44	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	100	66¢	$66	0xa8a36e…
06-27 14:53:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0x8cd7a8…
06-27 14:13:38	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x155055…
06-27 12:30:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	45	81¢	$36	0xe526da…
06-27 07:49:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	250	95¢	$236	0xf663b7…
06-26 18:44:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	45	75¢	$34	0xfb2e08…
06-26 18:43:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0xe72aad…
06-26 15:22:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0xa45b03…
06-26 12:33:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	93	89¢	$83	0xe857bc…
06-26 12:32:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x89c1c7…
06-26 12:25:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	124	89¢	$111	0x07866d…
06-26 12:21:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x819a2f…
06-26 12:21:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	45	90¢	$40	0x7f0274…
06-26 12:21:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	96	90¢	$87	0x23b3c7…
06-26 11:59:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	SELL	0	26¢	$0	0x64012d…
06-26 11:42:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x10a133…
06-26 11:22:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x18d9a6…
06-26 07:35:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	70	59¢	$41	0x28edce…
06-26 07:28:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xae3ac4…
06-26 07:28:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x27cde4…
06-26 07:12:16	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	SELL	90	86¢	$77	0x868741…
06-26 07:10:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	SELL	100	26¢	$26	0xc3acb3…
06-26 07:06:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0xe55a79…
06-26 06:59:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x03bf45…
06-26 06:46:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	SELL	107	86¢	$93	0xd83acd…
06-26 06:39:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0xcfdb5b…
06-26 06:15:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x5e626c…
06-26 06:14:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	SELL	6	26¢	$1	0x5aa598…
06-26 06:14:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x7257f2…
06-26 01:14:16	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	SELL	38	26¢	$10	0xd4174c…
06-26 00:47:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	SELL	23	79¢	$18	0xf3a92a…
06-26 00:41:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	38	70¢	$27	0xe38249…
06-26 00:35:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x10696e…
06-26 00:25:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x07d4b9…
06-26 00:22:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	15	70¢	$10	0xf909f0…
06-26 00:19:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	13	70¢	$9	0x86b77e…
06-26 00:14:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	SELL	7	79¢	$6	0xac36b8…
06-25 12:59:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0xc302b3…
06-25 12:59:29	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	178	99¢	$176	0x4c3406…
06-25 12:48:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	60	64¢	$38	0xd1866e…
06-25 12:44:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xb4608d…
06-25 12:44:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xfc2820…
06-25 12:44:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0x651c26…
06-25 12:43:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	124	64¢	$80	0x6aa876…
06-25 12:23:58	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0x1f7f8b…
06-25 12:21:14	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	287	95¢	$273	0x51e7f2…
06-25 12:20:55	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	287	99¢	$284	0xc73802…
06-25 11:27:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0xe94e5c…
06-25 11:26:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0xcbafaf…
06-25 11:16:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x5c66a5…
06-25 11:16:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	BUY	200	93¢	$187	0x5aac3a…
06-25 10:30:10	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	300	95¢	$285	0x27be5f…
06-24 17:32:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0x38f2dc…
06-23 10:29:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xdb5c9e…
06-23 09:58:44	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	Yes	BUY	89	72¢	$64	0x57acf9…
06-23 09:51:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x8a9bff…
06-23 09:47:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x1a3a48…
06-23 09:41:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	Yes	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x26ed4d…