Realized P&L
+$5.70K
Unrealized P&L
-$476
Hit rate
91.1%
Resolved
5
Trades
338
lifetime
Volume
$87.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$258
Open exposure
$11.7K
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 07-17 16:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
79% 50% +$5,698
Other
20% 0% $-1
Crypto
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +6,940 $4,164 52¢ $3.6K $-590 07-17 16:26
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -1,944 $-1,883 96¢ $-1873 +$11 07-01 23:10
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -1,969 $-1,817 90¢ $-1762 +$55 07-05 20:16
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -2,000 $-1,500 78¢ $-1570 $-70 06-05 20:12
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1,600 $1,424 92¢ $1.5K +$40 07-03 16:01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -800 $-664 72¢ $-572 +$92 06-13 09:10
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -733 $-359 64¢ $-465 $-106 06-15 05:14
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +565 $370 82¢ $463 +$93 06-25 18:27