Realized P&L
+$5.70K
Unrealized P&L
-$121
Hit rate
91.1%
Resolved
5
Trades
328
lifetime
Volume
$78.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$240
Open exposure
$4.33K
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 07-01 16:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
86% 50% +$5,698
Other
13% 0% $-1
Crypto
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -2,000 $-1,500 76¢ $-1510 $-10 06-05 20:12
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -1,125 $-1,024 90¢ $-1018 +$6 06-15 13:19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -800 $-664 86¢ $-692 $-28 06-13 09:10
Kash Patel out by December 31? No -733 $-359 58¢ $-425 $-66 06-15 05:14
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +565 $370 70¢ $392 +$22 06-25 18:27
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? No -277 $-295 100¢ $-277 +$18 06-16 11:10
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes +1,476 $46 $16 $-30 06-07 18:09
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? Yes -600 $29 $-4 $-34 07-01 16:22