Lumpy-Sweatshop — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$119

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

123

lifetime

Volume

$3.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 08-01 13:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

82% 0% $-25

Other

18% 0% $-94

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	7	$1.2K	7,302	2,480	+4,822	open	—	02-28 05:36
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	3	$546	14,037	0	+14,037	open	—	02-27 22:29
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	2	$148	941	0	+941	open	—	02-27 22:31
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	3	$120	1,074	0	+1,074	open	—	04-21 12:47
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	1	$100	8,333	0	+8,333	open	—	02-26 20:54
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	5	$96	890	890	+0	No	$-94	05-03 12:16
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$80	500	0	+500	open	—	03-30 11:52
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	5	$68	1,061	224	+837	open	—	05-27 06:31
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	4	$63	519	221	+298	open	—	05-15 14:48
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	5	$45	134	128	+6	open	—	06-14 23:28
iran full airspace closure by august 15	1	$40	134	0	+134	open	—	07-31 23:35
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	5	$40	505	600	-95	open	—	06-11 20:28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	7	$39	154	144	+10	open	—	06-14 23:28
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	3	$33	113	0	+113	open	—	07-04 17:49
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$30	188	0	+188	open	—	03-07 20:56
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$30	231	0	+231	open	—	03-19 02:41
israel closes its airspace by august 15	1	$30	107	0	+107	open	—	08-01 00:01
will wti reach 100 in august 2026	1	$30	83	0	+83	open	—	08-01 13:50
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	1	$30	176	0	+176	open	—	04-18 17:13
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$30	648	0	+648	open	—	04-24 22:06
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	1	$30	85	0	+85	open	—	07-31 23:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$21	186	0	+186	open	—	06-29 08:10
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	5	$21	155	129	+26	open	—	06-15 07:03
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$20	338	338	+0	open	—	05-03 12:23
will the us invade iran by march 31	1	$20	223	0	+223	open	—	03-07 21:03
hormuz island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720014603393	1	$20	398	0	+398	open	—	07-31 23:37
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$20	288	0	+288	open	—	05-27 06:27
will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	3	$17	146	73	+73	open	—	06-11 20:35
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	2	$15	867	0	+867	open	—	05-15 14:37
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$15	458	0	+458	open	—	05-27 06:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 13:51:47	will wti reach 115 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x931d69…
08-01 13:51:06	will wti reach 110 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xbeb786…
08-01 13:50:50	will wti reach 105 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x7772c3…
08-01 13:50:39	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0xe9418d…
08-01 00:03:54	us charges hormuz fees by august 31 2026 20260713151243234	Yes	BUY	278	2¢	$5	0xf31a1f…
08-01 00:01:54	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0x1d53c6…
08-01 00:01:18	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x4537de…
07-31 23:45:09	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	208	5¢	$10	0xb1bf67…
07-31 23:41:02	farsi island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720015111490	Yes	BUY	104	5¢	$5	0x2e6888…
07-31 23:38:36	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	143	3¢	$5	0xabf821…
07-31 23:37:41	hormuz island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720014603393	Yes	BUY	398	5¢	$20	0x17d03e…
07-31 23:36:12	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	85	35¢	$30	0x26839c…
07-31 23:35:41	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	134	30¢	$40	0xab41df…
07-04 17:52:25	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x5d1927…
07-04 17:49:01	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	Yes	BUY	57	26¢	$15	0x02f844…
06-29 08:10:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x4cd7c0…
06-28 03:43:59	will crude oil cl hit high 85 by end of june from june 23	Yes	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xc99263…
06-28 03:43:44	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x35cd16…
06-21 15:04:50	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of june	Yes	BUY	235	2¢	$4	0x918c8b…
06-18 15:36:40	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	Yes	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0xf6c0c5…
06-15 07:03:30	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	78	3¢	$2	0xf927ee…
06-14 23:28:54	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	18	3¢	$1	0x6b3975…
06-14 23:28:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	31	1¢	$0	0xff5294…
06-14 23:28:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	31	1¢	$0	0x88e1e5…
06-14 13:18:49	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0x1e6945…
06-14 13:17:48	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x9a2583…
06-14 13:16:45	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	61¢	$7	0xf09e46…
06-11 20:46:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x1b892f…
06-11 20:37:33	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x9a01c7…
06-11 20:35:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	31	18¢	$6	0xc6d520…
06-11 20:35:13	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	73	4¢	$3	0x221ba2…
06-11 20:31:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	41	7¢	$3	0x98223a…
06-11 20:31:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	72	11¢	$8	0xac0496…
06-11 20:28:43	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	344	4¢	$13	0xce0643…
06-10 22:20:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbec319…
06-10 22:18:40	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	124	4¢	$5	0x662302…
06-10 22:18:22	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	37	13¢	$5	0xa1905b…
06-10 22:16:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xdbad97…
06-10 22:13:15	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0xfd68e7…
06-09 07:00:03	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	256	3¢	$7	0xbf7b4f…
06-09 06:56:33	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	125	2¢	$2	0xaad3fb…
06-08 17:53:18	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	375	2¢	$7	0x41f40e…
06-08 17:52:09	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	38	19¢	$7	0x0894cd…
06-08 17:51:45	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	72	13¢	$10	0x5223f5…
06-08 09:19:45	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	76	26¢	$20	0x4702be…
06-08 09:19:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x024369…
06-08 04:19:24	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	64	16¢	$10	0xc4360c…
06-08 04:17:45	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xcee5e9…
06-08 04:13:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xc4e1b9…
06-08 04:10:37	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	102	10¢	$10	0xf84c6c…
06-08 04:05:37	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	132	4¢	$5	0xda2640…
06-08 03:54:39	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0x43e393…
06-08 03:41:19	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x46cd9e…
06-08 03:39:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xab5407…
06-08 03:29:45	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xc5f273…
06-08 03:29:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xaddd63…
05-31 15:03:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x5a56eb…
05-27 06:31:07	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$5	0xd22ab2…
05-27 06:27:54	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$5	0x69cb01…
05-27 06:27:45	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	3¢	$5	0x4d421a…
05-16 17:40:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xdefa63…
05-15 14:48:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	271	4¢	$10	0x9d1051…
05-15 14:47:19	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	484	4¢	$20	0x9ed473…
05-15 14:37:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	667	1¢	$10	0xb94a35…
05-14 11:39:56	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x1b64f5…
05-14 11:36:17	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	11¢	$15	0x42907c…
05-14 08:43:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0x0738c2…
05-14 08:43:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x375050…
05-14 08:41:12	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x7feeae…
05-06 07:11:08	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	224	6¢	$13	0x6c3898…
05-06 07:10:36	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	221	8¢	$18	0x662286…
05-04 18:44:08	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	186	13¢	$25	0x802f99…
05-03 12:23:06	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	338	0¢	$0	0x7aae10…
05-03 12:22:28	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	167	0¢	$0	0x6ea925…
05-03 12:16:54	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	890	0¢	$1	0x66d01d…
04-30 18:35:24	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x3ebf35…
04-25 11:49:34	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	475	2¢	$10	0xf92b4f…
04-25 11:48:22	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 1?	Yes	BUY	238	2¢	$5	0x8c9566…
04-25 11:48:14	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 3?	Yes	BUY	378	1¢	$5	0x4b3a7d…
04-25 11:48:10	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 4?	Yes	BUY	327	2¢	$5	0x0ad9ac…
04-25 11:48:04	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 5?	Yes	BUY	490	1¢	$5	0x0b7472…
04-25 11:47:58	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 6?	Yes	BUY	418	1¢	$5	0xfb8ce1…
04-25 11:47:50	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?	Yes	BUY	389	1¢	$5	0xb69007…
04-25 11:47:44	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?	Yes	BUY	149	3¢	$5	0xe818a2…
04-25 11:47:38	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9?	Yes	BUY	198	3¢	$5	0x6184af…
04-25 11:20:06	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 2?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x0ef8b8…
04-25 11:19:56	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 30?	Yes	BUY	209	2¢	$5	0x5dceba…
04-25 11:19:50	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 29?	Yes	BUY	367	3¢	$10	0x371120…
04-25 11:19:38	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 28?	Yes	BUY	170	6¢	$10	0x732785…
04-24 22:06:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xe3ba7e…
04-24 22:06:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	303	3¢	$10	0xa7a5d6…
04-24 08:44:32	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	338	6¢	$20	0xa41889…
04-23 23:27:30	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x4b5e74…
04-22 22:19:12	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0xaa452b…
04-22 18:25:20	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	345	6¢	$20	0x0c2860…
04-22 10:25:16	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x8a392c…
04-22 10:22:42	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x3dc8db…
04-21 12:47:30	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	542	4¢	$20	0x8f0396…
04-18 17:13:32	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	176	17¢	$30	0xf33857…
04-14 14:46:09	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0x2d0927…