Sleepy-Equality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.91K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.6%

Resolved

Trades

14,852

lifetime

Volume

$2.44M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$165

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 16:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

79% 100% +$2,840

Other

21% 17% $-928

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 226 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	524	$186.8K	207,305	208,105	-800	open	—	02-27 10:20
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	962	$128.2K	236,488	201,022	+35,467	open	—	03-25 03:36
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	226	$96.7K	104,278	104,826	-548	open	—	04-04 03:32
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	232	$79.7K	113,227	113,234	-7	open	—	02-28 20:07
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	115	$78.5K	76,999	72,950	+4,050	open	—	02-19 17:28
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	375	$72.5K	120,520	109,816	+10,704	open	—	02-01 01:53
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	290	$62.0K	61,060	57,877	+3,184	open	—	03-25 15:32
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	349	$60.5K	63,427	64,579	-1,153	open	—	04-16 15:05
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	238	$54.8K	55,481	56,957	-1,476	open	—	04-07 17:43
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	320	$54.6K	50,824	46,136	+4,688	open	—	01-15 13:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	311	$52.0K	129,906	123,588	+6,318	open	—	06-25 01:18
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	223	$44.7K	44,152	43,212	+940	open	—	04-15 20:53
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	88	$42.0K	44,895	42,049	+2,847	open	—	04-07 23:13
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	151	$41.4K	57,882	57,775	+107	open	—	04-06 03:46
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	68	$41.2K	45,958	47,796	-1,838	open	—	03-26 14:57
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	96	$37.8K	41,959	41,959	+0	open	—	02-26 21:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	93	$36.5K	26,493	26,493	+0	open	—	04-22 01:46
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	81	$31.3K	29,059	29,059	+0	open	—	02-28 06:41
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	116	$28.7K	60,953	58,560	+2,393	open	—	02-28 19:52
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	88	$27.7K	22,078	22,078	+0	open	—	03-26 16:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	145	$26.2K	30,012	23,937	+6,075	open	—	05-29 21:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	65	$25.9K	32,565	31,971	+594	open	—	07-11 14:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	144	$25.6K	51,702	56,487	-4,785	open	—	07-26 08:00
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	123	$23.2K	39,352	44,436	-5,084	open	—	03-05 17:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	64	$22.9K	20,893	20,893	+0	open	—	05-23 21:55
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	129	$22.4K	24,431	21,431	+3,000	open	—	02-28 07:11
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	81	$22.4K	16,049	13,467	+2,582	open	—	02-04 20:34
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	69	$21.6K	22,436	23,418	-982	open	—	03-31 11:00
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	68	$21.6K	20,133	19,633	+500	open	—	03-25 16:14
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	72	$20.0K	23,670	23,670	+0	open	—	04-19 22:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 16:17:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	No	SELL	142	28¢	$40	0xdfa678…
08-09 06:52:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	No	BUY	142	26¢	$37	0x3f3aca…
08-08 10:23:45	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	545	10¢	$54	0x0646b0…
08-04 23:35:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	SELL	1,407	29¢	$408	0x0c31e2…
08-04 23:30:20	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	880	29¢	$255	0x5bfe3b…
08-04 23:22:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	42	29¢	$12	0x515b46…
08-04 23:21:23	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xa6071d…
08-04 23:16:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xf4e23f…
08-04 23:14:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	1,279	23¢	$294	0x65c7f4…
08-04 23:14:23	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	43	23¢	$10	0x7b3fb2…
08-04 22:55:05	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	1,000	30¢	$300	0x531561…
08-04 22:54:59	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	427	29¢	$124	0x72f907…
08-04 22:54:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	1,322	23¢	$304	0x052e00…
08-04 22:54:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	932	29¢	$268	0x29e5e0…
08-03 08:18:26	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	SELL	986	26¢	$256	0x2c840a…
08-03 02:45:20	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	507	55¢	$279	0x4cf575…
08-03 02:43:30	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0xec2e59…
08-03 02:43:30	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x03f982…
08-03 02:40:24	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	103	55¢	$56	0x1b1351…
08-03 02:26:48	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	103	55¢	$56	0x021f1c…
08-03 02:20:26	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	26	55¢	$14	0x863f79…
08-03 02:17:45	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x26c657…
08-03 02:15:02	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x335444…
08-03 01:53:38	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	300	55¢	$165	0x4107ef…
08-03 01:51:03	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	190	55¢	$104	0xc3ef3d…
08-02 23:31:20	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	408	51¢	$208	0x546fb8…
08-02 23:21:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	2,027	23¢	$466	0x9acd15…
08-02 23:12:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	76	23¢	$17	0x50bce8…
08-02 23:09:02	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	SELL	71	28¢	$20	0x97bf35…
08-02 23:01:59	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0xacd79b…
08-02 22:58:57	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	SELL	18	28¢	$5	0x6810b8…
08-02 22:57:47	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	SELL	17	28¢	$5	0x6a63bb…
08-02 22:57:18	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	SELL	21	28¢	$6	0x714589…
08-02 22:53:11	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	SELL	16	28¢	$5	0xc441ba…
08-02 22:53:02	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	SELL	217	28¢	$61	0x1a9bfd…
08-02 22:50:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	273	23¢	$63	0x479492…
08-02 22:50:41	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	204	51¢	$104	0x4fea55…
08-02 22:49:59	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x0dde66…
08-02 22:49:47	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	SELL	67	28¢	$19	0x1cdd7d…
08-02 22:49:32	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	SELL	75	28¢	$21	0x293287…
08-02 22:40:09	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x942ba8…
08-02 22:40:08	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	443	51¢	$226	0x1e14cc…
08-02 22:39:35	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	146	51¢	$74	0x4e6f69…
08-02 22:36:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	835	13¢	$108	0xf2fc8d…
08-02 22:36:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	46	23¢	$11	0x454d96…
08-02 22:29:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	2,000	24¢	$480	0x1de568…
08-02 22:19:29	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0xc6fb55…
08-02 22:03:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	835	13¢	$108	0xfa9163…
08-02 22:00:32	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	123	21¢	$26	0xfb4a35…
08-02 22:00:32	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	500	16¢	$80	0xbc1604…
08-02 22:00:26	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	500	21¢	$105	0x65bf4c…
08-02 22:00:23	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	BUY	377	21¢	$79	0xb930e2…
08-02 21:49:33	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	24	10¢	$2	0x43ce02…
08-02 21:49:33	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	1,153	10¢	$115	0x437810…
08-02 21:48:51	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	53¢	$10	0x8097b1…
08-02 21:48:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	421	24¢	$101	0x1af742…
08-02 20:56:08	will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$6	0xaeeb84…
08-02 19:30:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	993	2¢	$21	0x3690e4…
08-02 17:49:41	will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	No	BUY	2,000	1¢	$14	0x5da708…
08-02 17:48:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x16955a…
08-02 17:37:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x517edd…
08-02 16:19:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	1,000	3¢	$27	0x9ebcfc…
08-02 15:33:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	152	3¢	$4	0x6a1c0c…
08-02 14:46:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x91e1c4…
08-02 14:32:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x46cc30…
08-02 14:22:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	500	3¢	$14	0x5969be…
08-02 14:22:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x7b8b8c…
08-02 14:20:06	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	177	10¢	$18	0xc0a309…
08-02 14:18:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	361	3¢	$10	0x599944…
08-02 14:17:14	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	1,000	11¢	$110	0x1d224b…
08-02 09:46:03	will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	No	BUY	2,000	1¢	$24	0x7bea9a…
08-02 09:39:38	will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$12	0x95bfe6…
08-02 09:27:57	will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$12	0x44d038…
08-01 21:47:35	will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	No	BUY	79	8¢	$7	0x051b7b…
08-01 21:47:32	will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	No	BUY	238	9¢	$20	0x0f2000…
08-01 21:47:30	will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	No	BUY	183	9¢	$16	0xed06af…
08-01 21:45:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0xaaa4b4…
08-01 21:45:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xb9eade…
08-01 21:45:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x22c96c…
08-01 21:45:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x0efa41…
08-01 21:45:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0xd53a1a…
08-01 21:45:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0x8ba0b7…
08-01 21:45:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x8f23a9…
08-01 21:45:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0x0ce857…
08-01 21:45:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	27	40¢	$11	0x0a7869…
08-01 21:45:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	136	40¢	$54	0xf8a8e6…
08-01 21:31:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	190	47¢	$89	0x5f1c9f…
08-01 17:40:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	114	54¢	$62	0xb967fe…
08-01 17:32:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	35	54¢	$19	0x8e435a…
08-01 17:25:32	will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	No	BUY	1,000	6¢	$65	0x86506b…
08-01 17:10:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	51	54¢	$28	0x846256…
08-01 17:00:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	SELL	485	64¢	$310	0xb36f98…
08-01 16:59:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xcee008…
08-01 16:57:59	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	SELL	175	61¢	$107	0x94137b…
08-01 16:56:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	125	40¢	$50	0xd5a707…
08-01 16:56:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xfcfc68…
08-01 16:55:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	SELL	110	61¢	$67	0x270300…
08-01 16:55:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	SELL	13	64¢	$9	0x136fc1…
08-01 16:51:45	will wti dip to 85 in august 2026	No	SELL	2,256	10¢	$228	0x4e636e…
08-01 16:51:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	500	65¢	$325	0xc557e3…