Realized P&L (90d)
-$446
Unrealized P&L
+$3.14K
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (90d)
2
Trades (90d)
20
20 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$15.1K
$15.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$755
Open exposure
$15.4K
10 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-14 14:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
82% 0% $-446
Politics
18%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No +7,500 $4,650 92¢ $6.9K +$2,288 05-07 15:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? No -3,210 $-2,658 84¢ $-2680 $-23 05-11 02:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +3,975 $1,514 66¢ $2.6K +$1,090 05-07 21:59
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? No +3,097 $1,920 62¢ $1.9K +$15 05-05 22:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? No -857 $-200 68¢ $-587 $-387 05-07 15:21
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? Yes +1,008 $353 38¢ $378 +$25 05-11 00:44
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? Yes -3,000 $-330 $-165 +$165 05-10 19:24
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? Yes -399 $-80 29¢ $-116 $-36 05-11 00:45
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026? Yes +100 $28 33¢ $33 +$5 05-14 12:37
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31? Yes -8 $-1 15¢ $-1 +$0 05-14 14:51