Realized P&L
-$8
Unrealized P&L
+$414
Hit rate
77.2%
Resolved
5
Trades
2,622
lifetime
Volume
$208.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$79
Open exposure
$4.14K
14 positions
First seen
2026-03-07
last 07-01 17:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
78% 100% +$41
Other
20% 50% $-50
Crypto
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 139 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,700 $1,484 86¢ $1.5K $-14 06-29 02:54
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,000 $912 90¢ $905 $-7 07-01 17:16
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +540 $454 88¢ $472 +$18 07-01 17:16
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +400 $336 84¢ $338 +$2 06-17 02:22
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +264 $227 92¢ $241 +$14 06-22 14:59
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +200 $180 94¢ $187 +$7 06-18 03:01
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +300 $159 60¢ $178 +$20 07-01 09:14
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,000 $-460 18¢ $-175 +$285 05-28 11:25
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No -100 $-58 70¢ $-69 $-11 05-31 03:09
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +60 $26 82¢ $49 +$23 06-27 03:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +138 $98 30¢ $41 $-57 06-19 21:10
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +12 $10 83¢ $10 +$0 06-29 05:25
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -5 $-4 90¢ $-4 $-0 06-11 01:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -400 $-136 $-1 +$135 05-28 11:58