Opulent-Citron — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.2%

Resolved

Trades

3,573

lifetime

Volume

$266.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$75

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 08-12 12:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

71% 100% +$41

Other

25% 50% $-50

Sports

2% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 139 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	91	$9.6K	17,778	23,417	-5,639	open	—	06-16 12:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	113	$9.5K	32,757	24,100	+8,657	open	—	05-31 02:46
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	36	$6.4K	3,900	3,150	+750	open	—	08-10 03:20
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	23	$5.9K	4,068	4,068	+0	open	—	04-07 23:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	27	$5.3K	4,060	2,460	+1,600	open	—	08-09 18:15
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	4	$4.5K	2,754	2,754	+0	open	—	03-17 09:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	69	$4.3K	13,820	14,289	-469	open	—	05-26 14:57
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	17	$4.2K	2,552	2,552	+0	open	—	05-01 21:15
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	127	$4.2K	5,304	5,304	+0	open	—	07-31 19:31
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	55	$3.9K	17,410	12,510	+4,900	open	—	06-03 21:56
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	38	$3.9K	3,320	3,420	-100	open	—	05-31 20:08
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	28	$3.9K	2,150	2,712	-563	open	—	06-17 23:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	29	$3.9K	2,524	3,394	-870	open	—	06-17 15:36
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	26	$3.8K	4,000	4,242	-242	open	—	05-28 18:52
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	65	$3.8K	2,488	2,488	+0	open	—	07-06 15:18
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	42	$3.6K	4,530	4,018	+512	open	—	05-01 03:43
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	51	$3.6K	3,300	3,300	+0	open	—	07-07 03:25
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	14	$3.6K	2,317	2,317	+0	open	—	03-26 14:33
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	78	$2.9K	4,342	2,932	+1,410	open	—	06-23 03:40
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	22	$2.8K	2,310	4,020	-1,710	open	—	06-07 16:25
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	48	$2.7K	2,260	1,472	+788	open	—	08-11 06:56
will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	61	$2.6K	5,360	3,360	+2,000	open	—	08-04 14:19
will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	26	$2.5K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	08-02 02:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	102	$2.4K	23,388	22,815	+573	open	—	05-22 22:55
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	33	$2.4K	1,490	1,490	+0	open	—	07-14 09:37
Iran leadership change by April 30?	13	$2.3K	2,211	1,400	+811	open	—	04-23 15:34
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	5	$2.3K	1,293	1,040	+253	open	—	03-31 15:46
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	10	$2.3K	1,442	1,442	+0	open	—	04-09 19:48
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	13	$2.2K	4,911	3,990	+921	open	—	04-07 14:10
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	11	$2.2K	1,750	600	+1,150	open	—	04-08 17:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 12:43:37	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x9c3980…
08-12 12:31:19	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0xa8e5aa…
08-12 05:34:16	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0xd0c5d2…
08-12 04:36:55	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x767ce3…
08-12 04:27:49	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x3c8fbb…
08-12 04:21:24	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x98d6e6…
08-12 04:11:09	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0xd24496…
08-12 04:03:31	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	25	30¢	$8	0xe923ef…
08-12 03:54:19	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	54	30¢	$16	0x422a74…
08-12 03:52:13	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x03f5dc…
08-12 03:39:21	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	150	60¢	$90	0xc77f06…
08-12 03:33:21	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	142	60¢	$85	0x8e51ed…
08-12 03:05:34	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xa88053…
08-12 02:40:54	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x5f6c70…
08-12 02:36:21	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x10f6ca…
08-12 02:31:09	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xe72cfa…
08-12 02:19:46	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xae8cb1…
08-12 02:17:42	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	85	66¢	$56	0xbced15…
08-12 02:14:18	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x12831f…
08-12 02:12:13	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x87a076…
08-12 02:06:49	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	85	63¢	$54	0xbc5bdc…
08-12 02:03:34	will russia target kyiv by august 10 2026 20260809090428975	No	SELL	400	88¢	$352	0x5b4f1f…
08-12 01:55:30	will russia target kyiv by august 10 2026 20260809090428975	No	BUY	51	81¢	$41	0xcc76c4…
08-12 01:55:15	will russia target kyiv by august 10 2026 20260809090428975	No	BUY	49	81¢	$40	0xbd033b…
08-12 01:54:25	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x551707…
08-12 01:49:21	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	63	67¢	$42	0xbad71f…
08-12 01:39:10	will russia target kyiv by august 10 2026 20260809090428975	No	SELL	54	94¢	$51	0xb75685…
08-12 01:39:10	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	48	64¢	$31	0x6e053d…
08-12 01:38:48	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0xc3e370…
08-12 01:20:58	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x6f9f8b…
08-12 01:09:04	will russia target kyiv by august 10 2026 20260809090428975	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xc5569d…
08-12 01:06:43	will russia target kyiv by august 10 2026 20260809090428975	No	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0x4a3e27…
08-12 01:06:18	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x101f4e…
08-12 01:03:12	will russia target kyiv by august 10 2026 20260809090428975	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x38fbd3…
08-12 01:00:58	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x0b2e1e…
08-12 01:00:42	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x7072cd…
08-12 00:59:58	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5d0e01…
08-12 00:44:19	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xd0c662…
08-12 00:43:13	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0x156d08…
08-12 00:40:48	will russia target kyiv by august 10 2026 20260809090428975	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x1775e0…
08-12 00:39:49	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	85	64¢	$54	0xa09055…
08-12 00:39:09	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0xa80723…
08-12 00:38:51	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xa21b89…
08-12 00:36:46	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x686b3d…
08-12 00:34:33	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0x960961…
08-12 00:31:21	will russia target kyiv by august 10 2026 20260809090428975	No	SELL	119	94¢	$112	0x979821…
08-12 00:30:58	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x81d5d2…
08-12 00:19:18	will russia target kyiv by august 10 2026 20260809090428975	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x027dba…
08-12 00:19:16	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xe00c6d…
08-12 00:18:42	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x617e10…
08-12 00:17:42	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x27a1d5…
08-12 00:16:37	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x57afc9…
08-11 23:47:49	will russia target kyiv by august 10 2026 20260809090428975	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x8ff46d…
08-11 23:38:22	will russia target kyiv by august 10 2026 20260809090428975	No	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0x148065…
08-11 23:35:28	will russia target kyiv by august 10 2026 20260809090428975	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x8d4caf…
08-11 18:48:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	120	81¢	$97	0x286cf5…
08-11 15:47:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xd78f4b…
08-11 15:35:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0xa92731…
08-11 12:03:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xa1dff5…
08-11 06:56:13	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	80	70¢	$56	0xf7e593…
08-11 05:18:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	200	9¢	$18	0xa433a6…
08-10 21:11:00	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	40	73¢	$29	0xf5d847…
08-10 20:04:49	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	0	74¢	$0	0x3c919e…
08-10 20:04:40	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	75	74¢	$56	0x41a2d3…
08-10 19:53:01	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0xbff61a…
08-10 19:29:39	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0x8bcea6…
08-10 19:08:54	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	74	76¢	$56	0xeb2e57…
08-10 18:41:58	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xa055bf…
08-10 18:11:48	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0xdae7c7…
08-10 15:49:58	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x7a4ccd…
08-10 14:12:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	76	53¢	$40	0xec96b0…
08-10 14:12:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	12	53¢	$6	0xca23cd…
08-10 14:11:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	18	53¢	$10	0x61f7ef…
08-10 14:11:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	28	53¢	$15	0x1f61b7…
08-10 14:11:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	100	53¢	$53	0x721fad…
08-10 14:11:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	50	53¢	$27	0x263200…
08-10 14:11:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	16	53¢	$9	0xcb8361…
08-10 13:57:39	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	26	79¢	$21	0x90339a…
08-10 13:45:51	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	24	79¢	$19	0xe1b00e…
08-10 11:40:31	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x79b60f…
08-10 10:19:48	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	36	80¢	$29	0x603687…
08-10 10:05:37	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0x173a52…
08-10 09:31:51	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	60	80¢	$48	0x730b06…
08-10 09:22:52	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	17	80¢	$14	0xf85968…
08-10 03:20:40	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x172066…
08-10 03:05:30	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0xa8e3d0…
08-10 02:49:03	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0xa12329…
08-10 02:46:30	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x85818d…
08-10 02:43:25	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x260e9f…
08-10 02:42:28	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x2eca81…
08-10 02:39:15	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0xc5f466…
08-10 02:32:52	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x197d9f…
08-10 02:31:37	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0xa04c39…
08-10 02:31:10	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x9a9026…
08-10 02:21:33	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x2a16f1…
08-10 02:19:25	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x509c16…
08-10 02:18:34	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x67808f…
08-10 02:17:57	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	211	93¢	$196	0xd44d0f…
08-10 01:48:00	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x36fa19…
08-10 01:47:51	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x7b96d6…