Humble-Chicken — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.8%

Resolved

Trades

2,196

lifetime

Volume

$16.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-12 18:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

58% 71% +$20

Other

37% 0% $-8

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will elon musks net worth be less than 640b on march 31	17	$210	158	158	+0	open	—	03-31 05:36
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	19	$188	255	255	+0	open	—	03-08 21:37
will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	7	$158	160	170	-10	open	—	03-20 15:14
us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	12	$153	175	150	+25	open	—	08-12 05:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	14	$151	200	0	+200	open	—	08-04 16:39
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	11	$144	80	80	+0	open	—	03-08 06:07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	11	$144	104	104	+0	open	—	04-29 06:51
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	10	$138	255	205	+50	open	—	08-11 07:42
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	9	$134	113	113	+0	open	—	07-17 07:47
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	10	$131	130	130	+0	open	—	06-14 21:17
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	6	$130	100	80	+20	open	—	08-10 12:52
us strikes iraq by february 28	6	$130	93	93	+0	open	—	03-01 06:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	8	$124	77	77	+0	open	—	04-24 14:05
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	10	$123	95	95	+0	open	—	05-29 19:21
will the us collect between 200b and 500b in revenue in 2025	8	$119	55	75	-20	open	—	02-28 16:35
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	11	$117	145	100	+45	open	—	08-12 10:49
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	6	$114	90	90	+0	open	—	08-12 17:57
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	10	$113	70	70	+0	No	+$11	04-30 15:44
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	6	$112	100	100	+0	open	—	06-18 19:37
will elon musks net worth be at least 700b on february 28	8	$112	58	78	-20	open	—	02-28 15:49
untitled market 1 20260803235754057	13	$111	135	135	+0	open	—	08-10 05:36
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	6	$109	60	60	+0	open	—	05-28 05:31
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	5	$108	55	100	-45	open	—	06-14 21:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	8	$108	80	80	+0	open	—	05-15 08:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	13	$105	60	60	+0	open	—	05-02 17:09
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	4	$104	63	63	+0	open	—	06-10 08:42
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	13	$100	90	90	+0	open	—	08-09 17:00
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	6	$98	153	107	+46	open	—	07-14 20:14
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	9	$96	100	100	+0	open	—	05-27 16:57
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	9	$96	72	52	+20	open	—	06-09 16:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 18:57:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xecade8…
08-12 18:35:07	iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x7c97d0…
08-12 17:57:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	25	30¢	$8	0x24679b…
08-12 15:39:27	will trump say border 15 times during remarks in new york 20260811183234679	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x5b8637…
08-12 15:05:21	iran oman hormuz agreement by september 30	Yes	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0x4d6eb7…
08-12 14:52:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	25	72¢	$18	0x82cedb…
08-12 14:31:15	will trump praise allah again by august 31 20260730192606732	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xec032c…
08-12 10:49:37	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x718ab9…
08-12 10:49:36	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xda7bd8…
08-12 10:29:10	will trump say police officer during remarks in new york 20260811183234685	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x142180…
08-12 09:23:03	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	30	40¢	$12	0xfe0ce2…
08-12 05:22:04	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0x7e7048…
08-12 05:21:51	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	SELL	40	26¢	$10	0x4bf94a…
08-11 16:57:24	nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xa7eb2c…
08-11 16:57:13	nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x65138f…
08-11 07:42:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0x830619…
08-11 00:38:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	25	69¢	$17	0x4e544c…
08-10 15:52:57	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x93d7ff…
08-10 15:20:15	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0x888bf4…
08-10 15:18:31	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x78e4a9…
08-10 12:53:22	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xd890d9…
08-10 12:52:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x143648…
08-10 11:00:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	0	76¢	$0	0x9c6900…
08-10 11:00:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	17	76¢	$13	0x3edd60…
08-10 11:00:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xdd41a5…
08-10 11:00:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xf8eca3…
08-10 10:47:03	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507	No	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x62a646…
08-10 10:38:46	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507	No	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x954ddb…
08-10 10:24:12	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507	No	BUY	23	36¢	$8	0x3d653f…
08-10 10:06:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x0dbf49…
08-10 10:05:33	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	Yes	SELL	30	35¢	$10	0x62c954…
08-10 05:58:21	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x07c2e3…
08-10 05:36:25	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	SELL	60	9¢	$6	0xc5b2cb…
08-10 05:35:24	will any uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201636	Yes	SELL	70	21¢	$15	0x92c2df…
08-10 05:32:28	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	Yes	SELL	80	3¢	$2	0xee27c6…
08-10 05:32:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	13¢	$5	0xbaf9a4…
08-10 05:28:00	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	SELL	40	27¢	$11	0x274fd3…
08-10 05:27:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	40	48¢	$19	0xa9ee1f…
08-10 01:23:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0xcdf729…
08-09 17:00:15	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	30	75¢	$22	0x937d5c…
08-09 06:22:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	39	27¢	$11	0x7c82bf…
08-08 19:45:37	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc4b462…
08-08 19:38:27	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf8f54e…
08-08 19:29:16	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	27	47¢	$13	0x11f2e5…
08-08 18:54:43	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x0136b1…
08-08 18:32:01	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x84c38e…
08-08 13:53:34	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x3c6738…
08-08 07:07:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0xc10693…
08-07 19:07:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0xada66a…
08-07 13:21:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xfd9667…
08-07 08:55:49	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x2a7549…
08-07 05:06:58	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 5 2026 20260722225036929	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xe4649d…
08-06 16:10:51	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0x46f3ae…
08-06 11:10:35	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 5 2026 20260722225036929	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x5735ea…
08-06 09:34:12	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	Yes	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0xf9c9b9…
08-06 08:29:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	39	65¢	$25	0xa5d279…
08-06 05:43:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x9e953e…
08-06 05:39:45	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	SELL	30	42¢	$13	0xee8677…
08-05 16:15:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	36¢	$14	0xc45792…
08-05 16:15:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x702027…
08-05 14:05:53	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	SELL	18	78¢	$14	0x6b0461…
08-05 10:32:05	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x3beaea…
08-05 08:20:47	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x92a3bc…
08-05 08:20:35	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x42b689…
08-05 08:20:35	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	1	64¢	$1	0x3481d1…
08-05 05:51:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x888091…
08-05 05:44:30	will gas hit 3pt90 low by august 31 20260728213741797	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x938858…
08-05 05:34:36	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x3cd0b1…
08-05 05:01:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	40	85¢	$34	0x8a8935…
08-05 03:29:41	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	SELL	22	79¢	$18	0x72532d…
08-05 02:07:56	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x1fcc04…
08-04 20:48:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xe8ca49…
08-04 16:39:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x7f3650…
08-04 14:58:47	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x48ef5f…
08-04 14:45:36	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	Yes	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x7a7ea3…
08-04 14:42:32	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	35	76¢	$27	0xe5fc70…
08-04 14:23:20	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	35	89¢	$31	0x306f90…
08-04 14:22:08	will any uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201636	Yes	BUY	25	33¢	$8	0x93d5ce…
08-04 14:14:11	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x399dd8…
08-04 14:09:29	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	45	38¢	$17	0x1e5603…
08-04 14:09:18	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	SELL	30	52¢	$16	0x7e5484…
08-04 13:49:32	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x23d14d…
08-04 13:27:45	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	35	65¢	$23	0x0e88aa…
08-04 06:40:05	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	4	70¢	$2	0xdbab01…
08-04 06:20:11	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	18	70¢	$13	0xedb418…
08-04 05:48:29	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xf978c0…
08-04 05:27:17	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0x7e55b4…
08-04 01:02:57	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xb5daa7…
08-03 15:07:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x6e85f1…
08-03 12:04:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x8e836f…
08-02 16:03:05	total internet blackout in iran by august 31 2026 20260720155238428	No	SELL	25	88¢	$22	0x8bc7d1…
08-02 13:26:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	100	22¢	$22	0x1beb61…
08-02 11:06:42	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	Yes	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0x220ba1…
08-02 10:47:45	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	Yes	BUY	47	7¢	$3	0xc664e8…
08-02 05:38:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0xfffb6d…
08-02 05:37:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x4ad455…
08-02 05:35:38	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xcce0a0…
08-02 02:11:51	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	25	75¢	$19	0x5bc304…
08-02 00:23:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	25	65¢	$16	0x9c179a…
08-01 23:51:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0xfe847f…