Realized P&L
+$12
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
72.8%
Resolved
8
Trades
2,031
lifetime
Volume
$14.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$208
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 21:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
57% 71% +$20
Other
38% 0% $-8
Crypto
2%
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
1%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +130 $98 70¢ $92 $-6 07-22 10:40
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -70 $-58 78¢ $-55 +$4 07-17 16:14
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +35 $22 86¢ $30 +$8 06-09 05:44
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +20 $4 80¢ $16 +$12 06-15 15:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +20 $17 50¢ $10 $-7 06-28 01:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +35 $10 16¢ $5 $-5 06-19 02:21