Realized P&L
+$12
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
72.8%
Resolved
8
Trades
1,883
lifetime
Volume
$12.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$140
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 21:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
55% 71% +$20
Other
40% 0% $-8
Crypto
3%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +35 $22 84¢ $29 +$7 06-09 05:44
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No -25 $-24 100¢ $-25 $-1 06-11 20:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +25 $20 86¢ $22 +$1 06-12 06:04
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +20 $4 82¢ $16 +$12 06-15 15:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +20 $17 82¢ $16 $-1 06-28 01:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +35 $10 24¢ $9 $-2 06-19 02:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +30 $14 26¢ $8 $-6 06-12 05:26
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +20 $10 38¢ $8 $-2 06-16 12:12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +10 $6 70¢ $7 +$1 06-20 19:45