Realized P&L
+$136
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
70.8%
Resolved
931
Trades
3,237
lifetime
Volume
$25.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$234
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-13 17:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 243 days
Categories
Politics
53% 63% +$554
Other
43% 36% -$334
Crypto
2% 56% -$60
Tech
1% 55% +$9
Sports
1% 18% -$53
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be 3 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026? Yes +45 $29 80¢ $36 +$7 11-13 12:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -30 -$37 92¢ $-27 +$9 09-21 05:47
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +40 $18 60¢ $24 +$6 11-07 09:46
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22? Yes +40 $24 48¢ $19 -$5 11-13 06:22
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 30? Yes +30 $19 62¢ $18 -$1 11-08 07:48
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +25 $23 72¢ $18 -$5 11-13 06:40
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +20 $15 76¢ $15 +$0 11-13 14:52
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15? Yes +40 $15 34¢ $14 -$2 11-13 07:30
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? Yes +100 $13 14¢ $14 +$0 11-13 17:27
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +20 $12 66¢ $13 +$1 11-13 14:21
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027? Yes +20 $15 54¢ $11 -$4 11-04 11:19
Putin meets with Iranian officials by November 30? No +9 $6 76¢ $7 +$0 11-13 13:46
Will Iran target Iraq by November 30, 2026? No +20 $7 27¢ $5 -$1 11-13 16:37
Will there be 3 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026? No +25 $5 20¢ $5 $0 11-13 00:47
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes +40 $7 10¢ $4 -$3 10-17 08:06
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes +40 $4 8¢ $3 -$1 10-17 08:24
Will Dejan Bodiroga be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +100 $3 0¢ $0 -$3 10-27 20:31