Realized P&L
-$3.83K
Unrealized P&L
+$59
Hit rate
40.6%
Resolved
5,441
Trades
178,293
lifetime
Volume
$587.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$642
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-02
last 10-25 17:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 78 days
Categories
Other
98% 40% -$3,670
Crypto
1% 43% -$58
Sports
1% 29% -$65
Politics
0% 32% -$28
Tech
0% 55% -$5
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 16170 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +138 $50 88¢ $122 +$72 08-07 11:38
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +93 $73 85¢ $79 +$6 08-13 00:21
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +64 $49 91¢ $58 +$9 08-07 17:09
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? No +48 $43 98¢ $47 +$4 08-07 04:55
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +48 $26 94¢ $45 +$18 08-14 07:00
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +40 $36 99¢ $40 +$4 08-07 12:49
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +27 $21 97¢ $26 +$5 08-07 01:30
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +24 $23 100¢ $24 +$1 08-07 13:00
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 No +24 $16 89¢ $21 +$6 08-10 18:02
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +138 $90 12¢ $16 -$74 08-07 05:56
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No +16 $14 96¢ $15 +$1 08-06 10:02
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +17 $15 87¢ $15 +$0 08-13 04:53
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +16 $12 92¢ $15 +$2 08-07 16:07
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +93 $19 15¢ $14 -$5 08-13 00:22
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? Yes +8 $2 100¢ $8 +$6 08-14 14:49
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +8 $7 99¢ $8 +$1 08-17 19:20
natoeu troops fighting in ukraine by december 31 2026 No +8 $7 96¢ $8 +$0 08-07 11:37
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? No +8 $7 93¢ $7 +$0 08-06 19:25
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +8 $5 92¢ $7 +$3 08-19 15:35
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +8 $7 91¢ $7 +$0 08-07 04:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +8 $3 90¢ $7 +$4 08-06 19:48
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +8 $4 88¢ $7 +$3 08-14 14:49
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +8 $6 86¢ $7 +$1 08-07 11:42
will catl be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230556 No +8 $7 84¢ $7 $0 08-17 19:03
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +64 $15 9¢ $6 -$10 08-14 14:53
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 No +10 $2 57¢ $6 +$4 08-11 11:55
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +8 $5 70¢ $6 +$1 08-13 00:13
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +8 $6 68¢ $5 $0 08-13 22:00
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +8 $3 68¢ $5 +$3 08-06 19:49
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 Yes +10 $9 43¢ $4 -$4 08-14 14:46