Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2027?
open
Total volume
$627
Trades
25
Unique wallets
15
Liquidity
$10,489
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 07-12 14:58
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $5 | $484 | $479 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $47 | $47 | +$1 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $0 | $9 | $9 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $16 | $1 | +$15 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $14 | $475 | $461 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $9 | $9 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $26 | $56 | $30 |
| unranked | 4 | $27 | $1 | +$26 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Right-Destination 0x477f…19aa | No | +520 | $475 | $475 | 4 | 07-12 14:58 |
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | +160 | $11 | $11 | 4 | 07-08 18:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | +133 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 07-07 10:10 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +100 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-29 17:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | +67 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-12 14:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +56 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-29 17:28 |
| Well-Documented-Peek 0x94bb…c320 | No | +50 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 07-01 20:09 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +44 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-29 17:28 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-29 17:28 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-04 14:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xb146…c098 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-29 22:11 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 07-08 18:33 |
| Warped-Pinworm 0x6f34…7593 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 10:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 14:58:04 | Right-Destination 0x477f…19aa | No | BUY | 67 | 92¢ | $61 | 0x8ea383… |
| 07-12 14:58:04 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 67 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x8ea383… |
| 07-08 18:33:22 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x99d198… |
| 07-08 18:33:22 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x99d198… |
| 07-07 10:10:41 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | BUY | 133 | 8¢ | $11 | 0xa6ec8e… |
| 07-07 10:10:41 | Right-Destination 0x477f…19aa | No | BUY | 133 | 92¢ | $123 | 0xa6ec8e… |
| 07-01 23:26:16 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x65eebc… |
| 07-01 23:26:16 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x65eebc… |
| 07-01 20:09:22 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x4f96cf… |
| 07-01 20:09:22 | Well-Documented-Peek 0x94bb…c320 | No | BUY | 50 | 93¢ | $47 | 0x4f96cf… |
| 07-01 20:08:43 | Right-Destination 0x477f…19aa | No | BUY | 100 | 93¢ | $93 | 0x3d767f… |
| 07-01 20:08:43 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x3d767f… |
| 06-04 14:03:18 | Quarterly-Humidity 0xd6fa…4f2d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xcc1288… |
| 06-04 14:03:18 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xcc1288… |
| 05-30 10:40:15 | Warped-Pinworm 0x6f34…7593 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x21de7b… |
| 05-30 10:40:15 | Quarterly-Humidity 0xd6fa…4f2d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x21de7b… |
| 05-29 22:11:22 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x1c444f… |
| 05-29 22:11:22 | (anonymous) 0xb146…c098 | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x1c444f… |
| 05-29 17:28:51 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 9¢ | $18 | 0x2ffce1… |
| 05-29 17:28:51 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x2ffce1… |
| 05-29 17:28:51 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0x2ffce1… |
| 05-29 17:28:51 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 56 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x2ffce1… |
| 05-29 17:28:48 | Right-Destination 0x477f…19aa | No | BUY | 220 | 90¢ | $198 | 0x3c0a74… |
| 05-29 17:28:48 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x3c0a74… |
| 05-29 17:28:48 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 10¢ | $20 | 0x3c0a74… |