Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2027?
open
Total volume
$1,614
Trades
149
Unique wallets
50
Liquidity
$10,489
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 08-04 14:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-11.7¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $573
vs crowd: 12% YES on $1.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $28 | $1.1K | $1.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 13 | $96 | $47 | +$50 |
| 🐟 Fish | 12 | $14 | $20 | $7 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $21 | $59 | $38 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $573 | $573 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $23 | $476 | $453 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $7 | $15 | $7 |
| Median | 6 | $2 | $23 | $21 |
| Below median | 6 | $31 | $17 | +$14 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $36 | $69 | $33 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $15 | — | +$15 |
| unranked | 15 | $45 | $30 | +$14 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common-Nitrogen 0x68c2…1711 | No | +616 | $573 | $573 | 1 | 07-22 04:30 |
| Right-Destination 0x477f…19aa | No | +521 | $476 | $476 | 5 | 07-20 04:19 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +236 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 08-04 14:15 |
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | +200 | $14 | $14 | 6 | 07-22 04:30 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +194 | $8 | $8 | 8 | 08-04 14:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +159 | $9 | $11 | 9 | 08-03 15:26 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | +100 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-22 04:31 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +100 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-29 17:28 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +51 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 08-04 14:47 |
| Well-Documented-Peek 0x94bb…c320 | No | +50 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 07-01 20:09 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +44 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-29 17:28 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $1 | $3 | 9 | 08-04 14:46 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +23 | $22 | $22 | 3 | 07-30 22:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-04 14:15 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-24 10:09 |
| Scarce-Cormorant 0x9f16…7013 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-04 14:46 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 14:47:17 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xcebca4… |
| 08-04 14:47:17 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xcebca4… |
| 08-04 14:47:12 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xad0fa5… |
| 08-04 14:47:12 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xad0fa5… |
| 08-04 14:46:02 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 103 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x74a569… |
| 08-04 14:46:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x74a569… |
| 08-04 14:46:02 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x74a569… |
| 08-04 14:46:02 | Scarce-Cormorant 0x9f16…7013 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x74a569… |
| 08-04 14:46:02 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | SELL | 190 | 3¢ | $5 | 0x74a569… |
| 08-04 14:46:02 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x74a569… |
| 08-04 14:15:56 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | SELL | 133 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x721630… |
| 08-04 14:15:56 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 59 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x721630… |
| 08-04 14:15:56 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x721630… |
| 08-04 14:15:56 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 64 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x721630… |
| 08-03 15:26:18 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 12 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xad1659… |
| 08-03 15:26:18 | (anonymous) 0xa9b9…92b3 | No | SELL | 12 | 95¢ | $12 | 0xad1659… |
| 07-30 22:43:27 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 13 | 96¢ | $13 | 0xadb0c2… |
| 07-30 22:43:27 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 13 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xadb0c2… |
| 07-30 01:09:32 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x9e6ecd… |
| 07-30 01:09:32 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | SELL | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9e6ecd… |
| 07-27 19:14:09 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xfa079f… |
| 07-27 19:14:09 | (anonymous) 0x8dab…369c | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xfa079f… |
| 07-27 14:02:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x354696… |
| 07-27 14:02:46 | (anonymous) 0x8dab…369c | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x354696… |
| 07-27 10:06:03 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 4 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x270c2b… |
| 07-27 10:06:03 | (anonymous) 0x39c8…d5e7 | No | SELL | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0x270c2b… |
| 07-27 01:56:15 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x99b265… |
| 07-27 01:56:15 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x99b265… |
| 07-27 01:56:15 | (anonymous) 0x66e6…eb39 | No | SELL | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x99b265… |
| 07-27 01:53:00 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xdcd975… |
| 07-27 01:53:00 | (anonymous) 0x39c8…d5e7 | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xdcd975… |
| 07-27 00:55:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x8cf84d… |
| 07-27 00:55:46 | Exciting-Running 0x22df…fb6a | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x8cf84d… |
| 07-26 22:27:21 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xc8bf24… |
| 07-26 22:27:21 | (anonymous) 0xcddd…689e | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $4 | 0xc8bf24… |
| 07-26 19:54:15 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbad6b7… |
| 07-26 19:54:15 | Exciting-Running 0x22df…fb6a | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xbad6b7… |
| 07-26 19:40:46 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xdcd7e1… |
| 07-26 19:40:46 | (anonymous) 0x9752…e1af | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xdcd7e1… |
| 07-26 17:50:55 | (anonymous) 0x66e6…eb39 | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x6a1e0a… |
| 07-26 17:50:55 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6a1e0a… |
| 07-26 16:23:00 | (anonymous) 0xb080…cc74 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xbe7456… |
| 07-26 16:23:00 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbe7456… |
| 07-26 14:25:31 | (anonymous) 0xcddd…689e | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x5d08fc… |
| 07-26 14:25:31 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5d08fc… |
| 07-26 12:18:07 | (anonymous) 0xb080…cc74 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x496d3c… |
| 07-26 12:18:07 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x496d3c… |
| 07-26 11:35:24 | (anonymous) 0x9752…e1af | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xca3ffe… |
| 07-26 11:35:24 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xca3ffe… |
| 07-26 11:24:51 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x54a108… |
| 07-26 11:24:51 | (anonymous) 0xaaf4…473d | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x54a108… |
| 07-26 09:51:48 | (anonymous) 0xfefb…1ae1 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xd2ef36… |
| 07-26 09:51:48 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd2ef36… |
| 07-26 09:36:16 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1fa216… |
| 07-26 09:36:16 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1fa216… |
| 07-26 09:29:58 | (anonymous) 0x5d62…1b34 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xd2b3be… |
| 07-26 09:29:58 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd2b3be… |
| 07-26 07:59:13 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe96fd9… |
| 07-26 07:59:13 | (anonymous) 0x43db…486f | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xe96fd9… |
| 07-26 06:06:48 | (anonymous) 0xaaf4…473d | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x21a506… |
| 07-26 06:06:48 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x21a506… |
| 07-26 05:04:48 | (anonymous) 0xdb5a…b6c9 | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xa14876… |
| 07-26 05:04:48 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa14876… |
| 07-26 04:23:30 | (anonymous) 0x5d62…1b34 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x6f7d64… |
| 07-26 04:23:30 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6f7d64… |
| 07-26 03:46:36 | (anonymous) 0xfefb…1ae1 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x61479a… |
| 07-26 03:46:36 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x61479a… |
| 07-26 00:00:48 | (anonymous) 0xdb5a…b6c9 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x621be3… |
| 07-26 00:00:48 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x621be3… |
| 07-25 23:58:00 | (anonymous) 0x43db…486f | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x63029f… |
| 07-25 23:58:00 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x63029f… |
| 07-24 20:44:15 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb3dbbb… |
| 07-24 20:44:15 | (anonymous) 0xaf33…f0e7 | No | SELL | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xb3dbbb… |
| 07-24 18:11:34 | Wonderful-Harmony 0x204c…0aa3 | No | SELL | 7 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xf8a533… |
| 07-24 18:11:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf8a533… |
| 07-24 16:36:00 | (anonymous) 0xaf33…f0e7 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x3a8cbc… |
| 07-24 16:36:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3a8cbc… |
| 07-24 10:09:33 | Wonderful-Harmony 0x204c…0aa3 | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0xf1a4ca… |
| 07-24 10:09:33 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf1a4ca… |
| 07-23 15:58:12 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | Yes | SELL | 70 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x85c70f… |
| 07-23 15:58:12 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 18 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x85c70f… |
| 07-23 15:58:12 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 52 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x85c70f… |
| 07-22 17:50:07 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x7ca001… |
| 07-22 17:50:07 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x7ca001… |
| 07-22 11:57:43 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x120906… |
| 07-22 11:57:43 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x120906… |
| 07-22 11:50:06 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x891100… |
| 07-22 11:50:06 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x891100… |
| 07-22 09:11:54 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd9e399… |
| 07-22 09:11:54 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd9e399… |
| 07-22 08:50:07 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x3a8102… |
| 07-22 08:50:07 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x3a8102… |
| 07-22 08:18:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x740a8d… |
| 07-22 08:18:01 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x740a8d… |
| 07-22 05:46:42 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x5f1700… |
| 07-22 05:46:42 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x5f1700… |
| 07-22 04:32:57 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x0ccafa… |
| 07-22 04:32:57 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x0ccafa… |
| 07-22 04:32:07 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xb0d228… |
| 07-22 04:32:07 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 180 | 6¢ | $11 | 0xb0d228… |