Realized P&L
+$44.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.99K
Hit rate
83.7%
Resolved
534
Trades
6,746
lifetime
Volume
$1.14M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$169
Open exposure
$80.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-26 20:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 88 days
Categories
Politics
47% 68% +$10,696
Other
37% 64% +$12,935
Sports
12% 77% +$24,524
Crypto
4% 65% -$3,405
Tech
0% 100% +$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +10,000 $7,800 82¢ $8.1K +$350 08-17 19:19
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -8,470 -$7,564 90¢ $-7653 -$89 08-27 08:02
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +6,220 $5,675 97¢ $6.0K +$364 07-03 11:07
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? No +6,384 $5,855 90¢ $5.8K -$78 08-25 12:09
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -6,403 -$4,937 82¢ $-5247 -$311 08-12 13:57
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +7,468 $3,734 68¢ $5.0K +$1,307 09-10 21:11
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +6,111 $4,970 79¢ $4.8K -$142 10-08 21:48
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -26,606 -$3,312 15¢ $-4004 -$692 08-26 21:14
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +3,734 $3,441 97¢ $3.6K +$183 08-17 21:11
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +5,000 $3,650 70¢ $3.5K -$175 10-06 17:37
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +4,000 $2,000 66¢ $2.7K +$660 09-04 14:26
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes -7,470 -$3,810 32¢ $-2428 +$1,382 08-19 06:48
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -6,000 -$2,496 39¢ $-2322 +$174 07-14 03:49
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,500 $1,925 82¢ $2.0K +$119 08-17 19:26
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -20,994 -$1,407 9¢ $-1984 -$577 07-03 15:28
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +7,300 $1,747 24¢ $1.8K +$42 10-21 02:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,767 $1,413 98¢ $1.7K +$314 06-07 15:19
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +2,645 $1,862 64¢ $1.7K -$183 10-14 12:48
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +2,000 $940 62¢ $1.2K +$290 10-07 12:02
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +1,715 $1,046 69¢ $1.2K +$137 10-13 15:36
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +5,000 $1,150 24¢ $1.2K +$25 10-07 00:09
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,173 $1,034 74¢ $874 -$160 08-25 23:14
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,000 $870 87¢ $870 +$0 08-17 19:25
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +2,000 $864 43¢ $861 -$3 10-07 14:53
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5,000 $999 17¢ $835 -$164 10-14 06:09
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? No +1,219 $563 62¢ $756 +$193 10-14 14:10
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +1,000 $880 74¢ $740 -$140 08-25 23:15
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,000 $500 68¢ $675 +$175 08-30 15:22
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,000 $640 56¢ $555 -$85 10-06 12:04
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +582 $468 93¢ $543 +$75 07-02 12:04