Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$635

Unrealized P&L

+$27

Hit rate

88.3%

Resolved

340

Trades

1,007

lifetime

Volume

$63.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$63

Open exposure

$648

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-21 21:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 125 days

Categories

Other

56% 90% +$709

Politics

30% 73% -$1,411

Sports

7% 75% -$113

Crypto

5% 96% +$60

Tech

1% 100% +$20

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$99

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+200	$146	80¢	$161	+$15	07-30 05:48
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by october 31	No	+100	$75	100¢	$100	+$25	08-04 13:31
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	-100	-$97	98¢	$-98	-$2	08-13 07:28
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	-100	-$96	97¢	$-97	-$1	09-24 00:42
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	+100	$88	94¢	$94	+$6	08-03 12:55
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?	No	+100	$82	88¢	$88	+$6	08-18 15:30
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	+60	$32	16¢	$10	-$22	06-02 10:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
enhanced aca premium tax credits extended by january 31	23	$4.5K	3,500	1,456	+2,044	No	+$449	01-31 14:44
nicols maduro seen in public by january 5	47	$2.4K	2,488	0	+2,488	Yes	+$54	01-03 22:25
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	10	$2.2K	866	1,365	-499	No	+$11	04-03 13:33
will trump meet with elon musk by march 31	3	$2.0K	1,988	0	+1,988	Yes	+$3	01-04 18:49
trumprx launched by january 31 2026	34	$1.8K	996	1,200	-204	No	+$204	01-30 19:03
Epstein client list released by June 30?	6	$1.4K	1,500	0	+1,500	No	+$51	06-14 17:19
venezuela election scheduled by january 31 2026	6	$1.4K	776	776	+0	No	+$77	01-07 03:24
Pooh Shiesty charged by May 31?	10	$1.3K	756	756	+0	Yes	-$42	04-05 14:43
cilia flores released from custody by january 9 2026	10	$1.2K	633	633	+0	No	+$12	01-06 03:51
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	21	$1.2K	1,263	0	+1,263	No	+$108	01-29 23:19
cbb iowast kan 2026 01 13	3	$632	318	318	-0	Kansas Jayhawks	+$3	01-14 03:58
will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	5	$598	300	300	+0	No	+$1	02-13 18:21
will there be at least 600 measles cases in the us by january 31 2026	5	$550	567	0	+567	No	+$17	01-31 14:47
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	10	$543	631	0	+631	Yes	+$89	02-16 23:23
will the united states win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	7	$527	654	0	+654	Yes	+$128	02-20 23:01
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	6	$509	540	0	+540	No	+$31	03-07 09:22
will silver si hit high 185 by end of february 694 754	4	$496	200	300	-100	No	+$1	02-15 00:51
will jd vance clap fewer than 20 times during the state of the union	7	$478	493	0	+493	No	+$15	02-25 03:06
will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	3	$445	500	0	+500	Yes	-$445	07-06 05:02
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	9	$414	588	362	+226	Yes	-$186	01-29 23:10
will congress pass any tariffs by march 31	5	$409	421	0	+421	No	+$12	03-12 05:45
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	10	$405	420	0	+420	Yes	+$15	03-01 23:31
Will Trump say "Trump University" in April?	2	$402	448	0	+448	No	+$46	04-02 19:26
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	2	$396	400	0	+400	No	+$4	08-07 19:04
us anti cartel strikeoperation on foreign soil by january 31 2026	4	$390	196	196	+0	Yes	+$0	01-07 04:10
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	3	$373	400	0	+400	No	-$373	08-02 09:18
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	3	$366	377	0	+377	No	+$11	04-03 14:06
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?	3	$365	600	0	+600	open	—	10-21 21:44
war powers resolution passes the senate	5	$362	366	0	+366	No	+$4	03-05 23:55
Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?	3	$358	600	0	+600	open	—	10-21 21:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 21:44:09	Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?	No	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0xeb7375…
10-21 21:43:57	Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	84	55¢	$46	0x225891…
10-21 20:44:15	Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	116	55¢	$64	0x0668a6…
10-21 20:30:56	Will Donald Trump visit Mississippi in 2026?	No	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xec4e9c…
10-21 20:30:56	Will Donald Trump visit Mississippi in 2026?	No	BUY	3	15¢	$1	0xe83a96…
10-21 20:30:56	Will Donald Trump visit Mississippi in 2026?	No	BUY	91	15¢	$14	0xe7c011…
10-21 20:30:56	Will Donald Trump visit Mississippi in 2026?	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x5cff51…
10-02 22:37:09	Will Donald Trump visit Montana in 2026?	No	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xb48243…
09-30 00:42:29	Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?	No	BUY	58	59¢	$34	0x1acd96…
09-29 15:16:05	Will Donald Trump visit Nebraska in 2026?	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x3ed795…
09-29 01:02:27	Will Donald Trump visit Kansas in 2026?	No	BUY	75	43¢	$32	0x6bf09d…
09-28 10:28:59	Will Donald Trump visit Kansas in 2026?	No	BUY	25	43¢	$11	0xc12314…
09-28 02:01:45	Will Donald Trump visit Mississippi in 2026?	No	BUY	18	68¢	$12	0x07dfc7…
09-26 02:41:00	Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x7ae45d…
09-26 02:41:00	Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x65083d…
09-26 02:41:00	Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?	No	BUY	102	59¢	$60	0x202c63…
09-25 00:45:48	Will Donald Trump visit Oklahoma in 2026?	No	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x1c321c…
09-24 22:43:41	Will Donald Trump visit Alabama in 2026?	No	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xd2cf1e…
09-24 00:42:34	Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	68	96¢	$65	0xb401e5…
09-23 23:10:19	Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?	No	BUY	31	60¢	$19	0x996098…
09-21 07:14:00	Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	32	96¢	$31	0x96bfb9…
08-25 14:44:07	Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?	No	BUY	150	60¢	$90	0xef7871…
08-24 23:12:19	Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?	No	BUY	19	60¢	$11	0x48a244…
08-24 19:32:04	Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x2ae8d3…
08-23 19:10:39	Will Donald Trump visit Mississippi in 2026?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xe4c5a7…
08-23 19:05:21	Will Donald Trump visit Mississippi in 2026?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x03de4d…
08-18 15:30:45	Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x8b2b45…
08-13 07:28:27	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x899c9f…
08-13 07:25:46	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x6a5e5d…
08-13 07:22:27	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x7fd7ed…
08-13 07:00:55	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$5	0x60f541…
08-13 04:04:46	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x898e28…
08-13 03:20:45	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x1252ab…
08-12 18:47:04	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	52	97¢	$50	0x446155…
08-12 12:37:10	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	60	91¢	$55	0x6154d1…
08-12 12:37:06	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0x772a53…
08-08 20:37:21	Will Donald Trump visit New Hampshire in 2026?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2416ca…
08-07 19:04:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x348ff3…
08-04 13:31:20	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by october 31	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xfe5bc7…
08-04 07:47:54	Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x5eda49…
08-03 22:18:20	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0b8619…
08-03 21:42:30	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x8e0c10…
08-03 15:38:23	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x143318…
08-03 15:25:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	95	86¢	$82	0x7e9d8e…
08-03 15:09:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	26	86¢	$22	0xa9a07d…
08-03 14:50:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x66dd97…
08-03 14:49:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xeeee7a…
08-03 14:49:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0xee1d0e…
08-03 14:49:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x5e9a84…
08-03 14:49:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0x40f51e…
08-03 14:43:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x1aa0cb…
08-03 14:43:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0xfe5c04…
08-03 14:43:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xb60a79…
08-03 14:40:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x398087…
08-03 14:40:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x512666…
08-03 14:39:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	53	86¢	$46	0xfd7cc6…
08-03 14:16:26	Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x0347f4…
08-03 12:55:47	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x3a7a20…
08-03 11:56:11	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xf5537b…
08-03 06:19:21	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 20–25%?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xfec8ab…
08-03 03:45:05	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 20–25%?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x9b8ea9…
08-02 16:58:20	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	No	BUY	60	30¢	$18	0xcad7d4…
08-02 15:45:53	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	SELL	400	49¢	$196	0x2d6147…
08-02 09:18:23	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	200	95¢	$191	0xfbadc8…
08-02 09:02:33	Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x47ee63…
08-02 06:52:17	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x58f3da…
08-02 02:51:21	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	38	88¢	$33	0x7a3e8a…
08-02 02:38:23	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	33	88¢	$29	0x0373ec…
08-02 02:30:08	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	300	27¢	$81	0x51f642…
08-02 02:25:24	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	92	29¢	$27	0xf5339b…
08-02 02:12:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0xf81fff…
08-02 02:08:17	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x2cfd06…
08-02 01:43:47	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x163144…
08-02 01:37:14	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0xc7c09c…
08-01 23:22:02	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0xf0bddf…
07-31 02:37:06	Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x9224ca…
07-30 18:26:21	Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0xe5e849…
07-30 18:26:11	Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	65	92¢	$60	0xb63332…
07-30 18:25:50	Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	95	92¢	$88	0xa80908…
07-30 18:21:14	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	85	91¢	$78	0xec7fe4…
07-30 11:14:14	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xca36a6…
07-30 09:57:51	Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?	No	BUY	500	62¢	$310	0x71ceec…
07-30 09:57:26	Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	400	62¢	$248	0x8a1ffd…
07-30 05:48:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0x8fec32…
07-30 05:18:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0x8e3d1c…
07-30 03:15:21	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	No	BUY	44	95¢	$42	0x0e7847…
07-29 23:36:06	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xb93e93…
07-29 23:36:02	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x4d3a43…
07-29 23:33:33	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x806124…
07-29 23:00:15	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x7e4577…
07-29 22:55:11	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd551e9…
07-29 22:36:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x478149…
07-29 09:53:35	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	No	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0x1b5f33…
07-29 09:03:18	will trump praise benjamin netanyahu by july 31 20260724182749274	Yes	BUY	114	97¢	$110	0x328e2e…
07-29 05:42:20	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x607b22…
07-29 03:58:14	Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31?	Yes	BUY	86	97¢	$84	0xbd1100…
07-29 02:28:11	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	115	91¢	$104	0x90b91f…
07-28 20:15:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	400	77¢	$307	0x452074…
07-14 19:47:29	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	400	16¢	$64	0x2d7d3a…
07-07 11:38:25	Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?	Yes	SELL	158	81¢	$128	0x3c9797…