Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$207

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

64.2%

Resolved

Trades

856

lifetime

Volume

$55.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$65

Open exposure

$69

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-25 14:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

58% 100% +$20

Politics

28% 33% $-224

Sports

8% 0% $-3

Crypto

6% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump visit Mississippi in 2026?	No	+54	$37	73¢	$39	+$3	06-24 01:22
Will Donald Trump visit Wyoming in 2026?	No	+36	$23	80¢	$29	+$6	06-14 01:03
Will Donald Trump visit South Dakota in 2026?	No	+100	$20	0¢	$0	$-20	06-25 14:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
enhanced aca premium tax credits extended by january 31	23	$4.5K	3,500	1,456	+2,044	open	—	01-31 14:44
nicols maduro seen in public by january 5	47	$2.4K	2,488	0	+2,488	open	—	01-03 22:25
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	10	$2.2K	866	1,365	-499	open	—	04-03 13:33
will trump meet with elon musk by march 31	3	$2.0K	1,988	0	+1,988	open	—	01-04 18:49
trumprx launched by january 31 2026	34	$1.8K	996	1,200	-204	open	—	01-30 19:03
venezuela election scheduled by january 31 2026	6	$1.4K	776	776	+0	open	—	01-07 03:24
Pooh Shiesty charged by May 31?	10	$1.3K	756	756	+0	open	—	04-05 14:43
cilia flores released from custody by january 9 2026	10	$1.2K	633	633	+0	open	—	01-06 03:51
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	21	$1.2K	1,263	0	+1,263	open	—	01-29 23:19
Epstein client list released by June 30?	1	$863	900	0	+900	open	—	06-04 08:19
cbb iowast kan 2026 01 13	3	$632	318	318	-0	open	—	01-14 03:58
will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	5	$598	300	300	+0	open	—	02-13 18:21
will there be at least 600 measles cases in the us by january 31 2026	5	$550	567	0	+567	open	—	01-31 14:47
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	10	$543	631	0	+631	open	—	02-16 23:23
will the united states win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	7	$527	654	0	+654	open	—	02-20 23:01
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	6	$509	540	0	+540	open	—	03-07 09:22
will silver si hit high 185 by end of february 694 754	4	$496	200	300	-100	open	—	02-15 00:51
will jd vance clap fewer than 20 times during the state of the union	7	$478	493	0	+493	open	—	02-25 03:06
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	9	$414	588	362	+226	open	—	01-29 23:10
will congress pass any tariffs by march 31	5	$409	421	0	+421	open	—	03-12 05:45
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	10	$405	420	0	+420	open	—	03-01 23:31
Will Trump say "Trump University" in April?	2	$402	448	0	+448	open	—	04-02 19:26
us anti cartel strikeoperation on foreign soil by january 31 2026	4	$390	196	196	+0	open	—	01-07 04:10
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	3	$366	377	0	+377	open	—	04-03 14:06
war powers resolution passes the senate	5	$362	366	0	+366	open	—	03-05 23:55
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	5	$353	437	0	+437	open	—	02-20 01:54
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	4	$327	360	0	+360	open	—	04-08 16:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	5	$317	459	0	+459	open	—	04-13 22:19
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	3	$294	300	0	+300	open	—	02-10 22:42
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	2	$286	300	0	+300	open	—	05-09 23:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 14:05:32	Will Donald Trump visit South Dakota in 2026?	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x976a1c…
06-24 01:22:58	Will Donald Trump visit Mississippi in 2026?	No	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0xbe1599…
06-22 16:42:58	Will Donald Trump visit North Dakota in 2026?	No	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x7c5123…
06-14 02:18:42	Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	No	BUY	109	66¢	$72	0x8f7dd1…
06-14 02:09:36	Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	No	BUY	91	67¢	$61	0x95dbbf…
06-14 01:44:52	Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x04af26…
06-14 01:03:10	Will Donald Trump visit Wyoming in 2026?	No	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xde8ba6…
06-14 01:02:52	Will Donald Trump visit Wyoming in 2026?	No	BUY	7	65¢	$4	0xbef11d…
06-14 01:02:39	Will Donald Trump visit Wyoming in 2026?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xb22a1f…
06-14 00:58:22	Will Donald Trump visit Mississippi in 2026?	No	BUY	38	68¢	$26	0x6f8367…
06-04 19:04:22	graham platner drops out before maine senate dem primary	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x4c4e8d…
06-04 08:19:00	Epstein client list released by June 30?	No	BUY	900	96¢	$863	0x888164…
06-03 21:06:45	graham platner drops out before maine senate dem primary	No	BUY	179	93¢	$167	0x301b02…
05-31 15:04:48	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x69bfa7…
05-28 15:25:40	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x84a77c…
05-23 21:05:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x677e9e…
05-21 17:21:48	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x640562…
05-21 17:01:56	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xf85ba7…
05-21 15:31:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	13	82¢	$11	0xc161fe…
05-21 15:29:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	68	81¢	$55	0x273ee6…
05-21 15:28:03	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	32	81¢	$26	0xa59b2d…
05-21 15:26:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	87	82¢	$71	0xbac849…
05-20 17:03:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xab6f05…
05-16 20:56:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x69536f…
05-16 15:59:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xd9b95f…
05-16 15:56:36	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xb85dca…
05-16 15:30:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xe65c47…
05-13 18:54:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x48f703…
05-13 18:18:58	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x2bf2ae…
05-13 17:58:35	Will Trump's remarks not air?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x00518a…
05-13 17:48:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$195	0x3d1f99…
05-10 10:10:33	Will Solana reach $120 in May?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x6ce311…
05-10 03:34:21	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xd8eae3…
05-10 03:29:47	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xd84c9b…
05-09 23:44:14	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x36d64e…
05-09 22:38:17	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x621e39…
05-09 22:25:36	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	74	74¢	$55	0x3709f6…
05-09 22:24:42	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xfa0e1f…
05-09 22:23:33	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	18	74¢	$13	0xe98792…
05-06 09:35:40	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x2723c4…
05-06 08:57:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0xd1eeb7…
05-06 05:11:06	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	81	75¢	$61	0x9d4849…
05-06 02:44:40	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0x73ce47…
05-05 23:03:16	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xa7311d…
05-04 22:58:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x3fcdb1…
05-04 14:38:58	Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May 2026?	No	BUY	88	91¢	$80	0xbe23a6…
05-03 08:26:26	Will Trump say "Hawk" in May?	No	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0xb00a0c…
05-03 04:43:54	Will Trump say "Hawk" in May?	No	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x408afc…
05-02 18:51:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xcc0783…
05-02 18:25:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x2a0701…
05-02 18:11:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$51	0x20cd1d…
05-02 16:25:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x2cc971…
05-02 16:02:42	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	36	94¢	$34	0xa6eafa…
05-02 15:56:26	Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May 2026?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x5ab78b…
05-02 15:05:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xa8d6f6…
05-02 15:05:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	13	87¢	$12	0x5c4a6a…
05-02 15:05:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x3a32b3…
05-02 15:05:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	173	87¢	$151	0x1c0670…
05-02 14:47:00	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	Yes	BUY	164	95¢	$155	0xfbaf80…
05-02 14:38:10	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x2daac1…
04-23 17:53:50	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during healthcare event	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x42088b…
04-23 17:00:50	Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	37	94¢	$35	0xd4adb8…
04-23 16:33:52	Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xab657a…
04-22 20:32:46	Will Donald Trump visit Alaska in 2026?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xe4676b…
04-22 20:31:56	Will Donald Trump visit Alaska in 2026?	No	BUY	67	49¢	$33	0x47fda9…
04-22 14:49:36	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x4dd7d8…
04-21 14:39:50	will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	Yes	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x7b6579…
04-21 14:37:22	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on april 19 2026	Yes	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0x125082…
04-21 14:37:00	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on april 19 2026	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x5b75e1…
04-19 19:52:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x1c8237…
04-19 19:33:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	89	96¢	$85	0xf5af9b…
04-19 16:32:10	Kash Patel out by April 30?	No	BUY	40	66¢	$26	0xf518f0…
04-19 15:12:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xb73853…
04-19 14:33:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xdcf68b…
04-19 14:19:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0xec5542…
04-19 14:06:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	75	93¢	$70	0x1a503e…
04-19 13:56:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xc2be0b…
04-19 13:51:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	77	96¢	$74	0xc01098…
04-19 13:41:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	91	98¢	$89	0x060498…
04-19 13:37:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0xfccb57…
04-19 13:36:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0xb09b32…
04-19 13:18:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x275bbc…
04-19 13:16:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x1b726d…
04-19 13:15:34	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0x25fb35…
04-19 13:13:22	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xdd24ce…
04-14 00:56:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xc0992f…
04-14 00:08:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x765f5b…
04-13 23:34:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x5bb294…
04-13 23:23:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	94	87¢	$82	0x5f81cb…
04-13 23:20:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x30e5af…
04-13 23:04:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0xd289a7…
04-13 22:22:05	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x1dd011…
04-13 22:19:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0xf275bd…
04-13 22:19:51	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	95	28¢	$27	0x03f4e7…
04-13 22:11:25	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xd33337…
04-09 09:11:15	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x2049b1…
04-08 16:23:35	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0xbdd05d…
04-08 14:52:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x923cc7…
04-08 14:51:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x3dbd69…
04-08 14:49:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xe249e4…