Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$207

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.2%

Resolved

Trades

908

lifetime

Volume

$58.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-12 12:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

58% 100% +$20

Politics

28% 33% $-224

Sports

8% 0% $-3

Crypto

5% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
enhanced aca premium tax credits extended by january 31	23	$4.5K	3,500	1,456	+2,044	open	—	01-31 14:44
nicols maduro seen in public by january 5	47	$2.4K	2,488	0	+2,488	open	—	01-03 22:25
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	10	$2.2K	866	1,365	-499	open	—	04-03 13:33
will trump meet with elon musk by march 31	3	$2.0K	1,988	0	+1,988	open	—	01-04 18:49
trumprx launched by january 31 2026	34	$1.8K	996	1,200	-204	open	—	01-30 19:03
venezuela election scheduled by january 31 2026	6	$1.4K	776	776	+0	open	—	01-07 03:24
Pooh Shiesty charged by May 31?	10	$1.3K	756	756	+0	open	—	04-05 14:43
cilia flores released from custody by january 9 2026	10	$1.2K	633	633	+0	open	—	01-06 03:51
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	21	$1.2K	1,263	0	+1,263	open	—	01-29 23:19
Epstein client list released by June 30?	1	$863	900	0	+900	open	—	06-04 08:19
cbb iowast kan 2026 01 13	3	$632	318	318	-0	open	—	01-14 03:58
will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	5	$598	300	300	+0	open	—	02-13 18:21
will there be at least 600 measles cases in the us by january 31 2026	5	$550	567	0	+567	open	—	01-31 14:47
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	10	$543	631	0	+631	open	—	02-16 23:23
will the united states win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	7	$527	654	0	+654	open	—	02-20 23:01
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	6	$509	540	0	+540	open	—	03-07 09:22
will silver si hit high 185 by end of february 694 754	4	$496	200	300	-100	open	—	02-15 00:51
will jd vance clap fewer than 20 times during the state of the union	7	$478	493	0	+493	open	—	02-25 03:06
will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	3	$445	500	0	+500	open	—	07-06 05:02
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	9	$414	588	362	+226	open	—	01-29 23:10
will congress pass any tariffs by march 31	5	$409	421	0	+421	open	—	03-12 05:45
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	10	$405	420	0	+420	open	—	03-01 23:31
Will Trump say "Trump University" in April?	2	$402	448	0	+448	open	—	04-02 19:26
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	2	$396	400	0	+400	open	—	08-07 19:04
us anti cartel strikeoperation on foreign soil by january 31 2026	4	$390	196	196	+0	open	—	01-07 04:10
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	3	$366	377	0	+377	open	—	04-03 14:06
war powers resolution passes the senate	5	$362	366	0	+366	open	—	03-05 23:55
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	5	$353	437	0	+437	open	—	02-20 01:54
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	14	$352	400	0	+400	open	—	08-03 15:25
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	4	$327	360	0	+360	open	—	04-08 16:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 12:37:10	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	60	91¢	$55	0x6154d1…
08-12 12:37:06	Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0x772a53…
08-08 20:37:21	Will Donald Trump visit New Hampshire in 2026?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2416ca…
08-07 19:04:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x348ff3…
08-04 13:31:20	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by october 31	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xfe5bc7…
08-03 22:18:20	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0b8619…
08-03 21:42:30	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x8e0c10…
08-03 15:38:23	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x143318…
08-03 15:25:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	95	86¢	$82	0x7e9d8e…
08-03 15:09:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	26	86¢	$22	0xa9a07d…
08-03 14:50:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x66dd97…
08-03 14:49:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xeeee7a…
08-03 14:49:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0xee1d0e…
08-03 14:49:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x5e9a84…
08-03 14:49:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0x40f51e…
08-03 14:43:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x1aa0cb…
08-03 14:43:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0xfe5c04…
08-03 14:43:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xb60a79…
08-03 14:40:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x398087…
08-03 14:40:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x512666…
08-03 14:39:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	53	86¢	$46	0xfd7cc6…
08-03 14:16:26	Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x0347f4…
08-03 12:55:47	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x3a7a20…
08-03 11:56:11	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xf5537b…
08-02 16:58:20	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	No	BUY	60	30¢	$18	0xcad7d4…
08-02 15:45:53	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	SELL	400	49¢	$196	0x2d6147…
08-02 06:52:17	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x58f3da…
08-02 02:51:21	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	38	88¢	$33	0x7a3e8a…
08-02 02:38:23	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	33	88¢	$29	0x0373ec…
08-02 02:30:08	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	300	27¢	$81	0x51f642…
08-02 02:25:24	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	92	29¢	$27	0xf5339b…
08-02 02:12:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0xf81fff…
08-02 02:08:17	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x2cfd06…
08-02 01:43:47	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x163144…
08-02 01:37:14	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	No	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0xc7c09c…
08-01 23:22:02	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0xf0bddf…
07-30 11:14:14	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xca36a6…
07-30 05:48:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0x8fec32…
07-30 05:18:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0x8e3d1c…
07-30 03:15:21	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	No	BUY	44	95¢	$42	0x0e7847…
07-29 23:36:06	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xb93e93…
07-29 23:36:02	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x4d3a43…
07-29 23:33:33	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x806124…
07-29 23:00:15	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x7e4577…
07-29 22:55:11	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd551e9…
07-29 22:36:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x478149…
07-29 09:53:35	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	No	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0x1b5f33…
07-29 09:03:18	will trump praise benjamin netanyahu by july 31 20260724182749274	Yes	BUY	114	97¢	$110	0x328e2e…
07-06 05:02:19	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x0e0434…
07-06 00:18:58	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	No	BUY	332	89¢	$295	0x9de082…
07-04 22:31:19	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	No	BUY	160	89¢	$142	0x4cda98…
06-25 14:05:32	Will Donald Trump visit South Dakota in 2026?	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x976a1c…
06-24 01:22:58	Will Donald Trump visit Mississippi in 2026?	No	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0xbe1599…
06-22 16:42:58	Will Donald Trump visit North Dakota in 2026?	No	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x7c5123…
06-14 02:18:42	Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	No	BUY	109	66¢	$72	0x8f7dd1…
06-14 02:09:36	Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	No	BUY	91	67¢	$61	0x95dbbf…
06-14 01:44:52	Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x04af26…
06-14 01:03:10	Will Donald Trump visit Wyoming in 2026?	No	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xde8ba6…
06-14 01:02:52	Will Donald Trump visit Wyoming in 2026?	No	BUY	7	65¢	$4	0xbef11d…
06-14 01:02:39	Will Donald Trump visit Wyoming in 2026?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xb22a1f…
06-14 00:58:22	Will Donald Trump visit Mississippi in 2026?	No	BUY	38	68¢	$26	0x6f8367…
06-04 19:04:22	graham platner drops out before maine senate dem primary	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x4c4e8d…
06-04 08:19:00	Epstein client list released by June 30?	No	BUY	900	96¢	$863	0x888164…
06-03 21:06:45	graham platner drops out before maine senate dem primary	No	BUY	179	93¢	$167	0x301b02…
05-31 15:04:48	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x69bfa7…
05-28 15:25:40	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x84a77c…
05-23 21:05:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x677e9e…
05-21 17:21:48	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x640562…
05-21 17:01:56	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xf85ba7…
05-21 15:31:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	13	82¢	$11	0xc161fe…
05-21 15:29:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	68	81¢	$55	0x273ee6…
05-21 15:28:03	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	32	81¢	$26	0xa59b2d…
05-21 15:26:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	87	82¢	$71	0xbac849…
05-20 17:03:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xab6f05…
05-16 20:56:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x69536f…
05-16 15:59:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xd9b95f…
05-16 15:56:36	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xb85dca…
05-16 15:30:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xe65c47…
05-13 18:54:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x48f703…
05-13 18:18:58	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x2bf2ae…
05-13 17:58:35	Will Trump's remarks not air?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x00518a…
05-13 17:48:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$195	0x3d1f99…
05-10 10:10:33	Will Solana reach $120 in May?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x6ce311…
05-10 03:34:21	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xd8eae3…
05-10 03:29:47	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xd84c9b…
05-09 23:44:14	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x36d64e…
05-09 22:38:17	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x621e39…
05-09 22:25:36	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	74	74¢	$55	0x3709f6…
05-09 22:24:42	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xfa0e1f…
05-09 22:23:33	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	18	74¢	$13	0xe98792…
05-06 09:35:40	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x2723c4…
05-06 08:57:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0xd1eeb7…
05-06 05:11:06	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	81	75¢	$61	0x9d4849…
05-06 02:44:40	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0x73ce47…
05-05 23:03:16	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xa7311d…
05-04 22:58:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x3fcdb1…
05-04 14:38:58	Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May 2026?	No	BUY	88	91¢	$80	0xbe23a6…
05-03 08:26:26	Will Trump say "Hawk" in May?	No	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0xb00a0c…
05-03 04:43:54	Will Trump say "Hawk" in May?	No	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x408afc…
05-02 18:51:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xcc0783…