Dear-Participation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$263

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 07-20 06:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

65% — —

Sports

18% 50% +$301

Crypto

7% 35% $-37

Politics

6% — —

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	2	$1.3K	805	805	+0	open	—	07-19 22:12
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	2	$540	426	426	+0	Yes	+$311	05-10 06:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	2	$248	303	303	+0	open	—	05-15 05:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$208	149	149	+0	open	—	05-15 05:48
spacex ipo open updown on second day 20260608180600456	2	$134	94	94	+0	open	—	06-15 10:29
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	1	$115	0	183	-183	open	—	06-09 07:02
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$100	1,493	0	+1,493	open	—	06-10 16:28
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	1	$61	0	80	-80	open	—	06-09 07:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	2	$61	58	58	+0	open	—	05-21 07:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$49	32	32	+0	open	—	07-07 06:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	2	$37	47	47	+0	open	—	05-11 12:13
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	1	$30	59	0	+59	open	—	07-20 06:26
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$26	17	17	+0	open	—	05-15 05:48
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	2	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	07-08 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	1	$25	46	0	+46	Down	$-25	05-11 11:40
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$24	17	17	+0	open	—	05-15 05:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	1	$20	133	0	+133	open	—	05-07 09:27
btc updown 5m 1772887500	3	$18	164	14	+150	open	—	03-07 12:49
btc updown 5m 1772894700	1	$16	32	0	+32	open	—	03-07 14:44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	1	$13	0	20	-20	open	—	06-09 07:01
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	2	$11	204	0	+204	open	—	06-25 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$10	520	0	+520	Up	$-10	05-11 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$10	27	0	+27	Down	+$17	05-11 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$10	268	0	+268	Up	$-10	05-11 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$10	51	0	+51	Down	$-10	05-07 15:57
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$10	12	0	+12	Sean Strickland	$-10	05-07 10:44
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$6	171	0	+171	open	—	05-10 06:47
btc updown 5m 1772894400	1	$6	12	0	+12	open	—	03-07 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	05-11 11:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-12 05:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 06:26:57	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x5705d8…
07-19 22:12:46	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	SELL	805	100¢	$803	0xb127c5…
07-19 10:44:18	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	805	59¢	$479	0x3906be…
07-08 09:44:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xad0734…
07-07 06:16:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	32	92¢	$29	0xf93dfe…
06-30 06:34:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x72f19a…
06-25 17:27:59	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd3dc84…
06-25 17:27:25	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	185	5¢	$10	0x984304…
06-25 17:27:14	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x23336b…
06-22 07:52:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xee7259…
06-15 10:29:07	spacex ipo open updown on second day 20260608180600456	Up	SELL	94	89¢	$84	0x0558d8…
06-11 16:52:16	spacex ipo open updown on second day 20260608180600456	Up	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x140710…
06-10 16:28:09	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,493	7¢	$100	0xaf1b76…
06-09 07:02:13	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	80	77¢	$61	0xab33fc…
06-09 07:02:03	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	183	63¢	$115	0x65d568…
06-09 07:01:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$13	0xa352f4…
05-21 07:28:29	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8845eb…
05-21 07:27:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	58	62¢	$36	0xd8fa93…
05-15 05:48:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	149	73¢	$108	0x89d434…
05-15 05:48:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	303	49¢	$148	0x89fe3e…
05-15 05:48:10	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0x457e10…
05-15 05:47:56	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	17	85¢	$14	0xd110f9…
05-14 12:20:16	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x56b9cd…
05-14 12:20:02	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x07b3da…
05-14 12:19:48	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x6772aa…
05-14 12:19:01	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xfcd487…
05-12 10:33:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5a1cad…
05-12 10:33:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4a8f2c…
05-12 10:33:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x76f57b…
05-12 10:33:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x9eba89…
05-12 10:33:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xbca13e…
05-12 10:33:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xd91b86…
05-12 10:32:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x11d409…
05-12 10:32:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x0d7243…
05-12 10:32:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xb7f942…
05-12 10:31:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xaaf1db…
05-12 10:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xcd99ee…
05-12 05:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x657417…
05-11 12:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x74d853…
05-11 12:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x7cf0cc…
05-11 12:13:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	47	37¢	$17	0x7390bd…
05-11 12:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x08d1da…
05-11 11:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xac3122…
05-11 11:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x65fcc2…
05-11 11:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x58d8ba…
05-11 11:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xaf86d4…
05-11 11:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6ea120…
05-11 11:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	46	55¢	$25	0x733095…
05-11 11:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x41329a…
05-11 11:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xf2f5e7…
05-11 11:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x43ce28…
05-10 06:47:30	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	171	3¢	$6	0x3c0ab6…
05-10 06:45:19	UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	Yes	SELL	426	100¢	$425	0x3e8125…
05-07 15:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xc615f9…
05-07 15:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6f1e10…
05-07 15:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xba148f…
05-07 10:44:58	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xf8f965…
05-07 10:42:26	UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	Yes	BUY	426	27¢	$115	0x229d69…
05-07 10:39:39	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x816697…
05-07 10:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x03498a…
05-07 09:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xbdfe3b…
05-07 09:27:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x805d25…
05-07 09:27:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x1a5b88…
05-07 09:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x3fcc51…
03-07 14:44:41	btc updown 5m 1772894700	Down	BUY	32	50¢	$16	0x35d08f…
03-07 14:43:17	donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 0 19	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x95f806…
03-07 14:42:41	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 0 19	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1375f3…
03-07 14:37:47	btc updown 5m 1772894400	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x71b72e…
03-07 12:55:57	btc updown 5m 1772888100	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb25846…
03-07 12:49:11	btc updown 5m 1772887500	Up	BUY	150	4¢	$6	0x0aa39b…
03-07 12:48:01	btc updown 5m 1772887500	Down	SELL	14	57¢	$8	0xc4e779…
03-07 12:47:05	btc updown 5m 1772887500	Down	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0xdb7f96…
03-07 12:43:27	btc updown 5m 1772887200	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x907849…
03-07 12:43:01	btc updown 5m 1772887200	Up	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x99f430…