Realized P&L
+$84
Unrealized P&L
+$80
Hit rate
5.9%
Resolved
3
Trades
939
lifetime
Volume
$194.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$207
Open exposure
$2.76K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 06-30 03:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
77% 33% +$84
Other
20%
Sports
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +817 $592 76¢ $617 +$25 06-28 18:05
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -4,841 $-855 12¢ $-557 +$298 06-12 01:47
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -558 $-467 90¢ $-505 $-39 06-26 04:48
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +492 $418 84¢ $411 $-8 06-28 18:09
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? No +392 $380 93¢ $366 $-14 06-29 19:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +764 $436 34¢ $263 $-172 06-30 03:11
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -32 $-26 90¢ $-29 $-3 06-20 02:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +8 $12 99¢ $8 $-5 06-09 19:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -7 $-2 86¢ $-6 $-5 06-24 20:22
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +3 $3 95¢ $3 $-0 06-20 02:51
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -0 $-1 92¢ $-0 +$1 06-20 02:51