Realized P&L
+$84
Unrealized P&L
-$152
Hit rate
5.9%
Resolved
3
Trades
951
lifetime
Volume
$196.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$206
Open exposure
$1.60K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 07-04 18:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
77% 33% +$84
Other
20%
Sports
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -4,841 $-855 12¢ $-605 +$250 06-12 01:47
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -558 $-467 90¢ $-500 $-33 06-26 04:48
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? No +392 $380 96¢ $375 $-5 06-29 19:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +85 $48 83¢ $71 +$23 07-04 18:02
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -32 $-26 90¢ $-29 $-3 06-20 02:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +473 $378 $6 $-371 07-04 18:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -7 $-2 74¢ $-5 $-4 06-24 20:22
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -5 $6 76¢ $-4 $-10 06-30 18:51
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +3 $3 97¢ $3 $-0 06-20 02:51
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -0 $-1 94¢ $-0 +$1 06-20 02:51