Realized P&L
+$84
Unrealized P&L
-$331
Hit rate
5.9%
Resolved
3
Trades
786
lifetime
Volume
$158.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$201
Open exposure
$2.81K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 06-09 19:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
81% 33% +$84
Other
19%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -1,232 $-719 84¢ $-1041 $-323 05-29 15:27
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -4,156 $-733 18¢ $-727 +$6 06-01 14:05
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -515 $-444 88¢ $-450 $-6 06-09 18:02
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +231 $208 88¢ $204 $-4 06-10 01:04
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +135 $129 97¢ $131 +$2 06-09 16:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +122 $100 82¢ $101 +$1 06-09 18:00
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +139 $100 72¢ $99 $-1 06-09 17:59
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +34 $30 86¢ $30 $-0 06-09 18:01
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +21 $20 95¢ $20 $-0 06-09 18:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +8 $12 90¢ $7 $-5 06-09 19:18