Glamorous-Stitcher — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$221.9K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.9%

Resolved

Trades

2,768

lifetime

Volume

$13.0M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$4.69K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-16 14:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

55% 71% +$222,017

Other

43% 50% $-117

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	54	$1.20M	933,703	300,000	+633,703	open	—	03-04 16:07
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	151	$1.16M	866,764	601,078	+265,686	open	—	03-01 01:49
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$849.9K	694,449	250,000	+444,449	open	—	04-27 19:41
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	165	$757.3K	767,435	0	+767,435	open	—	01-07 23:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	78	$740.6K	2,415,836	646,739	+1,769,097	open	—	05-30 18:15
netanyahu out by march 31 854	191	$707.8K	381,992	350,000	+31,992	open	—	03-30 23:35
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	12	$705.5K	369,722	369,722	+0	open	—	03-31 22:06
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	39	$689.9K	597,692	189,606	+408,086	open	—	01-31 01:07
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	247	$534.6K	665,992	0	+665,992	open	—	01-13 19:20
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	11	$516.3K	273,619	273,619	+0	open	—	03-14 23:18
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	521	$448.7K	473,319	0	+473,319	open	—	01-12 14:04
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	21	$416.6K	281,781	350,000	-68,219	open	—	06-17 17:43
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	29	$390.4K	291,319	190,000	+101,319	open	—	04-08 20:55
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	206	$335.4K	348,330	242,845	+105,485	open	—	03-01 01:49
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	33	$262.0K	278,061	0	+278,061	open	—	01-12 14:03
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	11	$237.6K	349,113	0	+349,113	open	—	07-12 02:55
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	3	$199.2K	200,020	0	+200,020	open	—	04-30 20:35
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	12	$173.6K	377,563	400	+377,163	open	—	02-20 13:21
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	19	$157.2K	279,330	331,335	-52,005	open	—	07-16 14:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	21	$139.9K	237,740	100,000	+137,740	open	—	06-14 21:29
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	56	$130.5K	149,907	0	+149,907	open	—	01-13 19:19
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	12	$128.1K	161,650	0	+161,650	open	—	02-28 19:42
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	256	$121.0K	100,988	85,236	+15,751	open	—	03-06 17:03
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	6	$105.7K	60,675	60,000	+675	open	—	04-21 15:33
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$99.1K	0	100,010	-100,010	open	—	06-13 16:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	14	$86.0K	178,200	0	+178,200	open	—	06-29 15:30
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	22	$84.5K	166,879	166,879	+0	open	—	03-14 23:13
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	8	$79.1K	40,664	40,664	+0	open	—	01-15 19:54
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$73.8K	74,593	0	+74,593	open	—	03-04 16:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	12	$72.4K	372,469	48,019	+324,450	open	—	05-23 21:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 14:09:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7,517	23¢	$1,729	0x4db6e1…
07-15 20:40:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	81,020	20¢	$16,204	0xc9f17a…
07-15 20:40:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	20¢	$4	0x2ea1b8…
07-15 20:40:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x3ad033…
07-15 20:40:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50,000	20¢	$10,000	0xbd100a…
07-15 20:38:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x893361…
07-15 20:38:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	890	20¢	$178	0xd43f73…
07-15 20:37:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x0739da…
07-15 20:36:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50,000	20¢	$10,000	0x553e1e…
07-15 20:36:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	24	20¢	$5	0x831046…
07-15 20:36:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	88,025	20¢	$17,605	0x360f56…
07-15 20:07:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x539eb7…
07-15 20:07:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	500	20¢	$100	0x2eea71…
07-15 20:07:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x5df911…
07-15 20:07:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x0f471f…
07-15 19:55:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	25	20¢	$5	0xb7467d…
07-15 19:51:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,174	20¢	$235	0xe3f0f5…
07-15 19:33:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	279,330	20¢	$55,866	0x228733…
07-13 14:46:07	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	6,656	9¢	$599	0xcd8bd2…
07-12 02:55:26	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	142,453	71¢	$101,141	0xdab5c6…
07-10 14:11:50	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	46,035	13¢	$5,985	0xb0e633…
07-10 14:11:40	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	BUY	25,739	9¢	$2,317	0xc26df4…
07-09 19:56:01	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	10,000	67¢	$6,700	0x629eb0…
07-09 15:17:47	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	281	66¢	$185	0x0d2c1e…
07-09 15:17:17	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	361	66¢	$238	0x5171dc…
07-09 15:16:41	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	108	66¢	$71	0xed8c2e…
07-09 15:16:34	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xe0a0bd…
07-09 15:16:31	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	71	66¢	$47	0xcac44b…
07-09 15:16:31	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xba8e83…
07-09 15:16:31	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x84198c…
07-09 15:16:29	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0xadb7e5…
07-09 15:16:29	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	195,802	66¢	$129,229	0x336ade…
07-06 19:32:17	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	3,230	34¢	$1,098	0x9723a9…
07-01 15:07:50	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,340	31¢	$415	0x6b008f…
07-01 15:07:38	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,657	29¢	$2,755	0xfeb8e5…
06-30 20:09:04	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19,494	32¢	$6,205	0x80bbab…
06-30 19:53:01	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	38¢	$3,800	0xccf770…
06-30 18:54:59	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x24ed26…
06-30 18:54:56	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x93197e…
06-30 18:54:55	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xebd9c2…
06-30 18:54:55	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x9c2fda…
06-30 18:54:55	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x0132dd…
06-30 18:43:28	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x3f9521…
06-30 18:43:26	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0x3c3d35…
06-30 18:40:46	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xb8102b…
06-30 18:36:43	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb2e6af…
06-30 18:36:41	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	41¢	$0	0x1552c0…
06-30 18:08:26	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0xba2871…
06-30 18:04:55	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	41¢	$1	0xf39d15…
06-30 18:03:19	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	417	41¢	$171	0xac1a6c…
06-30 16:32:58	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,313	45¢	$591	0xb95967…
06-30 16:16:07	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,641	49¢	$1,293	0x2ce6e8…
06-30 15:41:44	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	42¢	$2,100	0xfc6871…
06-30 15:18:59	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,376	47¢	$3,012	0x40d8f8…
06-29 15:30:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	4,608	40¢	$1,843	0x4dfd46…
06-22 18:16:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	14,768	32¢	$4,726	0x799d9d…
06-22 13:40:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	121,805	49¢	$59,745	0x4e8d99…
06-22 13:40:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	600	50¢	$300	0x06e9c1…
06-22 13:14:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	11,019	29¢	$3,195	0x9657b6…
06-17 17:50:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	52,006	87¢	$45,245	0xa74bb2…
06-17 17:43:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	350,000	100¢	$349,300	0x329b43…
06-14 22:34:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	10,000	72¢	$7,198	0x0fa35e…
06-14 22:34:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	10,000	72¢	$7,200	0x2d6b88…
06-14 22:32:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	5,737	70¢	$4,015	0x9fbf83…
06-14 22:31:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x76487d…
06-14 22:31:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	8,221	70¢	$5,722	0xb345cc…
06-14 21:32:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1e6232…
06-14 21:30:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	8,177	29¢	$2,370	0x0c51bb…
06-14 21:30:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	6,419	65¢	$4,172	0x83dd6c…
06-14 21:30:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	8,481	63¢	$5,370	0x5e0bbe…
06-14 21:29:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	79¢	$7,900	0xa353e9…
06-14 21:28:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,794	79¢	$3,779	0x25de76…
06-14 21:27:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2,085	62¢	$1,284	0x2e6083…
06-14 21:22:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52,001	77¢	$40,041	0xdfb93e…
06-13 17:03:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,135	30¢	$340	0x2dcbda…
06-13 17:01:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,668	60¢	$1,601	0xe6a5cb…
06-13 16:59:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	100,000	99¢	$99,100	0x10ee62…
06-12 15:15:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,861	44¢	$819	0x7b1445…
06-12 15:15:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	8,174	23¢	$1,880	0xb72fc6…
06-12 15:15:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2,049	68¢	$1,393	0x37120a…
06-12 15:15:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	4,446	45¢	$2,001	0xc8a864…
06-12 15:15:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	5,871	15¢	$879	0x15d974…
06-12 15:14:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,009	37¢	$2,223	0x40e8d3…
06-12 02:15:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	9,919	20¢	$1,984	0x1d6f70…
06-12 02:14:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16,229	35¢	$5,680	0xe77d2a…
06-12 02:14:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	9,197	14¢	$1,275	0x513b76…
06-11 20:07:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,034	23¢	$238	0x8d8d02…
06-11 20:07:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	3,239	45¢	$1,452	0x241d16…
06-11 19:34:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,663	24¢	$399	0x8a9bc5…
06-11 19:31:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	9,037	16¢	$1,444	0xb4a30f…
06-11 19:30:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,274	41¢	$2,562	0x6d3fd7…
06-11 19:26:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,648	40¢	$659	0xc16c65…
06-11 19:24:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2,981	40¢	$1,182	0xd8ff9a…
06-11 19:24:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,471	41¢	$3,085	0xd2aec1…
06-11 19:21:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5,950	36¢	$2,127	0xf46520…
06-11 19:21:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	11,749	20¢	$2,350	0xcccd3d…
06-11 19:13:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2,674	34¢	$903	0x2f9431…
06-11 19:13:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	28,420	19¢	$5,297	0xd1cd81…
06-11 19:13:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13,727	36¢	$4,942	0x0d48d1…
06-11 19:13:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,447	35¢	$1,883	0x190567…