Realized P&L
+$2.54K
Unrealized P&L
+$6.05K
Hit rate
83.3%
Resolved
3
Trades
18
lifetime
Volume
$125.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6.95K
Open exposure
$28.1K
6 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-14 14:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
98% 33% +$2,545
Other
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -65,005 $-40,961 34¢ $-21777 +$19,184 05-14 14:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes +23,536 $8,982 12¢ $2.9K $-6,040 05-10 20:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +5,652 $3,088 34¢ $1.9K $-1,138 05-07 17:56
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,046 $1,371 52¢ $1.1K $-317 05-10 13:41
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? Yes +2,431 $656 11¢ $255 $-401 05-10 13:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? Yes +23,180 $5,387 $151 $-5,236 05-10 20:14