Realized P&L
+$221.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$81.4K
Hit rate
89.9%
Resolved
9
Trades
2,768
lifetime
Volume
$13.0M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4.69K
Open exposure
$41.5K
4 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-16 14:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
55% 71% +$222,017
Other
43% 50% $-117
Sports
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -52,006 $-45,245 72¢ $-37184 +$8,061 06-17 17:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +178,200 $86,001 $2.2K $-83,773 06-29 15:30
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +17,314 $7,958 12¢ $2.1K $-5,881 07-01 15:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1 $-225 29¢ $0 +$226 07-16 14:09