Realized P&L (90d)
+$2.54K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.36K
Hit rate
83.3%
Resolved (90d)
3
Trades (90d)
18
18 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$125.1K
$125.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$6.95K
Open exposure
$28.7K
6 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-14 14:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
98% 33% +$2,545
Other
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -65,005 $-40,961 34¢ $-22427 +$18,534 05-14 14:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes +23,536 $8,982 12¢ $2.9K $-6,040 05-10 20:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +5,652 $3,088 32¢ $1.8K $-1,251 05-07 17:56
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,046 $1,371 55¢ $1.1K $-256 05-10 13:41
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? Yes +2,431 $656 12¢ $292 $-365 05-10 13:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? Yes +23,180 $5,387 $127 $-5,259 05-10 20:14