Pushy-Supper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.8%

Resolved

Trades

341

lifetime

Volume

$1.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 08-12 02:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

44% — —

Politics

30% 50% +$4

Sports

13% — —

Tech

12% 100% +$0

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	18	$78	115	96	+19	open	—	04-22 06:34
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	8	$53	37	37	+0	open	—	05-14 09:59
will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 34m and 37m	7	$53	32	32	+0	open	—	04-20 19:34
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	7	$45	30	20	+10	open	—	05-06 07:59
deepseek v4 released by april 24	7	$44	24	24	+0	open	—	04-24 04:57
nhl ana edm 2026 04 20	8	$44	62	30	+33	open	—	04-21 04:58
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	8	$40	30	10	+19	open	—	05-01 00:27
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	10	$35	45	45	+0	open	—	05-15 10:48
nhl phi pit 2026 04 20	5	$35	25	17	+9	open	—	04-21 01:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	4	$26	19	19	+0	Yes	+$6	05-09 11:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	10	$25	44	44	+0	open	—	04-21 05:23
nhl lak col 2026 04 19	3	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	04-19 22:33
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	21	$21	57	57	+0	open	—	04-21 05:22
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	4	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	05-18 18:44
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	4	$21	31	19	+12	open	—	07-06 22:37
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	3	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	04-21 01:24
nhl phi pit 2026 04 18	2	$20	36	0	+36	open	—	04-19 02:07
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	3	$19	36	36	+0	open	—	04-21 05:22
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	3	$19	11	11	+0	open	—	05-18 18:44
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$19	15	10	+4	open	—	06-02 06:19
iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	7	$19	13	13	+0	open	—	07-14 01:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	3	$18	22	22	+0	Yes	$-2	05-08 18:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$17	141	141	+0	open	—	06-25 15:14
DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?	4	$17	9	9	+0	open	—	04-24 04:57
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	5	$16	27	17	+10	open	—	06-16 00:12
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	3	$15	20	0	+20	open	—	07-12 01:04
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	3	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	04-22 01:19
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	4	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	04-21 19:57
nhl min dal 2026 04 20	2	$13	9	8	+0	open	—	04-21 04:38
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-15 10:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 02:12:33	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x8f75c2…
08-12 00:38:00	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xf65671…
08-11 20:33:48	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x8d6335…
08-11 19:45:40	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x315029…
08-11 14:32:46	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x6ccc9a…
08-10 13:21:28	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x858085…
08-10 07:34:46	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x407cc2…
08-09 23:23:36	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x4960a9…
07-31 21:09:39	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x0c5f7e…
07-30 07:07:42	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0xe8850b…
07-30 06:26:18	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	54¢	$0	0x1c3b47…
07-30 06:17:14	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x089af3…
07-30 06:06:38	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xaf35f0…
07-30 06:03:47	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x41c7e5…
07-30 06:03:36	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xa03c76…
07-30 06:03:36	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	54¢	$0	0x885580…
07-16 01:24:53	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xf5c183…
07-15 22:19:56	will the next claude opus model be released by july 17 2026 534	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x51c72b…
07-15 05:23:49	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260715004553748	Yes	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x841b31…
07-15 05:12:23	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260715004553748	Yes	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xc25205…
07-15 04:28:56	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260715004553753	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xbbc25f…
07-15 04:24:44	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260715004553753	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xdb2ce3…
07-15 04:24:08	will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260715004553748	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x5d2077…
07-14 01:09:26	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa82c95…
07-13 20:02:53	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x2833ce…
07-13 18:30:20	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x78044a…
07-13 16:48:01	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xe8a7f9…
07-13 16:44:29	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x67a38d…
07-13 14:26:59	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x322a2c…
07-13 04:25:11	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0x36a301…
07-12 20:00:31	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xfc006f…
07-12 18:33:04	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xdcb6e5…
07-12 01:04:43	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x8752d5…
07-12 01:04:43	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x11dc58…
07-12 01:04:34	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xea9140…
07-08 18:27:19	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0a5a7e…
07-08 17:25:56	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x54171d…
07-08 04:22:11	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x23a5ec…
07-06 22:37:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x46300a…
07-06 22:37:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xe07d89…
07-03 12:33:01	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	19	30¢	$6	0xba136b…
07-03 04:58:59	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x5f30bb…
07-02 17:53:31	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xaa95a7…
07-02 16:26:38	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb029a0…
07-01 05:58:53	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	No	SELL	5	92¢	$4	0x153488…
07-01 05:57:17	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x2021be…
06-30 16:03:53	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xbffdd6…
06-30 15:54:47	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xf0db74…
06-30 13:43:44	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd1bd6b…
06-30 12:58:04	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x729e5a…
06-30 12:57:38	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 17 2026 20260624195228148 249 148 455 443 813	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xeb85d5…
06-30 04:10:32	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 17 2026 20260624195228148 249 148 455 443 813	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x6fff6e…
06-28 15:22:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0xde39fb…
06-28 15:11:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x6401d9…
06-28 14:56:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x8c0b47…
06-28 14:54:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x1e9e61…
06-28 14:53:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0xd46032…
06-28 14:38:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0xad1a69…
06-28 14:36:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0xc65668…
06-28 14:27:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0xb00264…
06-28 14:21:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x225aaa…
06-28 14:09:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x62699c…
06-28 13:39:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0xd22c8a…
06-28 13:37:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x1605e5…
06-28 12:47:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0xe602b0…
06-27 02:39:22	fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 first half total 0pt5	Over	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x80192b…
06-27 02:31:17	fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x622dc3…
06-26 20:49:04	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x2ff4dd…
06-26 19:37:50	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xf98cb3…
06-26 16:37:13	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$2	0x567253…
06-26 16:24:17	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x112c41…
06-26 16:04:17	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0xa8bb68…
06-26 14:58:35	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x6ccb17…
06-26 14:57:05	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x5689bc…
06-26 04:34:29	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x7adfd1…
06-26 03:33:55	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x10aea2…
06-26 02:32:23	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	35	7¢	$2	0x78d1e7…
06-26 02:21:19	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0x57c581…
06-25 15:50:35	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xfc7b87…
06-25 15:14:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	141	9¢	$12	0x4df23a…
06-25 13:23:01	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x11387d…
06-25 13:17:14	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x2e6fe4…
06-25 12:37:20	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x20952c…
06-25 02:35:11	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0a2076…
06-25 02:34:58	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xea4476…
06-24 16:08:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	141	3¢	$5	0x9d41a9…
06-24 16:08:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x922b54…
06-22 02:44:04	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	Egypt	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x859c8a…
06-20 14:14:59	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xd9cd7a…
06-20 04:59:26	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xeec497…
06-19 19:53:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	16	22¢	$4	0xc37235…
06-19 19:31:20	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x0a57ad…
06-16 00:12:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2d3d18…
06-15 19:42:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3e9e82…
06-12 14:30:43	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt4t	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd76880…
06-12 13:45:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	29¢	$3	0x235e50…
06-12 13:45:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xc4d562…
06-12 13:45:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0xb03f15…
06-12 13:45:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x37b63f…
06-12 13:45:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x165361…