Pushy-Supper — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$3

Unrealized P&L

+$15

Hit rate

68.2%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

20 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$137

$137 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$37

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-14 09:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

82% 75% +$3

Politics

11% 0% $-0

Tech

4% 100% +$0

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	+24	$5	96¢	$23	+$18	05-11 05:13
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?	No	-5	$-5	100¢	$-5	$-0	05-14 09:59
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	Yes	+5	$5	96¢	$5	$-0	05-13 09:44
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	-9	$-0	29¢	$-2	$-2	05-11 01:54
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	-2	$-1	92¢	$-2	$-0	05-11 19:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 09:59:41	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xd8122f…
05-14 09:59:27	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb8d1ed…
05-14 09:59:17	Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf48539…
05-14 05:46:08	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3ef3ae…
05-13 09:44:02	Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7c6d0d…
05-12 05:50:57	Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 12?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbc7f41…
05-11 19:24:43	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0xd74736…
05-11 17:49:13	Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x0bb6b4…
05-11 05:13:08	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x8ea194…
05-11 02:19:39	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x0b406a…
05-11 01:54:57	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0x4ac504…
05-11 01:34:58	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	Yes	SELL	11	80¢	$8	0xc1fd42…
05-10 23:31:44	Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf18fde…
05-10 23:01:08	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x1ebe84…
05-10 06:13:28	Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb14696…
05-09 15:30:58	Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0xf18bb9…
05-09 11:20:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x0e743c…
05-07 17:01:13	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	SELL	32	89¢	$28	0xee0b04…
05-07 03:23:04	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6471b0…
05-06 07:59:56	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x41c472…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Indelible-Try 0x9aeb…2729	10	$11.0K	16	05-14 03:01
Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318	7	$2.12K	50	05-12 23:46
Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9	6	$2.94K	46	05-12 23:46
(anonymous) 0x955c…990f	4	$7.77K	6	05-11 12:39
Bronze-Toll-Chasuble 0xb94c…b5b5	4	$4.18K	10	05-11 17:03
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	4	$2.57K	20	05-14 02:50
Grumpy-Urn 0x0845…6b6f	4	$2.20K	5	05-14 05:46
Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44	4	$1.56K	7	05-15 00:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	3	$32	0	36	-36	open	—	05-14 09:59
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?	3	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-11 17:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$15	0	15	-15	Yes	$-0	05-09 11:20
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	1	$14	0	14	-14	open	—	05-06 07:59
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	2	$13	11	11	+1	No	+$4	05-11 01:34
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-07 03:23
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	1	$5	24	0	+24	open	—	05-11 05:13
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?	1	$5	9	0	+9	Yes	+$4	05-11 02:19
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?	1	$5	30	0	+30	No	$-5	05-09 15:30
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-13 09:44
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 12?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-12 05:50
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	05-14 09:59
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500?	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	05-14 09:59
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	1	$1	0	2	-2	open	—	05-11 19:24
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	1	$0	0	9	-9	open	—	05-11 01:54